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Date: 2025-01-04 Page is: DBtxt003.php txt00027547
US ELECTION 2024
ELECTION 2024 ... JUST 3 WEEKS TO GO

Republik: Kamala Harris SKYROCKETS In SHOCKING NEW 2024 Election Polls | ALL 50 STATES Map Projection


Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DgCb_GVBdR8
Peter Burgess COMMENTARY

Peter Burgess
Kamala Harris SKYROCKETS In SHOCKING NEW 2024 Election Polls | ALL 50 STATES Map Projection

Republik

Oct 12, 2024

3.83K subscribers

Transcript
  • 0:00
  • with election day less than a month away
  • new polls reveal kamla Harris is
  • building substantial momentum leading in
  • key Battleground States and making
  • impressive strides in traditionally
  • conservative areas as her support
  • continues to grow in critical regions
  • Harris is not just holding her ground
  • she's actively broadening her reach in
  • this analysis we'll explore the latest
  • polling data across all 50 states to
  • illustrate how the 2024 electoral
  • landscape is shaping up in her favor
  • let's begin with California where kamla
  • Harris enjoys a comfortable advantage in
  • her home state polls indicate a
  • commanding 24-point lead over Trump a
  • margin supported by her strong political
  • Roots as a former Attorney General and
  • US senator this positions California as
  • a solid Blue State in Oregon the race is
  • notably closer with Harris ahead by Five
  • Points though this data comes from a
  • July pole considering more recent
  • figures Oregon remains likely blue
  • reflecting Harris's steady performance

  • 1:01
  • in the Pacific Northwest moving to
  • Washington Harris holds a 21-point lead
  • in the latest poll keeping the state
  • securely in the solid blue column and
  • ensuring Democratic control across the
  • entire west coast region in Nevada it
  • remains a very competitive state with
  • Harris and Trump tied in a recent poll
  • however Harris currently holds a slim
  • 0.5% Edge over Trump overall Biden
  • narrowly won Nevada in 2020 and it has
  • seen some some Republican gains
  • particularly with the election of
  • Governor Joe Lombardo nevertheless the
  • state is expected to lean Democratic
  • with Harris retaining a small but
  • significant Advantage this makes it a
  • blue tilt State before we continue don't
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  • 2:01
  • Arizona has emerged as a critical
  • Battleground although Biden narrowly won
  • in 2020 recent polls show Trump with a
  • 1.4% edge with Arizona consistently
  • showing close races it's currently
  • classified as tilt red however Harris's
  • team is making a strong push to regain
  • ground meaning Trump will need to work
  • hard to maintain his lead in New Mexico
  • the situation looks a bit different
  • Harris is currently up by eight points
  • in the state while Republicans have made
  • some in roads particularly with Hispanic
  • voters New Mexico remains in the likely
  • blue column Democrats are focusing on
  • preserving and potentially expanding
  • their lead to keep the state securely in
  • their Camp moving to Colorado Harris
  • holds a comfortable 12-point Advantage
  • the state's growing Urban centers like
  • Denver and Boulder along with
  • demographic shifts have solidified its
  • Democratic lean in recent years Biden's
  • 13.5% win in 2020 further reinforces
  • Colorado's likely blue status during

  • 3:00
  • this election cycle turning to the
  • central us it's important to acknowledge
  • that Trump holds significant leads in
  • States like Utah Wyoming and Idaho with
  • margins ranging from 20 to 40 points in
  • past elections Montana also leans
  • heavily Republican with Trump leading by
  • 23 points reinforcing the state's red
  • standing Nebraska's second congressional
  • district stands out where Harris holds
  • an 11-point advantage although this lead
  • May narrow as the race continues the
  • district currently falls under the
  • likely Democratic category the rest of
  • the state along with both dtas remains
  • solidly Republican as do the states of
  • Kansas and Oklahoma heading down to
  • Texas the Lone Star State has been a
  • primary target for democrats for years
  • but flipping it remains a long-term
  • challenge Trump currently leads by
  • 6.6% down from his initial ninepoint
  • Victory although Harris's team has eyes
  • on Texas the state is considered lean
  • red for now with hopes for a

  • 4:00
  • breakthrough down the line as the
  • state's demographics continue to change
  • in Alaska Trump's lead is solid as
  • expected while Harris maintains a strong
  • position in Hawaii a reliably Democratic
  • State focusing on the Midwest a critical
  • region for both campaigns Harris must
  • secure Minnesota which is her running
  • mat's home state as well as the key blue
  • wall states of Wisconsin Michigan and
  • Pennsylvania these states are must-wins
  • for Harris based on current pathing and
  • and given Trump success in flipping all
  • three in 2016 with polling showing tight
  • margins in these areas the Midwest is
  • set to be the stage for a pivotal battle
  • for electoral votes recent polls in
  • Minnesota show Harris maintaining a
  • six-point lead a noticeable decrease
  • from her earlier double-digit Advantage
  • this tighter margin raises some concerns
  • particularly in a state where her
  • running mate is the governor given
  • Minnesota's history of voting Democratic
  • since 1972 it's not expected to shift
  • any anytime soon this makes Minnesota a

  • 5:02
  • lean Blue State over in Iowa Trump is
  • expected to secure a victory continuing
  • his trend from 2016 and 2020 when he won
  • by nine and eight points respectively
  • the state falls into the likely red
  • column Harris however is holding a
  • comfortable lead in Illinois where she
  • is ahead of Trump by 18 points according
  • to their second matchup poll placing
  • Illinois as a solidly blue State
  • meanwhile Indiana is expected to favor
  • Trump heavily based on past voting
  • patterns with a likely double digigit
  • leag consistent with his previous wins
  • making this a likely State based on
  • current polls turning to Ohio Trump
  • leads by only
  • 7.7% while Not His Highest margin it
  • underscores his deep rooted support in
  • the state both Ohio and Iowa were
  • Democratic as recently as 2012 but
  • Trump's significant victories in 2016
  • shifted both States firmly into the
  • Republican column the reelection of both
  • both States Republican Governors by

  • 6:01
  • large margins in 2022 further
  • underscores this trend Ohio is
  • considered as likely red this leaves
  • three pivotal states on the map
  • Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania
  • Harris would need to sweep all three to
  • reach the critical 270 electoral votes
  • so that means if Trump picks up just one
  • of these states his path to Victory
  • becomes significantly easier in
  • Wisconsin the race is incredibly close
  • with Harris leading by just 0.6% in the
  • polling average however given the
  • state's polling inaccuracies in the last
  • election where Biden was projected to
  • win by 6.7% but only secured a 0.7%
  • victory the race remains very
  • unpredictable for now Wisconsin leans
  • toward Harris but only by a tilt in
  • Michigan the contest remains highly
  • competitive as well with 538 showing
  • Harris holding a slim 0.7% overall lead
  • in the state

  • 7:00
  • while some Outlets have reported the
  • race as tied the numbers overall suggest
  • a tilt toward Harris making Michigan one
  • of the most closely watched States and
  • currently leaning Democratic on the
  • electoral map the Northeast offers Solid
  • Ground for Harris with several States
  • locked into the Democratic column
  • Vermont Connecticut Delaware
  • Massachusetts Rhode Island Maryland and
  • Washington DC are firmly in her Corner
  • New Jersey also leans towards Harris
  • despite recent controversies in the area
  • in New York New York Harris still
  • maintains a very solid lead though not
  • as strong as in past years for Democrats
  • currently she is ahead by 14 points a
  • smaller margin from Biden's 23o margin
  • in 2020 if this margin Falls below 15%
  • it would be the first time since 1988
  • that a Democrat won New York by such a
  • small amount for now New York is
  • considered solid blue New Hampshire is
  • also considered likely blue for Harris
  • with a 7% overall lead in recent polls
  • meanwhile Maine is more nuanced although

  • 8:02
  • Harris has a strong Statewide lead of 17
  • points according to the University of
  • New Hampshire a pan-atlantic pole
  • presents a different picture showing
  • only an eight-point lead historically
  • Maine has been more competitive than it
  • appears on the surface Clinton won by
  • only 3% in 2016 and Biden by just under
  • 10% Harris is secure in Maine's First
  • District but the second district
  • continues to lean red a reflection of
  • Trump's strong support there in 2016 and
  • 2020 shifting to the southeast Trump's
  • support solidifies significantly across
  • many states Missouri Arkansas Louisiana
  • Mississippi and Alabama are solidly red
  • in Tennessee Trump leads by a massive 26
  • points and he holds similar double-digit
  • advantages in Kentucky and West Virginia
  • ensuring a strong Republican presence
  • throughout the region South Carolina
  • remains comfortably red as well over in
  • North Carolina Ina it's a Battleground

  • 9:01
  • state where Trump has never lost Trump
  • has held on to the state with margins of
  • 4% in 2016 and 1% in 2020 currently he
  • has a less than onepoint lead
  • positioning North Carolina as a tilt
  • Republican state Harris would face a
  • considerable challenge in trying to flip
  • a state that has gone Democratic just
  • once since
  • 1976 but clearly she has a chance to
  • shock everyone and take the state in
  • Georgia which has 16 electoral votes it
  • stands out as one of the key focal
  • points of this election Trump leads by
  • an ultraslim average of 0.8% across
  • polls and while three recent surveys
  • indicated a tie it makes the overall
  • trend difficult to classify if Trump
  • secures Georgia he strengthens his path
  • to Victory flipping Georgia and Arizona
  • back to Red combined with success in
  • other Battlegrounds like Pennsylvania
  • could seal the deal for Trump in
  • November Georgia is tilt red for now

  • 10:00
  • down in Florida it has shifted firmly
  • into the red column in recent years
  • despite being a competitive state in the
  • past Trump's three-point margin in 2020
  • and Ronda Sis's 20po win in the 2022
  • gubernatorial race indicates a continued
  • rightward Trend with Trump leading by
  • just under five points in current
  • polling Florida is marked as lean red
  • with the potential to decrease further
  • as Harris has been performing better
  • than Biden here now we have the final
  • two states and both are extremely
  • important in Virginia a state which has
  • long favored Democrats is proving to be
  • somewhat of a stronghold for kamla
  • Harris this election cycle with Harris
  • leading Trump by over seven points
  • Virginia remains securely in the likely
  • blue category the state's history of
  • democratic dominance and Harris's
  • current lead suggests that it's no
  • longer going to end up being a
  • Battleground this cycle while
  • Republicans May hope to make gains here
  • the numbers indicate that Harris is
  • firmly in control solidifying Virginia

  • 11:00
  • as a reliable Democratic state in 2024
  • in our final state of Pennsylvania it's
  • undeniably one of the most critical
  • Battleground states in the race with its
  • 19 electoral votes any result there can
  • significantly impact the outcome if
  • Trump manages to take Pennsylvania
  • Harris's path to Victory becomes much
  • more difficult even winning Arizona and
  • Nevada wouldn't compensate for a loss in
  • such a crucial state currently
  • Pennsylvania leans towards Harris with
  • an ultr Slim 0.4% overall lead that
  • makes it a blue tilt state for now as it
  • stands the current projections show KLA
  • Harris in the lead on track to secure
  • the necessary electoral votes to win the
  • 2024 presidency with strong momentum in
  • key Battleground States and continue
  • gains in traditionally Republican areas
  • Harris could be poised for victory as
  • the final weeks of the campaign unfold
  • Trump faces the challenge of reversing
  • this momentum to avoid what could be a
  • surprisingly weak performance thanks
  • thanks for tuning in and don't forget to

  • 12:01
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