![]() Date: 2024-07-17 Page is: DBtxt003.php txt00021686 | |||||||||
GEOPOLITICS
THE RUSSIA -V- UKRAINE CRISIS Daily Mail ... A large collection of photos and other info about the Russia / Ukraine confrontation Original article: Burgess COMMENTARY Peter Burgess | |||||||||
THE RUSSIA -V- UKRAINE CRISIS
By LAURENCE DOLLIMORE for MAILONLINE
PUBLISHED: 12 February 2022 06:09 EST, | UPDATED: 10:25 EST,
Ukraine's President demands to see US evidence of Russian invasion 'on Wednesday' as Moscow accuses the West of provoking war 'at any cost': First families return to UK after government told Brits to get out NOW
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has demanded the US share intelligence which suggests Russia is planning to invade his country on Wednesday - as the first British families begin arriving to the UK after being urged to flee the potential future war zone.
The alleged invasion plans, reported by German newspaper Der Spiegel, are said to detail specific routes that might be taken by individual Russian units and were analysed by the Secret Service, the CIA and the Pentagon before being handed over to President Joe Biden's government.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is currently on a call to Russian diplomat Sergei Lavrov to discuss the crisis, after the 'extremely detailed' plans stoked fears of war in eastern Europe.
Mr Blinken said earlier today that the crisis had reached a 'pivotal moment', adding that there continues to be 'very troubling signs of Russian escalation', including new forces arriving close to Ukraine's borders.
But speaking during a live broadcast this afternoon, Mr Zelensky told the US: 'If you have 100 percent-certain information about a Russian invasion of Ukraine, please share it with us'.
He added that he realised 'such risks do exist' and that his country remains ready to take any measure necessary and 'from any border.'
Thousands of British, American and other European citizens - including many embassy staff - have now been told to get out of Ukraine while they still can, as they were warned there would be no military evacuation in the wake of a Russian attack.
The first haul of visibly relieved British families arrived at UK airports today, including a medical student from Birmingham and a couple with a young daughter, who landed at Gatwick.
It comes as the Ukrainian Ministry of Defence reported seven incidents of ceasefire violations in the rebel-held Donetsk region over the past 24 hours, accusing Russian-backed forces of 'opening fire' on the outskirts of Pisky
But the West's fears of an invasion were branded 'alarmist' and a symptom of US 'hysteria' by leading Russian figures on Saturday - just as sabre-rattling drills were launched by Putin in Belarus and the Black Sea.
The country's foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova wrote on Telegram: 'The White House's hysteria is more revealing than ever. The Anglo-Saxons need a war. At all cost.
'The provocations, disinformation and the threats are their favourite method for resolving their own problems.'
Haider Ali, 21, from Birmingham, is all smiles as he arrives safe and sound at Gatwick from Ukraine, where he studies at a medical university
Haider Ali, 21, from Birmingham, is all smiles as he arrives safe and sound at Gatwick from Ukraine, where he studies at a medical university
Relieved: Paul Meakin, his wife Svetlana and their daughter arrive at Gatwick from Kiev, Ukraine, after being urged to leave the country amid mounting tensions with Russia
Relieved: Paul Meakin, his wife Svetlana and their daughter arrive at Gatwick from Kiev, Ukraine, after being urged to leave the country amid mounting tensions with Russia
However in the same breath, she revealed Russia was reducing diplomatic staff in Ukraine because it feared 'provocations' from the Kiev authorities or 'third countries' - in another alarming sign that an invasion is edging closer.
It has long been suspected that Russia could use the cloak of an 'attack' in rebel-held, pro-Russian areas as an excuse to send in troops.
Ms Zakharova added: 'In the wake of possible provocations by the Kiev regime or third countries, we have, indeed, made a decision on some optimisation of the staff of Russian overseas missions in Ukraine.
'We want to highlight that our embassy and consulates will keep performing their basic functions.'
The Ukrainian MoD urged people via Twitter to 'remain calm' today, as hundreds joined anti-Putin rallies on the streets of Kiev, holding up signs reading: 'Invaders must die' and 'Say no to Putin.'
It came as Britain made clear that its embassy in the capital would remain open despite a reduction in staff and travel advice for all UK citizens to leave ahead of a feared Russian attack.
Ambassador Melinda Simmons said: 'I am staying in Kiev and continue to work there with a core team. The embassy remains operational.'
The US embassy will also run on a skeleton crew after it ordered all non-emergency Kiev staff to leave Saturday 'due to the continued threat of Russian military action'.
Despite mounting fears, Russia's ambassador to the US Anatoly Antonov told Newsweek magazine that warnings of an invasion were 'alarmist' and repeated that his country was 'not going to attack anyone.'
Thousands of British, American and other European citizens - including many embassy staff - have now been told to get out of Ukraine while they still can, as they were warned there would be no military evacuation in the wake of a Russian attack. (Pictured: Hurricane rocket launcher during Russian-Belarusian drill on Saturday)
Thousands of British, American and other European citizens - including many embassy staff - have now been told to get out of Ukraine while they still can, as they were warned there would be no military evacuation in the wake of a Russian attack. (Pictured: Hurricane rocket launcher during Russian-Belarusian drill on Saturday)
Two camouflaged tanks toll through the Gozhsky training ground during military exercises held by the armed forces of Russia and Belarus in the Grodno region, Belarus, on Saturday
Two camouflaged tanks toll through the Gozhsky training ground during military exercises held by the armed forces of Russia and Belarus in the Grodno region, Belarus, on Saturday
Smoke fills the air during a military drill between Russia and Belarus in the Grodno region of Ukraine's neighbour on Saturday
Smoke fills the air during a military drill between Russia and Belarus in the Grodno region of Ukraine's neighbour on Saturday
Ukraine MoD calls for calm in tweet
President Volodymyr Zelensky
The Ukrainian Ministry of Defence urged residents not to panic in a tweet on Saturday (pictured left), as president Volodymyr Zelensky visited a military training post in the Kherson region
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken warned on Saturday that the Ukraine crisis had reached a 'pivotal moment', adding that there continues to be 'very troubling signs of Russian escalation', including new forces arriving around Ukraine's borders. (Pictured: 9K57 Uragan multiple rocket launchers fire during the Allied Resolve 2022 joint military drills by Belarusian and Russian troops on Saturday)
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken warned on Saturday that the Ukraine crisis had reached a 'pivotal moment', adding that there continues to be 'very troubling signs of Russian escalation', including new forces arriving around Ukraine's borders. (Pictured: 9K57 Uragan multiple rocket launchers fire during the Allied Resolve 2022 joint military drills by Belarusian and Russian troops on Saturday)
Ukrainians hold up flares as they unfurl a banner reading 'Ukrainians will resist' and 'say no to Putin' during a rally in the capital Kiev on Saturday
Ukrainians hold up flares as they unfurl a banner reading 'Ukrainians will resist' and 'say no to Putin' during a rally in the capital Kiev on Saturday
Antony Blinken and Sergei Lavrov
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken (pictured left) is currently on a call to Russian diplomat Sergei Lavrov (pictured right) to discuss the crisis, after the 'extremely detailed' invasion plans, seen by the Secret Service, CIA and the Pentagon, stoked fears of war in eastern Europe.
Snow camouflaged Tornado rocket launcher systems are put to the test in sub-zero Belarus on Saturday amid mounting fears of Ukraine invasion
Snow camouflaged Tornado rocket launcher systems are put to the test in sub-zero Belarus on Saturday amid mounting fears of Ukraine invasion
An intelligence report has suggest Putin wants to invade Ukraine on Wednesday (Pictured: A serviceman takes aim during the Allied Resolve 2022 joint military drills by Belarusian and Russian troops)
An intelligence report has suggest Putin wants to invade Ukraine on Wednesday (Pictured: A serviceman takes aim during the Allied Resolve 2022 joint military drills by Belarusian and Russian troops)
Britain made clear today that its embassy in Kiev would remain open despite a reduction in staff, and travel advice for all UK citizens to leave ahead of a feared Russian attack. (Pictured: Russian Tornado rocket launcher system during drill in Belarus)
Britain made clear today that its embassy in Kiev would remain open despite a reduction in staff, and travel advice for all UK citizens to leave ahead of a feared Russian attack. (Pictured: Russian Tornado rocket launcher system during drill in Belarus)
Russian troops continue to amass along Ukraine's borders as US President Joe Biden prepares to call Vladimir Putin today (Pictured: 9K57 Uragan multiple rocket launchers fire during the Allied Resolve 2022 joint military drills by Belarusian and Russian troops)
Russian troops continue to amass along Ukraine's borders as US President Joe Biden prepares to call Vladimir Putin today (Pictured: 9K57 Uragan multiple rocket launchers fire during the Allied Resolve 2022 joint military drills by Belarusian and Russian troops)
Brits, Americans and other Europeans living in Ukraine have been told to get out while they still can amid rising tensions (Pictured: Servicemen operate 9K57 Uragan multiple rocket launchers during Russian-Belarusian military drill on Saturday)
Brits, Americans and other Europeans living in Ukraine have been told to get out while they still can amid rising tensions (Pictured: Servicemen operate 9K57 Uragan multiple rocket launchers during Russian-Belarusian military drill on Saturday)
V-200 Polonez multiple launch rocket systems take part in the Allied Resolve 2022 joint military drills by Belarusian and Russian troops
V-200 Polonez multiple launch rocket systems take part in the Allied Resolve 2022 joint military drills by Belarusian and Russian troops
Belgians were warned on Saturday to leave Ukraine as there was 'no guarantee of evacuation' if Russia invades (Pictured: A 9K57 Uragan multiple rocket launcher takes part in the Allied Resolve 2022 joint military drills by Belarusian and Russian troops)
Belgians were warned on Saturday to leave Ukraine as there was 'no guarantee of evacuation' if Russia invades (Pictured: A 9K57 Uragan multiple rocket launcher takes part in the Allied Resolve 2022 joint military drills by Belarusian and Russian troops)
Soldier mounts a 'hurricane' rocket launcher system during drill in Belarus
Soldier mounts a 'hurricane' rocket launcher system during drill in Belarus
Russian soldier behind the wheel of a rocket launcher system during drills in Belarus on Saturday
Russian soldier behind the wheel of a rocket launcher system during drills in Belarus on Saturday
Scottish man fears 'chaos' as he tries to flee Ukraine with his family - as former ambassador warns not all Brits will get out
A Scottish man living in Ukraine has said he is concerned about 'chaos' as he tries to get his family out of the country quickly amid growing concerns that Russia could launch an invasion.
Stuart McKenzie told BBC Breakfast: 'With young children in the country, I've got to take their safety as a priority so we're definitely looking at how to get them out as soon as possible.
'So many people are trying to leave at the same time and there won't be flights, the roads will be blocked, are you going to be able to get fuel for your car? Is there going to be cash in the banking machines?
'There could be so many things happening, so much chaos happening'.
He added: 'Day to day, people are trying to get on with their lives, however, every day it seems that there's more and more threats and we hear as soon as next week we could have Russian troops in the country.
'These things can go out of control very fast so we've got to be on the right side of the chaos, because to think of a border with a million cars and panic happening would be disastrous'.
Former British ambassador to the US Lord Kim Darroch described the efforts the remaining embassy staff in Ukraine will have to go to in order to help Britons flee.
He told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: 'It will overwhelm the embassy's resources, you can't assume all the Brits in the country will hear this so you have to contact them.
'You may have to arrange an emergency telephone line, you'll need to send people to the airport where, with lots of foreign nationals trying to get out, there will be chaos, there may need to be extra flights laid on so this will occupy everyone's time for 24 hours a day for the next few days and you won't get everyone out - some people will choose to stay.'
The White House said Biden and Putin would discuss the crisis by phone today - just hours after thousands of Brits and Americans were warned to get out of Ukraine while they still can, as tensions reached boiling point amid fears that Putin could launch an 'aerial bombardment' of Kiev, risking a high civilian death toll.
Spain, The Netherlands, Kuwait, Germany and several other countries have now told their citizens to leave, including Belgium, who on Saturday warned there would be 'no guarantee of evacuation' following a 'sudden deterioration', as 'communication links including internet and telephone lines could be seriously affected' and air travel hampered.
Images released today showed Russian and Belarusian forces testing snow-camouflaged 'hurricane' and 'tornado' rocket launcher systems, while a major Russian sea drill, featuring deadly warships, was launched in the Black Sea.
Tobias Ellwood, the chairman of the Defence Select Committee, branded the Ukraine crisis 'our Cuban missile crisis moment' as he called for British-led NATO divisions to be in the country.
The Conservative MP told Times Radio on Saturday: 'An invasion is imminent. Once that happens, because of the grain the comes out of Ukraine for the world, (that will) affect food prices across the world.
'Oil and gas prices will be affected as well, and European security will then be threatened further, so we have to ask ourselves, what should we do instead?
'What are the calculations, and yes, there is this looking Putin in the eye wondering what would happen.
'This is our Cuban missile crisis moment'.
He said the consequences of allowing Ukraine to fall would see a 'new era of instability with a Russia and China axis developing' while the West is 'shrinking in size' and authoritarianism is on the rise.
He added that he was 'really concerned about what's going on in No 10' over the Ukraine crisis.
He criticised an absence of international leadership, saying: 'Where is the United Nations Security Council resolutions? Where is the determination not to put Nato troops around the country as we're doing at the moment, but actually inside the country as well...?
'I know this is something that the MoD (Ministry of Defence) would like to do, but they are hampered by political resolve, by a political appetite to lean into this'.
He added that it would be 'misguided' to think sanctions against Russia would work, and that: 'We haven't understood the bigger strategic picture.'
'I'm again really concerned about what's going on in No 10,' he said, 'We're playing catch-up and I'm afraid it's all too late.'
People take part in the Unity March, which is a procession to demonstrate their patriotic spirit amid growing tensions with Russia, in Kiev, Ukraine, on Saturday
People take part in the Unity March, which is a procession to demonstrate their patriotic spirit amid growing tensions with Russia, in Kiev, Ukraine, on Saturday
Hundreds of people took to the streets of Kiev on Saturday, vowing to 'resist' any attempt at occupation from Russian forces
Hundreds of people took to the streets of Kiev on Saturday, vowing to 'resist' any attempt at occupation from Russian forces
Hundreds waved Ukrainian flags as they marched against Putin in Kiev on Saturday
Hundreds waved Ukrainian flags as they marched against Putin in Kiev on Saturday
Protestors against Russian threats hold up a sign saying: 'Say no to Putin' in Kiev on Saturday
Protestors against Russian threats hold up a sign saying: 'Say no to Putin' in Kiev on Saturday
Ukrainian law enforcement officers take part in special tactical training exercises held by police, the National Guard and security services at the Kalanchak training ground in the Kherson region on Saturday
Ukrainian law enforcement officers take part in special tactical training exercises held by police, the National Guard and security services at the Kalanchak training ground in the Kherson region on Saturday
Ukrainian law enforcement officers take part in special tactical training exercises held by police, the National Guard and security services at the Kalanchak training ground in the Kherson region on Saturday
Ukrainian law enforcement officers take part in special tactical training exercises held by police, the National Guard and security services at the Kalanchak training ground in the Kherson region on Saturday
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky attends special tactical training exercises at the Kalanchak training ground in the Kherson region, on Saturday
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky attends special tactical training exercises at the Kalanchak training ground in the Kherson region, on Saturday
Ukraine Will Resist! 5,000 march through Kiev warning Putin of bloody consequences if his massive army invades
Traffic in the city ground to a halt as the anti-war rally snaked its way from Shevchenko Park to the historic Maidan Square, birthplace of the 2014 revolution. (Pictured: Demonstrators hold up sign reading: 'Ukrainians will resist')
Traffic in the city ground to a halt as the anti-war rally snaked its way from Shevchenko Park to the historic Maidan Square, birthplace of the 2014 revolution. (Pictured: Demonstrators hold up sign reading: 'Ukrainians will resist')
By Nick Craven in Kiev, Ukraine, for MailOnline
More than 5,000 people defiantly marched through the centre of Kiev behind a huge banner proclaiming 'Ukraine Will Resist'.
Traffic in the city ground to a halt as the anti-war rally snaked its way from Shevchenko Park to the historic Maidan Square, birthplace of the 2014 revolution.
Protesters of all ages, many draped in yellow and blue Ukrainian flags, chanted 'Ukraine, united, will never be defeated' and one banner described Russian leader Vladimir Putin as a 'mass murderer' and a 'war criminal'. Another said simply '#sayNOtoPutin'
Leading the march, Illia Kononov of the Capitulation Resistance Movement, told MailOnline: 'So many people have turned out to show their support for Ukraine and to tell the world that we don't want war, but if it comes – we will fight back.
'We also want to thank all the countries such as the UK which have supported us morally and given us weapons to deter the Russians.
'Personally I don't think Putin will invade, but if he does, he should know that Ukraine will fight to the last man and woman.'
The march halted at Maidan and the protestors sang the Ukrainian national anthem beneath flags fluttering in the chilly wind.
Students Aleksey, 17, and his 18-year-old girlfriend Elvira, said they had come to show their support for their country at a time of need.
'Russia has so many problems of its own, so why are they planning to cause problems in our country,' said IT student Aleksey.
Physics student Elvira added: 'When I think about what might happen in the next few days or weeks, I'm scared, but it's good to see so many people coming out to make their feelings known – it would not be so easy to do this in Russia because they don't have the freedoms we have.'
Another marcher, Andreii, 34, who had fought in the Ukrainian army in Donbas for three years, said he was now 'seriously worried' about the situation.
'When I heard that the US and UK governments were telling their people to return home, it made me think this was actually going to happen,' he said.
'But we are home, and that means we can't run away anywhere – we have to stand and fight.'
Woman holds up picture seemingly comparing Putin to former dictators Joseph Stalin and Adolf Hitler, during an anti-war rally in Kiev on Saturday
Woman holds up picture seemingly comparing Putin to former dictators Joseph Stalin and Adolf Hitler, during an anti-war rally in Kiev on Saturday
*Britain's Ambassador to Ukraine has pledged to remain at her post, despite the Foreign Office advising Britons to leave the country now over fears that a Russian invasion is imminent.
Melinda Simmons will continue to run the Embassy in Kyiv with a skeleton staff while most colleagues are expected to fly home over the weekend.
She tweeted: 'I am staying in Kyiv and continue to work there with a core team. The embassy remains operational.'
The news came as the Russian Embassy also sent most staff home, which observers were interpreting as another clear sign that Putin intends to take offensive action against his weaker neighbour.
It comes after the Foreign Office this week updated its advice to tell UK nationals to 'leave now while commercial means are still available' amid mounting concerns they could get caught up in fighting - including a deadly 'aerial bombardment of Kiev' - should Putin give the go-ahead to his 130,000 troops currently massed near Ukraine's borders.
The urgent government update came less than 24 hours after the US also issued an evacuation order, as western analysts raised the alarm that Vladimir Putin was about to send in his forces.
The European Union also told non-essential staff from its diplomatic mission in Ukraine that they should leave the country, but stopped short of issuing a full evacuation order.
Meanwhile, armed forces minister James Heappey today said British troops helping with training in Ukraine will be leaving the country this weekend.
Having sent UK personnel to train Ukrainians on the anti-tank missiles supplied by Britain, Mr Heappey said: 'All of them will be withdrawn. There will be no British troops in Ukraine if there is to be a conflict there.'
He said he hoped assurances from Moscow that Russia is not planning to invade remain true but noted the country could now launch an attack 'very, very quickly'.
He told BBC Breakfast: 'That's not to say what Ben Wallace heard in Moscow yesterday may not be true. Clearly the only route to a peaceful outcome is if talks continue and I think if talks continue there has to be a willingness to believe what each side says to each other.
'But my point is not mutually exclusive to observe there are now weapons systems and combat aircraft in place that could mount an attack very, very quickly and therefore we are doing what is appropriate to allow UK citizens in Ukraine to plan for the worst.'
Mr Heappey suggested sending British troops to Ukraine would play into the Kremlin's hands, as he ruled out the prospect in event of war.
He added: 'Putin and his colleagues would very much like to be able to say what they may do is a consequence of Western aggression in Ukraine.
'So it's very important to us, to everybody frankly involved, that we're very clear we won't play an active part in Ukraine.'
Pressed if there will be no UK combat troops in Ukraine in the event of war, he said: 'It's absolutely essential that people in Moscow hear that, yes.'
Tory MP Tom Tugendhat said the Ukrainian military is 'increasingly capable to defend themselves' and advised that Britain training them up is better assistance than sending troops.
The chairman of the Commons Foreign Affairs Committee told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: 'We're enabling them to have the ability to fight themselves, and having served in combat in countries around the world I can tell you that training local forces to fight for themselves is a significantly better defensive technique than putting troops in.
'The reality is that the Ukrainians already have some 145,000 in their army, they have another - depending on how you count - 100-odd thousand border guard reserves and people like that so they have a significantly larger army even than we do and they are increasingly capable to defend themselves.'
But looking to assuage fears of World War Three, former cabinet minister Sir Malcolm Rifkind said he is 'sceptical' that Russia will launch a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
He told Times Radio: 'I look at Putin not as a wild fanatic; he's not an Adolf Hitler about to launch all-out war just for the sheer nastiness of it.
'He's a cool, calculating politician who resents the fact that Ukraine is independent; he would like to regain control, either physical control or political control of that country.
'But he knows that he has to carry Russian public opinion with him, and why I'm sceptical as to a full-scale invasion.
'That would involve, even if the Russians were to win, that would involve not just immediate but ongoing, serious casualties of Russian forces as the Ukrainians fought back.'
The former Tory foreign secretary and defence secretary added that there was 'still a serious possibility' that Russian President Vladimir Putin might send troops into part of the country, which would most likely be the land bridge between Donbas and Crimea.
///////////////
'But NATO is very clear that if that path is not chosen there will be severe consequences for Russia, Ukraine and the whole of Europe.'
///////////////
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said he would speak to Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov on Saturday in a last-ditch attempt to head off a possible invasion.
'We continue to see very troubling signs of Russian escalation, including new forces arriving around Ukraine's borders,' Blinken said in a press conference in Fiji.
'If Russia is genuinely interested in resolving this crisis of its own making through diplomacy and dialogue, we're prepared to do that,' he said.
'But it must take place in the context of de-escalation. So far, we've only seen escalation from Moscow,' he said.
'This is a pivotal moment. We're prepared for whatever should happen,' he said.
The top US diplomat reiterated that Washington and its allies will 'swiftly' impose punishing sanctions on Russia if it invades Ukraine, which he said could now start 'at any time'.
'We don't know whether President Putin has made that decision,' he said.
'But we do know that he has put in place the capacity to act on very short notice.'
On Friday, U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said Washington believes Vladimir Putin could invade Ukraine any day, and issued a warning to Americans in the country: Get out immediately because the U.S. will not be coming back to rescue anyone.
'We encourage all American citizens who remain in Ukraine to depart immediately,' Sullivan said.
'We want to be crystal clear on this point.
'Any American in Ukraine should leave as soon as possible and in any event in the next 24 to 48 hours.
'The risk is now high enough and the threat is now immediate enough that this is what prudence demands.
'If you stay you are assuming risk, with no guarantee that there will be any other opportunity to leave and there is no prospect of a U.S. military evacuation in the event of a Russian invasion.'
Pictured: The Russian and Belarusian armed forces take part in Allied Determination-2022 military drill in Belarus on February 10, 2022. Thousands of Britons were tonight told to leave Ukraine immediately over fears of an imminent invasion by Russian forces that Washington spy chiefs warned could be ordered in a matter of days
Pictured: The Russian and Belarusian armed forces take part in Allied Determination-2022 military drill in Belarus on February 10, 2022. Thousands of Britons were tonight told to leave Ukraine immediately over fears of an imminent invasion by Russian forces that Washington spy chiefs warned could be ordered in a matter of days
Videos purportedly showing atomic canons being moved towards Ukraine sparked fears Putin may be sending nuclear armed military hardware within striking distance of major cities. The video - showing huge 2S7 Pion guns (file photo) - was captured in Vesela Lopan, Bolgorod in Western Russia and just 10 miles from the Ukrainian border
Videos purportedly showing atomic canons being moved towards Ukraine sparked fears Putin may be sending nuclear armed military hardware within striking distance of major cities. The video - showing huge 2S7 Pion guns (file photo) - was captured in Vesela Lopan, Bolgorod in Western Russia and just 10 miles from the Ukrainian border
Britons have been told to leave Ukraine immediately over concerns of a possible invasion by Russian forces. Pictured: Servicemen of the armed forces of Russia and Belarus take part in joint military exercises in Belarus on Friday
Britons have been told to leave Ukraine immediately over concerns of a possible invasion by Russian forces. Pictured: Servicemen of the armed forces of Russia and Belarus take part in joint military exercises in Belarus on Friday
Pictured: Russian tanks during joint exercises of the armed forces of Russia and Belarus as part of an inspection of the Union State's Response Force, at a firing range in Belarus, February Pictured: Russian tanks during joint exercises of the armed forces of Russia and Belarus as part of an inspection of the Union State's Response Force, at a firing range in Belarus, February 11
Russia is holding massive war games in neighbouring Belarus and insisting that the highly strained relations is not its fault
Russia is holding massive war games in neighbouring Belarus and insisting that the highly strained relations is not its fault
The Foreign Office updated its advice on Friday evening to tell UK nationals to leave Ukraine 'now while commercial means are still available' as Russia intensified its war games on its borders with Ukraine
The Foreign Office updated its advice on Friday evening to tell UK nationals to leave Ukraine 'now while commercial means are still available' as Russia intensified its war games on its borders with Ukraine
This handout video grab released by the Russian Defence Ministry on February 11, 2022 shows tanks during joint exercises of the armed forces of Russia and Belarus
This handout video grab released by the Russian Defence Ministry on February 11, 2022 shows tanks during joint exercises of the armed forces of Russia and Belarus
Russia is operationally ready to conduct a wide range of military operations in Ukraine and the Kremlin just needs to make the call, the head of Norway's military intelligence service said Friday. Pictured: The Russian and Belarusian armed forces take part in Allied Determination-2022 military drill in Belarus on February 11
Russia is operationally ready to conduct a wide range of military operations in Ukraine and the Kremlin just needs to make the call, the head of Norway's military intelligence service said Friday. Pictured: The Russian and Belarusian armed forces take part in Allied Determination-2022 military drill in Belarus on February 11
Pictured: Still grabs from video purportedly showing atomic canons, sparking fears Putin may be sending nuclear armed military hardware to its borders with Ukraine
Pictured: Still grabs from video purportedly showing atomic canons, sparking fears Putin may be sending nuclear armed military hardware to its borders with Ukraine
Pictured: Still grabs from video purportedly showing atomic canons, sparking fears Putin may be sending nuclear armed military hardware to its borders with Ukraine
MORE VIDEOS
123
Watch videoBoston Mayor Wu gets a live stream of hate on Instagram
Watch videoCampaign ad shows candidate shooting Biden, Pelosi & Mark Kelly
Watch videoA look at Dobby the first baby aardvark born at Chester Zoo
Watch videoChildren scream with joy as Las Vegas school lifts mask mandate
Watch videoPhoenix officers wounded after responding to active shooter in house
Watch videoJoe Rogan slams CNN and tells them to 'do better'
Watch videoApple shares video showing when your camera and mic is in use
Watch videoJake Sullivan speaks on the potential Russian invasion of Ukraine
Watch videoLauren Boebert wins 'Hottest Woman In Congress Award'
Watch videoMoment robber violently rain punches his victim in sickening attack
Watch videoSarah Palin goes to federal court on her birthday with Ron Duguay
Watch videoPenguin hitches ride on boat to nearby iceberg escaping hungry seal
US soldiers line up during the visit of NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg at the Mihail Kogalniceanu airbase, near the Black Sea port city of Constanta, eastern Romania, Friday, Feb. 11, 2022
US soldiers line up during the visit of NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg at the Mihail Kogalniceanu airbase, near the Black Sea port city of Constanta, eastern Romania, Friday, Feb. 11, 2022
Military aid in the form of missiles delivered as part of the United States of America's security assistance to Ukraine, is unloaded from a plane at the Boryspil International Airport outside Kiev, Ukraine February 11, 2022
Military aid in the form of missiles delivered as part of the United States of America's security assistance to Ukraine, is unloaded from a plane at the Boryspil International Airport outside Kiev, Ukraine February 11, 2022
Further to this, PBS reporter Nick Schifrin tweeted on Friday: 'US officials anticipate a horrific, bloody campaign that begins with two days of aerial bombardment and electronic warfare, followed by an invasion, with the possible goal of regime change.'
And late on Friday night, Kiev Mayor Vitali Klitschko urgently warned the city's citizens about the danger of a Russian attack.
The former heavyweight boxing champion's statement - the first serious warning to the city's population- was issued late last night on social media.
The mayor released a statement on Telegram about preparations underway in case of attack.
They included securing communications in case the internet or phone network went down, increasing bomb shelter capacity, stockpiling fuel & agreeing plans for evacuation.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson voiced fears 'for the security of Europe' during a call with world leaders, including US President Joe Biden, whilst in a sign of the increasing tensions, Foreign Secretary Liz Truss was yesterday involved in testy exchanges with Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov in Moscow.
British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace, who is currently in Russia, warned an invasion could come 'at any time', echoing Washington's warnings that the Kremlin has amassed enough troops at the border to call an attack.
Meanwhile, videos purportedly showing atomic canons being moved towards Ukraine sparked fears Putin may be sending nuclear armed military hardware within striking distance of major cities.
The video - showing huge 2S7 Pion guns - was captured in Vesela Lopan, Bolgorod in Western Russia and just 10 miles from the Ukrainian border, according to The Sun.
Known as the 'Soviet atomic cannon', the devastating weapon is one of the most powerful artillery cannons ever built.
It can carry up to four 203 mm nuclear shells, which have the potential to annihilate large areas.
In a chilling press conference earlier this week, Putin warned that were Ukraine to join NATO, the risk of nuclear war would increase.
Russia has demanded that the alliance completely rules out Ukraine from ever joining.
In the FCDO's updated advice, the government has said: 'British nationals in Ukraine should leave now while commercial means are still available.
'Since January 2022, the build-up of Russian forces on Ukraine's borders has increased the threat of military action.
'The Embassy remains open but will be unable to provide in-person consular assistance. British nationals should leave while commercial options remain.'
A Foreign Office spokesman said: 'The safety and security of British nationals is our top priority, which is why we have updated our travel advice.
'We urge British nationals in Ukraine to leave now via commercial means while they remain available.'
According to The Guardian, sources said the UK is not preparing an emergency airlift for British citizens because there are still commercial flights operating daily and the land border with Poland is open.
It is believed that the number of British citizens in Ukraine is in the low thousands, but many have strong ties to the country and are unlikely to leave.
The Foreign office's advice comes a day after US President Joe Biden urged all American citizens to leave the country.
Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Latvia, Norway and the Netherlands also told their citizens to leave Ukraine immediately, while Israel said it was evacuating relatives of embassy staff.
The White House said Friday that a Russian invasion of Ukraine could come within the week, possibly within the next two days, and urged Americans to leave the country now.
A call between Biden and Putin will take place on Saturday, a US official said Friday night, as top US General Mark Milley spoke by telephone with his Russian counterpart General Valery Gerasimo.
The pair 'discussed several security-related issues of concern,' an official said.
Meanwhile, a senior official said that the US is sending 3,000 more troops to Poland, as President Biden met with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and other world leaders on Friday to brief them on developments.
The new wave of US troops join 1,700 who already are assembling there to support NATO allies.
A Ukrainian tank moves during military drills close to Kharkiv, Ukraine, Thursday, February 10, 2022
A Ukrainian tank moves during military drills close to Kharkiv, Ukraine, Thursday, February 10, 2022
Yesterday, Foreign Secretary Liz Truss was involved in testy exchanges with Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov in Moscow, with no sign of a diplomatic breakthrough
Yesterday, Foreign Secretary Liz Truss was involved in testy exchanges with Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov in Moscow, with no sign of a diplomatic breakthrough
US national security adviser Jake Sullivan said the United States did not have definitive information that an invasion has been ordered by Russian President Vladimir Putin, but Washington warned that he has now amassed the necessary forces
US national security adviser Jake Sullivan said the United States did not have definitive information that an invasion has been ordered by Russian President Vladimir Putin, but Washington warned that he has now amassed the necessary forces
Admiral Tony Radakin (L) and Chief of the General Staff General Valery Gerasimov (R) shake hands as UK Secretary of State for Defence, Ben Wallace (2nd L), and Defence Minister of the Russian Federation, Sergei Shoigu (2nd R), look on inside the Russian Ministry of Defence building on February 11, 2022 in Moscow
Admiral Tony Radakin (L) and Chief of the General Staff General Valery Gerasimov (R) shake hands as UK Secretary of State for Defence, Ben Wallace (2nd L), and Defence Minister of the Russian Federation, Sergei Shoigu (2nd R), look on inside the Russian Ministry of Defence building on February 11, 2022 in Moscow
The Foreign Office's advice to Britons in Ukraine
The Foreign Office said on its website on Friday: 'Since January 2022, the build-up of Russian forces on Ukraine's borders has increased the threat of military action.
'The Embassy remains open but will be unable to provide in-person consular assistance. British nationals should leave while commercial options remain.
'If you are in need of assistance to leave Ukraine, you should call +380 44 490 3660 or +44 (0)1908 516666 and select the option for 'consular services for British nationals'.
'Any Russian military action in Ukraine would severely affect the British Embassy Kiev's ability to provide any consular assistance.
'British Nationals should not expect increased consular support or help with evacuating in these circumstances.
'If you decide to remain in Ukraine, you should remain vigilant throughout due to potential combat operations, keep your departure plans under constant review and ensure your travel documents are up to date.
'You should monitor the media and this travel advice regularly, subscribe to email and read our advice on how to deal with a crisis overseas.'
The official, who provided the information on condition of anonymity before an official announcement, said the additional soldiers will depart their post at Fort Bragg, North Carolina, over the next couple of days and should be in Poland by early next week.
They are the remaining elements of an infantry brigade of the 82nd Airborne Division. A further 8,500 U.S. troops are already on alert.
It also emerged on Friday that U.S. and European officials are finalising an extensive package of sanctions if Russia invades Ukraine that targets major Russian banks, but does not include banning Russia from the SWIFT financial system, according to U.S. and European officials.
A diplomatic source said the strategy now was to intensify efforts to spell out the cost to Putin of invasion.
'The message has to be that he cannot win,' the source told DailyMail.com.
US national security adviser Jake Sullivan said the United States did not have definitive information that an invasion has been ordered by Russian President Vladimir Putin.
But he said all the pieces were in place for a major military operation that could start 'rapidly'.
'The risk is high enough and the threat is now immediate enough that prudence demands that it is the time to leave now,' Mr Sullivan said.
'We are not saying that a decision has been taken by President Putin,' Mr Sullivan added.
'What we are saying is that we have a sufficient level of concern based on what we are seeing on the ground, and what our intelligence analysts have picked up, that we are sending this clear message.'
He added that the possibility of an invasion taking place before the end of the Winter Olympics on February 20 is a 'credible prospect' and a 'very, very distinct possibility'.
US and EU finalising sanctions package should Russia invade Ukraine
U.S. and European officials are finalizing an extensive package of sanctions if Russia invades Ukraine that targets major Russian banks, but does not include banning Russia from the SWIFT financial system, according to U.S. and European officials.
The sanctions on the table also include export controls on components produced by Russia for the tech and weapons sectors, and sanctions against specific Russian oligarchs, according to three sources familiar with the discussions.
One U.S. official said the Russian banks targeted with sanctions could include state-backed VTB and Sberbank, the largest financial institutions in Russia.
Both institutions are already subject to sectoral sanctions imposed by the Treasury Department after Russia annexed Ukraine's Crimea region that limit their ability to raise capital in the United States, but the full blocking sanctions in sight now would have far more significant consequences, said one sanctions expert.
They would likely be accompanied by certain waivers and wind-down periods to limit harm to U.S. companies and those of allies.
Three sources familiar with the talks said banning Russia entirely from the SWIFT financial transaction system was not under active consideration after running into major objections from European countries.
European lenders have expressed concern that banning Russia from SWIFT would mean that billions of dollars of outstanding loans they have in Russia would not be repaid.
Sanctions against major Russian banks would still have a significant impact on the Russian financial sector and economy, one of the sources said. VTB and Sberbank's share prices have been volatile in recent weeks, as investors worry Washington could ban Americans from holding debt or equity in the institutions.
'The goal is to design sanctions that would really hit the Russians while keeping an eye on the collateral damage to those imposing them, recognizing that sanctions would clearly hit Europe harder,' said one of the sources.
U.S. officials said strong progress was made on the sanctions package during meetings with their counterparts in Germany, France and Britain this week.
The U.S. and European allies have focused on sanctions that would be imposed in the event of a physical Russian invasion of Ukraine, according to U.S. and European officials. They would need to coordinate further on any sanctions response short of a full military invasion, such as big cyber attack.
'A lot of the issues have been resolved,' said one U.S. official familiar with the talks, adding, 'I wouldn't say there's 100% agreement, but most of the concerns raised' by Germany in particular have been addressed.
Visiting German chancellor Olaf Scholz said in Washington Monday he was aligned with the United States on actions on Russia, but did not mention the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline that the U.S. has vowed to shut of Russia invades.
Reporting by Reuters
He said new Russian forces were arriving at the border and they are in a position to 'mount a major military operation in Ukraine any day now', which could include a 'rapid assault on the city of Kiev' or on other parts of the country.
Speaking from the White House, Mr Sullivan said Russia could choose 'in very short order to commence a major military action against Ukraine', but stressed the US does not know whether Mr Putin has made a final decision.
Mr Sullivan said the 'threat is now immediate enough' to urge Americans to leave Ukraine 'as soon as possible and in any event in the next 24 to 48 hours'.
He did not mince words for those who choose to remain: 'The president will not be putting the lives of our men and women in uniform at risk by sending them into a war zone to rescue people who could have left now but chose not to.'
Sullivan spoke shortly after Biden and six European leaders, the heads of NATO and the European Union held talks on the worst crisis between the West and Russia since the end of the Cold War.
In a call lasting around 80 minutes, Downing Street said Mr Johnson urged Nato allies to make it clear to Moscow there is a 'heavy package of economic sanctions ready to go'.
'The Prime Minister told the group that he feared for the security of Europe in the current circumstances,' a No 10 spokeswoman said, in an account of the call that included French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Nato secretary-general Jens Stoltenberg, as well as EU leaders Ursula von der Leyen and Charles Michel.
Mr Johnson warned that the penalties would be 'extremely damaging' to Russia's economy and urged that allies must reinforce Nato's eastern frontiers.
Russia is holding massive war games in neighbouring Belarus and insisting that the highly strained relations is not its fault.
Moscow denies planning to invade Ukraine, but says it could take unspecified 'military-technical' action unless a series of demands are met, including promises from NATO never to admit Ukraine and to withdraw forces from Eastern Europe.
The West has said those main demands are non-starters. The EU and NATO alliance delivered responses this week on behalf of their member states.
Russia's Foreign Ministry said it wanted individual answers from each country, and called the collective response 'a sign of diplomatic impoliteness and disrespect'.
The U.S. is set to send 3,000 more troops to Poland in the coming days to try to reassure NATO allies, fource U.S. officials told Reuters news agency on Friday.
Earlier, Mr Blinken outlined what he said were 'very troubling signs of Russian escalation.
'We're in a window when an invasion could begin at any time – and to be clear, that includes during the Olympics,' he said.
Britain's Defence Secretary Ben Wallace Friday warned Russia that an invasion of Ukraine will have 'tragic consequences' as he continued the diplomatic blitz in Moscow.
He stressed the importance of keeping lines of communication open as he held talks with counterpart Sergei Shoigu.
Officials reportedly believe that the Russian President Vladimir Putin has decided to invade Ukraine and could launch an offensive next week. Above: A Ukrainian soldier is seen manning defensive positions in his country on Friday
Officials reportedly believe that the Russian President Vladimir Putin has decided to invade Ukraine and could launch an offensive next week. Above: A Ukrainian soldier is seen manning defensive positions in his country on Friday
A Ukrainian soldier is seen out of Svitlodarsk, Ukraine on February 11, 2022
A Ukrainian soldier is seen out of Svitlodarsk, Ukraine on February 11, 2022
US Navy fighter jets fly during the visit of NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg at the Mihail Kogalniceanu airbase, near the Black Sea port city of Constanta, eastern Romania, Friday, Feb. 11, 2022
US Navy fighter jets fly during the visit of NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg at the Mihail Kogalniceanu airbase, near the Black Sea port city of Constanta, eastern Romania, Friday, Feb. 11, 2022
British nationals have been urged by the Foreign Office to leave Ukraine immediately 'while commercial means are still available'. Pictured: A Russian tank takes part in drills in a photograph released by the Russian Defense Ministry
British nationals have been urged by the Foreign Office to leave Ukraine immediately 'while commercial means are still available'. Pictured: A Russian tank takes part in drills in a photograph released by the Russian Defense Ministry
At a press conference after the meeting Mr Wallace said he had been assured that Russia has 'no intention' of invading - but pointed out that the huge military build-up on the border meant it could do so 'at any time'.
'I heard clearly from the Russian government that they had no intention of invading Ukraine,' Wallace told reporters in Moscow. He added: 'We will judge that statement on the evidence.'
He said he was becoming less optimistic about defusing the situation, observing that the 'direction of travel' was against a diplomatic resolution.
But Mr Wallace also insisted there was 'absolutely no deafness' in his discussions, after Moscow's foreign minister swiped about his 'deaf and mute' conversation with Liz Truss yesterday.
The trip is the latest effort to turn down the temperature on the crisis and persuade Vladimir Putin to step back from the brink.
Talks in Berlin between Ukraine and Russia, joined by France and Germany, at first held hope for some progress as they lasted into Friday morning, but at the end, nothing palpable emerged.
'Unfortunately, almost nine hours of talks have ended without any significant results,' Russian deputy chief of staff Dmitry Kozak said. It remained unclear when and how the next attempt at a breakthrough would be made.
President Biden said the situation 'could go crazy quickly' and US troops will not be sent to help because that risks triggering a world war.
The head of Norway's military intelligence service said on Friday that Russia's forces are in position and ready to invade Ukraine.
The Russians 'have all they need to carry everything out, from a minor invasion in the east to minor attacks here and there in Ukraine, or a complete invasion, with, possibly, an occupation of all or parts of Ukraine', vice admiral Nils Andreas Stensones said.
'Now, it is up to President Putin to choose if he wants to proceed or not', he added.
Stensones made his remarks at the presentation of the Norwegian intelligence services' annual threat assessment report.
According to him, Russia has 'more than 150,000 combat troops' massed at the Ukraine border, along with the country's 'most advanced weapons' and all the necessary logistics.
A satellite image taken by Maxar Technologies shows a Russian deployment at Zyabrovka airfield in Gomel, Belarus, less than 15 miles from the border with Ukraine
A satellite image taken by Maxar Technologies shows a Russian deployment at Zyabrovka airfield in Gomel, Belarus, less than 15 miles from the border with Ukraine
This satellite image provided by Maxar Technologies shows an overview of a the tent camp and equipment at Oktyabrskoye airfield in Crimea, on Thursday, Feb. 10, 2022
This satellite image provided by Maxar Technologies shows an overview of a the tent camp and equipment at Oktyabrskoye airfield in Crimea, on Thursday, Feb. 10, 2022
This satellite image released by Maxar Technologies shows equipment and new deployments at Novoozernoye in Crimea on February 9, 2022
This satellite image released by Maxar Technologies shows equipment and new deployments at Novoozernoye in Crimea on February 9, 2022
This satellite image released by Maxar Technologies shows atillery training at Novoozernoye in Crimea on February 9, 2022
This satellite image released by Maxar Technologies shows atillery training at Novoozernoye in Crimea on February 9, 2022
British man with wife in Ukraine feels 'worried' for her safety
A British man has said he feels 'worried' for the safety of his wife in Ukraine after the Foreign Office advised UK nationals to leave the country on Friday.
Gary Smith, 53, moved back to Newcastle for work in August after living in Ukraine for two years with his wife, who is a lecturer at a university there.
He told the PA news agency: 'I am just hoping and praying that there isn't an invasion. If there is, a lot of lives will be lost.
'My wife said to me the other week 'I don't want to be killed.' What are you supposed to say to that?
'I moved back to the UK to make a life for us here and she was meant to join me within the next year.
'If this happens it could end up being three or four years before I can see her again.'
'It's very difficult to say if (an offensive) is likely or unlikely, because it is solely up to the Russian president to make the decision', he said.
U.S.-based Maxar Technologies - which has been tracking the buildup of Russian forces - said satellite images taken on Wednesday and Thursday showed large new deployments of troops, vehicles and warplanes at several locations in western Russia, Belarus and Crimea, which Russia annexed from Ukraine in 2014.
According to the Military Times, 500 troop tents and hundreds of armoured vehicles were shown at Oktyabrskoye airfield - an abandoned airfield found north of Simferopol, the Crimean peninsula's second largest city.
Other images showed training activities, artillery deployments and a new deployment in Slavne, also in Crimea.
And north of Ukraine in Belarus, military vehicles and helicopters were also identified at an airfield near Gomel, about 15 miles from its border with its southern neighbour.
Troops are also stationed near Rechitsa in Belarus, some 28 miles from Ukraine.
The satellite images also showed additional equipment had arrived at a Kursk training area in western Russia - a new development since Maxar began releasing images of Russia's military build-up in December.
Conflict has been festering in eastern Ukraine since 2014 between Russian-backed separatists and Kyiv forces.
|