Wealth transfer is zero sum
The progress of the human race is about wealth creation ... value creation. Wealth transfer is NOT wealth
creation and is also value destruction.
Value chain analysis shows who are the winners and losers ... and also where wealth transfer is taking
place.
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It can be argued that the most powerful tool that MBA training has given to their students is the
mathematics to take a value chain that has its inherent costs and values and optimize the functioning of
the value chain for the benefit of the optimizing organization. In other words, these experts know how
best to remove value from various other entities and move it into the optimizing organization.
This is a very powerful concept and has facilitated a very rapid and efficient concentration of wealth into
large organizations and entities with a minimum of investment.
Value chain and the market economy
Value chains flow through markets ... but the market is more a fiction than a reality, which is part of why
they are so valuable in value chain manipulation and also so dangerous. It is not easy to tell when a
market transaction is driven by supply and demand for physical goods, or whether the market is being
driven by speculation about future market values, or whether the driver is legitimate hedging against
future price movements.
Cost and price determine profit.
Price for the seller becomes cost for the buyer. This next buyer sells for a new price, and profit is again
the difference between cost and price.
Where are the big profits? Where are the losses?
How do valuable raw materials create profit with little benefit to the community of origin?
Value chain analysis shows who are the winners ... those that have small cost and high price. But costs are
usually based on simple GAAP concepts and not on Community Accountancy analysis.
When cost is based on the consumption of Community Accountancy value rather than the consumption of
GAAP cost and value adding and value destruction instead of profit, there are different results.
Transfer prices
Prices are critical in economic analysis and the determination of profit and value to any entity.
But we know rather little about prices ... often prices are hidden and prices are kept secret.
And even where there is publicity about prices, it is not always clear what the information really means ...
price disinformation is as common as price information.
In value chain analysis, the transfer price determines how the value adding is shared between the entities
in the chain it is very important.
Because of its importance very little information is available about transfer prices. The idea that the
“market” determines the price assumes a high degree of information and this is rarely the case. Transfer
pricing serves those that have the control.
FUND FLOW PROBLEMS
Phantom Aid
The amount of money being raised for international relief and development assistance is huge.
Fund raising in the aftermath of natural disaster is impressive, and shows how supportive many people are
of development initiatives.
But sadly the relief and development industry is less than candid about how the resources are used and
what is being accomplished.
In 2003 a well know UK based NGO named this Phantom Aid. Some years before the phenomenon had
been described as “Black Hole Development” implying that no matter how much fund flow there was, the
results would still be the same!
Value destruction
The amount of money that gets spent and the amount of good that gets done seems to be more and more
unrelated. Five decades or more of teaching MBA students about ways to maximize profit without
teaching much about society has created a very large community of experts in profit maximization and
hardly anyone that has a deep understanding of the social costs and value destruction associated with this
economic paradigm. The problem, however, is worse, because the relief and development industry has
many people well trained in various other disciplines, but with rather little training in this dimension of
economics ... and even less trained in accountancy..
Focus on disbursement ... on activity
Metrics ought to serve the needs of society ... but the easy metric that has been important in the Breton
Woods institutions and their development clones has been disbursement. While there are cases where
disbursement is a useful proxy for results, this is not so when it is used to the exclusion of almost
anything else. Disbursement serves as a fairly good proxy for activity ... but neither can stand in for result
other than in a very controlled and stable environment. Development, when it is successful, is not stable,
but progressing ... and the only metric worth having is a measure of the results.
Sovereignty ... anything goes
The idea of sovereignty that embraces the independence of a people from a foreign power is good ... but
the use of the idea of sovereignty to allow a regime of “anything goes” is not. People are being treated
abominably by governments and elite leaderships ... and external interference is constrained by the idea of
sovereignty. At what point does doing right become the driver of meaningful action?
Weak financial controls
Weak financial controls has been endemic and as a result all sorts of resources have gone missing ...
stolen money ... stolen inventory ... over invoicing ... under delivering. Embezzlement of all sorts ... petty
corruption and grand corruption.
UNDERSTANDING COST AND VALUE BEHAVIOR
COST, PRICE AND VALUE AND VALUE CHAIN
Price has an important role in the matter of economic incentive ... and the question of sustainability. The
value chain works and is efficient when the transfer pricing through the value chain provides a reasonable
rate of return on capital employed within each piece of the value chain. If any of the links in the chain
become unprofitable, the value chain becomes dysfunctional.
HOW PRICE IMPACTS COMMUNITY
Price is a key variable in the performance of society. It is not as important as cost, but the way price is
used in society determines the way value is shared between the various economic actors. The following
graphic shows how an economic transactions that has costs and value is shared between the enterprise and
the client depending on the price being applied to the transaction.
For society as a whole the value adding is the difference between the value and the cost. For the client the
value adding is what is left of value adding after the enterprise has taken out its profit. In the profit
maximizing enterprise the goal is to have profit as much as possible, and the amount left in the hands of
the client is of little consequence.
Base Case
In a lower cost case the enterprise profit increases at the same price point ... and the amount of value
derived by the client stays the same.
Lower Cost Case
If the client and the enterprise are in the same community it does not matter so much whether the client or
the enterprise has what share of the value added ... but where the enterprise is from outside the
community it matters a lot. In the case where the enterprise is external ... the case of Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) for example ... the value adding for the community is small because the profit leaves the
community. If the costs are incurred in the community there is some multiplier effect ... but typically local
disbursements are small and most of the costs, as for example in mining are equipment, fuel, expatriate
payroll .... with rather little value for the community.
The External Enterprise Case
Value chain
The value chain is very well understood in the corporate sector, and there has has been very effective
profit improvement for the corporate sector by taking advantage of all sorts of cost improvement
opportunities in manufacturing to improve the profit bottom line.
But the deep knowledge of the corporate value chain is not matched by anything like the same amount of
understanding of the value chain as it impacts social value and the impact of corporate activities on
society.
Example
The relocation of manufacturing from the United States to China has been very
profitable ... but what are the costs to society that do not figure in the corporate
accountancy. Nobody has been doing Community Accountancy and nobody knows.
We do know corporate profits increased as more and more manufacturing was
outsourced to low cost areas. We do know something of the job creation in these low
cost areas and we do know something of the job losses in the place4s where
manufacturing plants were closed ... but what we know is far less than what we need
to know. We do not really know very much at all about the impact on the
communities --- this is not part of a system of metrics, and only part of what we need
to know is on the record.
Value Chain
Al Gore on July 17th, 2008
'We're borrowing money from China to buy oil from the Persian Gulf to burn it in
ways that destroy the planet,' he said. 'Every bit of that has to change.'
Example
Over the past 30 years the USA has taken apart most of the regulatory framework
around banking and the capital markets, with very good results reported by the
institutions in the sector over this period of time. The good results do not, however,
take into account the costs of the periodic failures of big institutions in the sector
(Continental Illinois) and whole segments of the sector (Savings and Loan). But
worse they do not take into account the wealth that is merely removed from one
segment of society to become profit in the banking and finance sector. The sub-prime
mortgage crisis is just the latest in a series of moves over the years by the banking
and capital market industry to concentrate wealth in their sector at the expense of
society as a whole.
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