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THE UKRAINE WAR WHAT ROLE FOR BELARUS? PPR GLOBAL: BREAKING! Lukashenko gave the order! Belarusian army headed for the Ukrainian border! Putin shocked! PLAY YOUTUBE VIDEO Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwmjPNkHzQQ Peter Burgess COMMENTARY Ukraine is waging war with incredible skill. The military of Russia has huge scale but compared to Ukraine but not much competence. The West ... essentially NATO ... has been supportive of Ukraine, but very timid and talagraphing that it is scared of retaliation from Russia if it delivers too much support! Peter Burgess
BREAKING! Lukashenko gave the order! Belarusian army headed for the Ukrainian border! Putin shocked! PPR GLOBAL Aug 22, 2024 534K subscribers BREAKING! Lukashenko gave the order! Belarusian army headed for the Ukrainian border! Putin shocked! Transcript 0:02 [Music] [Music] welcome to PPR Global Ukraine's recent major military successes have not only alarmed Russia but also bellus as Belarusian leader Alexander lucenko watched Ukraine's advance in ksk and the West's military superiority he became deeply fearful for his country's Security in this Panic lucenko urgently decided to send more than 20,000 Belarusian troops to the Ukrainian border but what are the reasons and consequences behind this step what is belarus's real goal how will Lucas shenk's move change the balance in the region and how will the Kremlin react let us now examine the Striking details of the harsh and crazy orders issued Yesterday by Belarusian leader lucenko in the last few days the offensive 1:02 operation launched by the Ukrainian armed forces in KK has allegedly spread to orol and Brians oblast this situation has Belarus which is seen as one of Russia's most important allies extremely worried the fact that Ukraine's offensive potential has reached as far as Brians leads the Minsk leadership to 1:22 think that they are kiev's next military 1:23 Target in this context a military crisis 1:27 is currently unfolding in bellarus 1:29 Belarus has has mobilized its Army and 1:31 issued a red alert belarian leader 1:34 Alexander lucenko stated that his 1:36 country has sent about a third of its 1:38 Army to the Ukrainian border at this 1:40 critical time when the Ukrainian advance 1:42 in ksk is 1:43 intensifying Alexander lucashenko stated 1:46 that more than 20,000 Belarusian troops 1:49 have been sent to the Ukrainian border 1:51 to provide defense in the event of a war 1:54 lucenko also noted that there are also 1:57 Special Services of the belarian army 1:59 Army On the Border Lines with Ukraine 2:02 lucenko believes that Ukrainian forces 2:05 are close to the bellerian Border 2:07 because he expects that Putin will again 2:09 Advance through belarian territory the 2:12 belarian leader also made other 2:13 statements on this issue Alexander 2:16 lucenko said that in the event of an 2:18 attack on Minsk Russia would send troops 2:20 to Belarus to provide Military Support 2:23 in other words according to lucenko 2:26 Belarus and Russia are mutually 2:27 committed to protect each other the 2:30 belarian leader is acting out of his 2:32 mind by sending troops to the Ukrainian 2:34 border but Russian President Vladimir 2:36 Putin is only interested in stopping the 2:38 advance of Ukrainian forces in the ksk 2:40 oblast for this reason Vladimir Putin 2:43 may even sacrifice Belarus and use 2:46 belarian troops to thwart the Ukrainian 2:48 offensive in ksk Alexander lucenko on 2:51 the other hand has different dreams of 2:53 massing troops on the Ukrainian border 2:56 but are there really bellerian troops 2:58 deployed on the Ukrainian Border Lines 3:01 remarkable statements came from 3:02 Ukrainian military officials on this 3:05 issue the state Border guard service of 3:07 Ukraine stated that there has been no 3:09 increase in the number of bellerian 3:11 troops and equipment near the Ukrainian 3:13 border when asked to comment on 3:16 self-proclaimed Belarusian President 3:18 Alexander lucenko claims about the 3:20 recent transfer of almost a third of the 3:22 army to the Ukrainian border Colonel 3:24 Andre demchenko spokesman for the state 3:26 Border guard service of Ukraine said 3:29 that Lucen continues to escalate the 3:31 information situation by making 3:33 offensive statements according to 3:35 Colonel Andre demchenko the situation 3:38 between the belarian and Ukrainian 3:39 Border Lines has not changed there has 3:42 been no increase in the number of 3:43 bellerian troops demchenko argued that 3:46 bellarus is trying to distract attention 3:48 with false propaganda due to the 3:50 presence of up to 120,000 Ukrainian 3:53 troops near the belarian Border Lines 3:56 these statements indicated that Belarus 3:58 was intimidated by the large Ukrainian 4:00 military force in any case bellarus is 4:03 unlikely to intervene in Ukraine at the 4:04 moment this is because if bellarus 4:07 attacks Ukraine the West would authorize 4:09 Kiev to use all weapons but Minsk is 4:12 counting on the nuclear weapons that the 4:14 Russians have shipped to Belarus as you 4:16 may recall Russia has also organized 4:18 nuclear weapons drills with Belarus 4:21 according to State media in the first 4:23 phase of the exercises Russian troops 4:25 were trained on how to arm and deploy 4:28 isand missiles while the Air Force was 4:30 trained on how to arm kinal Hypersonic 4:33 missiles Kremlin spokesman Dimitri pesov 4:36 told State media that the nuclear drills 4:38 were escalatory measures taken by the 4:40 United States and nato in the midst of 4:43 Russia's conflict in Ukraine the Kremlin 4:45 leader is also known to support such 4:47 rhetoric since sending thousands of 4:50 troops to Ukraine on February 24th 4:52 2022 President Vladimir Putin has 4:55 repeatedly stated that Russia could use 4:57 nuclear weapons to defend itself in 4:59 extreme 5:00 situations Putin has argued that the 5:03 United States and its European allies 5:05 have brought the world to the brink of 5:06 nuclear Conflict by providing Ukraine 5:09 with billions of dollars worth of 5:10 weapons some of which have been used 5:12 against Russian territory following 5:15 these statements many more details about 5:17 the nuclear exercises organized by 5:19 Russia and bellarus came to the four in 5:22 the images posted by the Russian defense 5:24 Ministry on social media at the time the 5:27 escond missile system was seen being 5:29 driven into an area with its missiles 5:31 removed Mig 31 supersonic interceptors 5:34 carrying kinol missiles and tupolev tu22 5:38 M3 longrange supersonic bombers were 5:41 also shown during the exercise but Kiev 5:44 was never intimidated by bellian and 5:46 Russian nuclear threats against Ukraine 5:48 nor by the announcement by Alexander 5:50 lucenko the head of the Minsk government 5:53 that he had sent 20,000 Belarusian 5:55 troops to the Ukrainian Border Lines in 5:58 fact Kev resp responded to all these 6:00 threatening approaches by outmaneuvering 6:02 the Russians with ingenious military 6:04 tactics in the ksk oblast the Ukrainian 6:08 offensive in ksk which began on August 6 6:11 2024 posed a significant operational 6:14 challenge for Russian forces after days 6:17 of intense fighting it became 6:18 increasingly clear that this bold 6:20 military maneuver marked a major success 6:23 for Ukraine reshaping the Strategic 6:25 landscape of the war and challenging 6:27 long-held assumptions about Russian 6:29 military 6:31 capabilities when news first broke about 6:33 Ukrainian attacks on Russian border 6:35 outposts in ksk few could have predicted 6:38 the scale and effectiveness of the 6:40 resulting 6:41 operation unlike The Limited crossborder 6:44 raids of previous years such as that 6:46 conducted by the free Russian Legion in 6:48 belgrad this offensive quickly proved to 6:51 be a well-coordinated and ambitious 6:53 military campaign the speed and 6:55 precision with which Ukrainian forces 6:57 Advanced into Russian territory 6:59 surprised military analysts and 7:01 highlighted the growing capabilities of 7:03 the Ukrainian Armed Forces at the 7:06 Tactical level Russian forces were 7:08 caught completely unprepared for the 7:09 Ukrainian offensive revealing 7:12 significant weaknesses in Russia's 7:13 border defense and early Warning Systems 7:17 border outposts including the 7:19 strategically important checkpoint at 7:21 oesa quickly fell with Russian troops 7:24 surrendering with minimal resistance 7:26 preliminary reports indicate that 80% of 7:28 the Border guard units in the first 7:30 Contact areas either surrendered or 7:32 withdrew without engaging the advancing 7:34 Ukrainian forces this High surrender 7:37 rate points to deep morale problems 7:39 within the Russian army especially among 7:41 conscripted troops stationed in rear 7:43 areas previously considered safe the 7:46 Russian Army's First Response units have 7:48 fared no better suffering heavy losses 7:50 in their attempts to counter the 7:52 Ukrainian Advance military analysts 7:54 estimate that in the first 72 hours of 7:57 the offensive Russian forces lost 30 40% 8:00 of their committed combat power in the 8:01 ksk region including dozens of tanks and 8:04 armored vehicles even Advanced Equipment 8:07 such as the kamov C 52 attack helicopter 8:10 deployed to stem the tide proved 8:12 ineffective against Ukrainian air 8:15 defenses the loss of at least three k 8:17 52s in the early days of the offensive 8:19 represents not only a significant 8:21 material loss for Russia but also a 8:24 psychological blow as these Advanced 8:26 helicopters are touted as a key 8:28 component of Russia's milit 8:29 modernization efforts the 8:31 professionalism and coordination 8:33 displayed by Ukrainian forces was 8:34 nothing short of remarkable showcasing 8:37 the results of intensive training and 8:38 Equipment upgrades provided by Western 8:40 allies over the past 2 years their use 8:43 of combined arms tactics integrating 8:45 artillery tanks armored vehicles drones 8:48 and other air assets demonstrated a 8:51 Mastery of modern maneuver Warfare that 8:53 was conspicuously absent in Russian 8:55 operations throughout the war Ukrainian 8:58 forces demonstrated the the ability to 9:00 rapidly concentrate Firepower at 9:02 critical points and then disperse before 9:04 Russian counter battery fire could 9:05 effectively 9:07 respond this Dynamic approach resulted 9:09 in a favorable exchange rate with some 9:12 estimates suggesting that for every 9:13 Ukrainian vehicle lost three T 4 Russian 9:16 equivalents were destroyed or captured 9:19 perhaps most impressive has been the 9:21 discipline and operational security 9:23 maintained by Ukrainian troops who 9:25 refrained from using cell phones or 9:27 disclosing sensitive information about 9:29 their movements and gains this Silence 9:32 has left both Russian commanders and 9:34 international observers largely in the 9:36 dark about the true extent of Ukraine's 9:38 Advance the effectiveness of this 9:40 information control strategy is evident 9:43 in contradictory and often delayed 9:45 reports from Russian sources often 9:47 contradicted by official statements 9:50 images emerging on social media 9:52 platforms and eyewitness Accounts at the 9:54 operational level Ukraine's approach has 9:57 been equally Innovative and effective 9:59 rather than stalemate in costly attacks 10:02 on heavily fortified urban areas a 10:04 tactic that has repeatedly thwarted 10:06 Russian offensives Ukrainian forces have 10:09 employed a strategy of bypassing large 10:11 settlements by cutting off and 10:13 encircling concentrations of Russian 10:15 troops they managed to capture an 10:17 estimated 2,000 Russian prisoners of War 10:20 a number so significant that it could 10:22 even strain Ukraine's logistical 10:25 capabilities this figure represents 10:27 approximately 10 to 15% of the total 10:29 Russian Force initially deployed in the 10:31 ksk region a loss rate that military 10:34 historians consider catastrophic for 10:36 defending forces in Modern Warfare the 10:39 success of this encirclement strategy is 10:42 particularly evident in the ongoing 10:44 operations around corono where Ukrainian 10:46 forces have effectively isolated a 10:48 significant Russian battle group 10:51 satellite and drone imagery suggests 10:53 that as many as 3,000 Russian troops 10:55 along with hundreds of vehicles could be 10:58 trapped in an increasingly small pocket 11:00 the potential capture or destruction of 11:02 this force would represent one of the 11:04 biggest tactical victories for Ukraine 11:07 since the liberation of kerson in 2022 11:10 in contrast Russian forces repeated many 11:13 of the same mistakes that characterized 11:14 their initial invasion in February 2022 11:18 large unwieldy Columns of vehicles and 11:20 soldiers were spotted and destroyed by 11:22 Ukrainian forces as exemplified by the 11:25 devastating attack on a Russian 11:26 formation near rsk this single 11:29 engagement which reportedly resulted in 11:31 the destruction of more than 40 Russian 11:33 vehicles and the deaths of several 11:35 hundred soldiers had far reaching 11:38 consequences exacerbating an already 11:40 precarious situation for Russian 11:42 Defenders and potentially opening the 11:44 door for significant Ukrainian 11:46 territorial gains the sharp contrast 11:49 between Ukraine's and Russia's 11:50 performance at the Tactical and 11:52 operational level points to deeper 11:54 strategic differences between the two 11:56 sides Ukrainian military planners have 11:58 consistent consistently demonstrated the 12:00 ability to design and execute complex 12:03 multi-purpose operations that serve 12:05 clear strategic objectives this was 12:07 evident in the successful defense of 12:09 Kiev and Northern Ukraine in March 2022 12:12 and the subsequent liberation of large 12:14 swaths of territory in the KV and Ken 12:17 regions the ksk offensive represents a 12:21 continuation and evolution of this 12:23 strategic thinking aimed at disrupting 12:25 Russian plans seizing the initiative and 12:28 forcing Moscow to divert resources away 12:30 from other fronts Russian strategy on 12:33 the other hand has been characterized by 12:36 a lack of clear objectives beyond the 12:38 overall aim of attrition of Ukrainian 12:41 forces the huge losses suffered by 12:44 Russian troops in battles for cities 12:46 such as bakut vladar and Aviva where 12:50 hundreds of thousands of soldiers were 12:51 killed or permanently wounded yielded 12:54 negligible strategic gains in terms of 12:56 territory or degradation of Ukraine's 12:58 military 12:59 capabilities official Ukrainian 13:01 estimates suggest that Russia has killed 13:03 or seriously wounded more than 400,000 13:06 of its soldiers since the full-scale 13:08 invasion began and some Western 13:10 intelligence assessments put the figure 13:12 even higher these losses which represent 13:15 a significant portion of Russia's 13:16 professional military Manpower have 13:18 forced Moscow to rely increasingly on 13:20 poorly trained soldiers and mercenaries 13:22 further eroding its combat Effectiveness 13:25 Russia's decision to launch a major 13:27 offensive in the ksk region represents a 13:30 bold and Innovative strategic move for 13:32 Ukraine this area was both poorly 13:35 defended and psychologically significant 13:38 making it an ideal Target for an 13:40 operation aimed at seizing the 13:41 initiative and forcing Russia to divert 13:44 resources from other parts of the front 13:46 line the results speak for themselves 13:50 Ukrainian forces have made more 13:51 territorial gains in just 7 days than 13:54 Russia achieved in a full year of 13:56 attritional fighting in detet according 13:58 to to some estimates Ukrainian forces 14:01 Advanced 30 to 40 km into Russian 14:04 territory in key sectors capturing some 14:07 1300 Square km while these gains may 14:10 seem modest in absolute terms their 14:13 position on Russian territory greatly 14:15 increases their strategic and 14:17 psychological impact moreover these 14:19 gains have been secured at minimal cost 14:22 in terms of Ukrainian casualties initial 14:25 reports suggest that Ukrainian losses in 14:27 the ksk offensive amounted to fewer than 14:29 1,000 soldiers killed or wounded a very 14:32 low figure for an operation of this 14:34 scale and ambition this favorable 14:37 casualty ratio estimated at one 14:39 Ukrainian casualty for every 7 to 10 14:41 Russian casualties demonstrates the 14:44 effectiveness and potential long-term 14:46 sustainability of Ukraine's approach it 14:49 reflects a sophisticated understanding 14:50 of the protracted nature of the conflict 14:53 and the importance of effective Force 14:54 management by targeting weak points in 14:57 Russian defenses and forcing the enemy 14:58 to to expend disproportionate resources 15:00 in response Ukraine is progressively 15:03 eroding Russia's capacity to sustain the 15:05 war effort the contrast with Russia's 15:08 wasteful attacks on heavily fortified 15:10 Ukrainian positions in the donbass could 15:12 not be Starker some military analysts 15:15 estimate that for every meter of 15:16 territory gained in the donbass 15:18 offensive Russia spends resources 15:20 equivalent to defending 10 to 15 meters 15:22 of its own territory an unsustainable 15:25 ratio that contributes to the gradual 15:27 depletion of its military cap 15:29 capabilities the success of the ksk 15:31 offensive has important implications for 15:33 The Wider economic and social aspects of 15:36 the war by taking the war directly to 15:38 Russian territory Ukraine challenged The 15:41 kremlin's Narrative of a limited special 15:44 military operation and forced average 15:46 Russians to confront the realities of 15:48 the conflict reports on Refugee 15:51 movements from border areas in ksk and 15:53 neighboring regions indicate that as 15:55 many as 50,000 Russian civilians have 15:58 been displayed placed by the fighting 16:00 putting new pressures on local 16:01 infrastructure and Social Services 16:04 moreover the presence of Ukrainian 16:06 forces on Russian territory has the 16:08 potential to disrupt key economic and 16:10 logistical networks while the ksk region 16:13 is not as economically vital as some 16:15 other regions of Russia it still plays 16:17 an important role in the country's 16:19 agricultural sector and serves as a 16:21 Transit hub for goods transported 16:23 between central Russia and Ukraine 16:26 initial estimates suggest that the 16:28 disruption caused by the offensive could 16:30 lead to economic losses of up to $500 16:32 million a month for Russia further 16:34 straining an economy already reeling 16:36 under Western sanctions and the costs of 16:40 war the political consequences of the 16:42 ksk offensive could be far more 16:44 important than its military and economic 16:46 impact for Vladimir Putin who has 16:49 dedicated his legitimacy to projecting A 16:51 Renewed Image of Russian power and 16:53 stability the presence of Ukrainian 16:55 forces on Russian territory represents 16:58 an unprecedented humiliation not since 17:01 1945 has Russia had to surrender control 17:04 of its territory to a foreign army 17:06 clearly undermining The Narrative of 17:08 revitalized Russian power that Putin has 17:11 carefully cultivated in more than two 17:13 decades in power opinion polls in the 17:16 aftermath of the attack on Ukraine 17:18 indicate a growing sense of unease among 17:21 the Russian people while the state 17:23 controlled media has sought to downplay 17:25 the scale of the attack independent 17:27 polls show that 60 % of Russians are now 17:30 somewhat concerned about the course of 17:31 the war a significant increase from 17:34 previous months this shift in public 17:36 sentiment could have far-reaching 17:37 consequences for the Putin regime 17:40 potentially eroding the support base 17:42 that allows it to pursue its aggressive 17:44 foreign policy agenda the great 17:46 embarrassment incurs is compounded by 17:48 the fact that Russia has directed its 17:50 entire economy towards sustaining the 17:52 war effort in Ukraine despite this 17:55 massive mobilization of resources 17:58 estimated to have consumed 30% of 18:00 Russia's GDP Russian forces have proven 18:03 incapable of defending their own borders 18:06 against a nation that the Kremlin 18:08 consistently portrays as weaker and 18:11 illegitimate this Stark truth is 18:14 difficult for even the most skilled 18:15 Russian propagandists to distort or 18:18 conceal Putin's muted reaction to the 18:21 attack on Ukraine says a lot about the 18:23 precariousness of his position the 18:26 carefully constructed facade of Russian 18:28 invincibility has been shattered 18:31 revealing vulnerabilities that can no 18:33 longer be hidden from the Russian people 18:35 or the International Community with 18:37 Ukrainian forces now firmly in control 18:39 of the Border areas in ksk and the 18:42 possibility of further offensives 18:43 looming it seems unlikely that Russia 18:45 will be able to completely dislodge the 18:47 aggressors during this war before the 18:49 end of the year the timing of this 18:51 setback is particularly damaging for 18:53 Putin's broader strategic goals before 18:56 the ksk offensive the Russian leader was 18:58 positioning himself to force Ukraine to 19:00 accept a ceasefire on terms favorable to 19:03 Moscow this strategy relied on 19:05 maintaining a steady if slow advance in 19:08 the donbas while convincing Western 19:10 governments that Russia was prepared to 19:12 sacrifice whatever it took to achieve 19:15 its goals depriving Ukraine of any 19:18 territorial success even at the cost of 19:21 terrible Russian losses was absolutely 19:23 crucial to this plan with Ukrainian 19:26 troops now operating on Russian 19:28 territory 19:29 this calculus has been turned upside 19:31 down Putin cannot contemplate a 19:33 ceasefire while foreign forces occupy 19:36 even an inch of Russian territory but 19:38 displacing them would require another 19:40 costly campaign similar to the one that 19:42 has been going on in donos for 2 years 19:45 the prospect of a protracted War of 19:47 Attrition looks increasingly untenable 19:49 for Moscow given that Russia has already 19:52 expended huge amounts of Manpower and 19:54 material and some analysts estimate that 19:57 its reserves of Soviet era equipment 19:59 will be exhausted by 2026 2027 the 20:03 Ukrainian High command has skillfully maneuvered Putin into a corner from which there is no easy Escape by exposing Russia's weaknesses and demonstrating its own capabilities for complex offensive operations they have given their Western backers a convincing case that Ukraine can indeed win this receives a steady supply of arms and ammunition the success of the ksk 20:28 offensive has also called Putin's Bluff 20:30 on the so-called red lines that Russia 20:32 has repeatedly invoked to discourage 20:34 Western military support for Ukraine 20:37 german-made tanks are now operating on 20:40 Russian territory destroying Russian 20:42 troops and the feared escalation has not 20:45 materialized this should serve as a 20:47 clear signal to Western leaders that 20:50 there is no longer any reason to 20:51 hesitate in providing Ukraine with all 20:54 the military capabilities it needs to 20:56 bring the conflict to a definitive 20:57 conclusion the path to ending the war 21:00 now seems clearer than ever Ukraine and its allies have the opportunity to break the Putin regime once and for all either through continued military pressure or by inflicting a defeat so decisive as to trigger political change within Russia Itself by exposing the fundamental weaknesses of the Russian military and political system the ksk operation has created an opening that must be decisively exploited in short even Belarusian Aid is unlikely to save Russia in this process for the Russians it seems to be too late thank you for following us

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