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RUSSIA IN MASSIVE ECONOMIC COLLAPSE Russia Ukraine: General David Petraeus - Ukraine’s Victory Looms - Putin’s Power on the Verge of Collapse PLAY YOUTUBE VIDEO Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Vqsn5frXu0 Peter Burgess COMMENTARY Peter Burgess
General David Petraeus - Ukraine’s Victory Looms - Putin’s Power on the Verge of Collapse Russia Ukraine Sep 20, 2024 13.4K subscribers ... 123,553 views ... 3.2K Likes Former General David Petraeus breaks down how Russia's ambition to dominate Ukraine is unraveling. As Ukraine’s fierce resistance pushes back Putin’s forces, Russia’s grand strategy is collapsing under its own weight. Despite relentless missile attacks on Ukrainian cities, the world is witnessing a once-powerful nation lose its grip—both on the battlefield and the global economy. Petraeus offers an inside perspective on the potential endgame: Could this war end at the negotiation table, and is Russia’s dominance over? Dive into the shocking revelations that reshape the future of this conflict and Russia’s fading global influence. Transcript 0:00 Russia's ambition to dominate Ukraine is collapsing under the weight of its own failure the world is witnessing a superpower Paralyzed by its own arrogance lost confidence in the face of a Fierce and determined Ukrainian resistance every night Russian missiles rain down on Ukraine's cities devastating infrastructure and tearing lives apart but what if I told you that this war could end in a way no one saw coming is Putin's grand plan finally unsustainable could this War Against All Odds find its resolution at the negotiating table let's hear from former General David Petraeus who has an inside perspective on what could finally bring this war to an end in the case of Ukraine I think this ends one of a couple of ways ideally Putin is convinced that it's unsustainable and he does actually sit down and negotiate a withdrawal of some type Ukraine even though they want whole and free as their objetive 1:01 nonetheless to get the war to stop the loss of life the civilian damage the damage to their infrastructure that's being done every single night by Russian missiles and Iranian drones and with the promise of hundreds of billions of dollars to rebuild the country a marshall like plan and an ironclad security guarantee that could look pretty pretty attractive to them and you might actually get some kind of negotiated resolution um otherwise it's possible that you get Ukraine achieves what it can on the battlefield it's adequate and then they get a frozen conflict as they say as it was before but with different front lines yet it's sufficiently enduring and we provide a security guarantee and lots of support so that they can actually rebuild and even perhaps attract outside investment as we consider the long-term implications of this war there's another crucial factor that could shape Ukraine's future the challenge is n just 2:00 about winning on the battlefield it's also about ensuring that Victory can be sustained again without a security guarantee obviously outside investment won't be forthcoming and the hundreds of billions of dollars needed for the Reconstruction would just get it back to where it was not Propel it to the next level so I think those are among the ways I don't see a Russian Victory uh and I don't know at this vantage point that I see a complete Ukrainian Victory either as they would Define it which is to retake all of their country including the Crimean Peninsula which is a challenging military problem given the terrain and the canal and mountains and a variety of other things and a lack of amphibious capabilities and then that portion of Southeastern part of the country that the separatists have been controlled since 2014 having explored the devastating impact of Modern Warfare on Russia's military and its limitations as outlined by David Petraeus it's clear that Russia is no longer the force it once was but the true shock wave of this 3:01 change isn't confined to the battlefield it extends far beyond Rippling through the global economy now more than ever it's evident that the world economy has moved on and remarkably no longer needs Russia just a few years ago the idea that the world economy could function without Russia would have been dismissed as fantasy after all Russia supplied 83% of Europe's natural gas by 2021 with countries like Germany Finland Greece and Austria heavily dependent on these exports Russia was also a major supplier to Japan and China particularly in LNG Vladimir Putin confident in this leverage believed that his country's vast resources could keep the global economy at his Mercy especially after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine Putin's strategy was simple use Russia's critical exports of gas oil metals and agriculture as a weapon to force the world into to submission however this 4:02 was a grave miscalculation much like his underestimation of Ukraine's resistance Putin also failed to account for the resilience and adaptability of the global economy in the wake of his invasion the world particularly the West embarked on an Unexpected Journey towards economic independence from Russia rendering it increasingly irrelevant Europe once overwhelmingly reliant on Russian natural gas was thrust into an energy crisis when Putin cut off supplies in September 2022 his objective was clear freeze European nations into submission by depriving them of energy and forcing them to abandon support for Ukraine but instead of succumbing to this pressure Europe responded with remarkable Ingenuity European nations implemented a three-step plan to break free from Russian energy dominance first they began reducing gas consumption stockpiling supplies and seeking alternative sources 5:00 by late 2022 Europe had filled gas storage to 82% avoiding the dire energy shortages Putin had banked on this Collective effort was bolstered by an unseasonably warm winter lowering energy demand the Second Step involved finding new sources of energy Europe turned to LNG from the United States which delivered an impressive 55 billion cubic M of LNG in response meanwhile Norway emerged as Europe's top supplier of piped gas surpassing Russia together these efforts drastically reduced Europe's Reliance on Russian gas from nearly 50% to just 9% renewable energy also played a key role further diminishing Russia's influence by 2023 Europe had built up gas storage and diversified its energy portfolio to the point where Russia's absence in the energy Market was no longer an issue the shift was so comprehensive that Europe aims to raise its LG capacity to over 6:02 200 billion cubic M equivalent to what Russia once exported this not only secures Europe's Energy Future but also strikes a major blow to Russia's Financial clout Russia's oil exports once a major force in global markets have similarly lost their grip in 2021 Russia was exporting around 7.9 million barrels of oil per day following the invasion of Ukraine oil prices initially spiked but the the world quickly adjusted the G7 Nations imposed price caps on Russian oil limiting Putin's ability to profit from his most valuable resource while Russia retaliated by halting oil exports to countries participating in the price cap the market didn't respond as Putin had hoped oil prices fell and alternative producers like the US Canada and Brazil stepped in to fill the Gap by late 2022 these countries were producing an additional 4 million barrels of oil 7:00 daily this rapid response meant that Russia's once dominant role in oil markets was effectively diminished though Russia found new buyers in China and India it's doing so at a heavy discount India for instance is now purchasing 30 times more Russian oil than before but with price cuts of up to 50% this means that while Russia continues to sell oil it's earning far less than before severely undermining its economic position with every p passing month Russia's economic leverage over the world diminishes countries that once relied on Russian resources are now turning to new suppliers or investing in their own domestic capabilities whether it's energy agriculture or Metals Russia is no longer indispensable even if Russia manages to find new markets for its exports the changing Global dynamics mean these new deals are far less lucrative than those it previously enjoyed the financial blow to Russia is significant while it still manages to 8:00 sell resources like oil and gas the terms are far less favorable and the profits much lower the once proud supplier of energy to Europe is now selling oil to Asia at half the global price this economic collapse is further compounded by the kremlin's reluctance to release full economic data a clear sign of the country's worsening situation the world economy has not only survived without Russia but is thriving without it the adaptability of global markets the rise of alternative suppliers and a collective shift towards renewable energy have all ensured that Russia's role in the global economy is no longer crucial Putin's miscalculations have left Russia isolated with little leverage and a rapidly diminishing influence on the world stage and that's a wrap on today's update if you found this analysis insightful don't forget to like share and subscribe for more in-depth coverage on global events stay informed and we'll see you in the next one one

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