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Date: 2025-01-04 Page is: DBtxt003.php txt00027653

US ELECTION 2024 DIANE FRANCIS ON TIMES RADIO Times Radio: Trump will lose the election by five percent - this is what cost him \| Diane Francis PLAY YOUTUBE VIDEO Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jDTFWARFCeo Peter Burgess COMMENTARY Peter Burgess
Trump will lose the election by five percent - this is what cost him \| Diane Francis Times Radio 1.04M subscribers Nov 4, 2024 “It seems to me that she wins by five percent.” Women and the LGBTQ+ community will come out for Kamala Harris, costing Donald Trump the election, Diane Francis predicts. Join this channel to get access to perks - / @listentotimesradio 📻 Listen to Times Radio - https://www.thetimes.co.uk/radio 🗞 Subscribe to The Times https://www.thetimes.co.uk/subscribe/... 📲 Get the free Times Radio app https://www.thetimes.co.uk/radio/how-... Transcript 0:00 if you add all those demographic pieces together it seems to me that she wins by 5% so Diane what do you think that the October surprise was well I think there were quite a few of them uh they came fast and furious and uh I think Elon Musk definitely coming out publicly he was already a uh a converted uh Trump fan but the fact that he went out publicly at rallies he paid huge money uh he gave Trump uh 45 million a month for his campaign if he elect if he put JD vents on the ticket as vice president so he has done an enormous amount of money uh enor devoted money and time and that is very unusual for someone to come out so for square in favor of a candidate uh the other surprise was Steve Bannon who is the architect of the whole magum movement uh you know this is a guy who's a revolutionary he's not a politician uh 1:01 he wants to upend the entire world order uh no less and he was very instrumental in the January 6th Riot uh on the Capitol Building concerning the the allegation that Trump had been uh stolen that his election Victory had been stolen so he went to jail for that because he refused to testify under his subpoena at Congress about whatever role he played in that so he just got out of the slammer uh last week just before the election and he's already stoking the Flames of stop the steel this is going to be rigged and this is what you know we could do about it if we are uh if we do lose and that sort of thing so he's very toxic um and he he will be powerful in terms of uh putting his thumb on the on the on the scales so those two amount to big surprises I think The Economist magazine was an October surprise it's 2:00 never endorsed an American presidential candidate and it came out in favor of trump called him dangerous and that's quite prestigious because their readership are probably mostly conservatives and business people who would normally tend to gravitate toward a trump rather than a Social Democrat like kamla Harris so those are some of the surprises I thought the rally in New York was not a surprise but what was said was pretty shocking and basically uh Trump has decided to double down on um intolerance and racist statements just to stoke up his base and get everybody excited and also after those Puerto Rico comments we saw bad buddy uh the musician who is Puerto Rican come out and endorse Harris and I think some of the analysts that we've been spoking speaking to um have said you know that's almost bigger than Taylor Swift endorsing Kaa Harris for president just because because of you know bad buddy is 3:03 a Latino artist and that's kind of the exact voter pool that people are that um that both candidates are trying to grab right now that's right and uh I have thought for quite a while and I've said so publicly uh that uh she will win because there are more women than men that vote about four to five% more of the voters are female and a greater proportion of women are Democrats than rep Republican and the other uh the other issue is of course the uh the gays and the Trump candidacy has really doubled down on on putting out their really really nasty awful ads about trans people about gays spewing lies about you know they want to take over the world and take our children from us and all this nonsense and so I I've got to believe that quietly that every gay person in America male or female is going to get out there and vote against 4:01 Trump because he's definitely gay bashing and anti-gay the gay population uh in the United States amounts to 7.1% this is not a small amount so I've always said that between the women and the gays I think that uh the Democrats have have the advantage but it's it looks to be a tie but the polls are never reliable saying that though we've just had a poll in from Iowa um saying that actually it could flip to to the Democrats do you think that that's at all possible well it's a lot of if this and if that and you know this is conjecture I mean we call it the polar coaster that's what we're talking about the polar coaster and every day there's some uh ignorant journalist and some uh you know biased newspaper or website that says oh it's all G to boil down to Pittsburgh you know as if it's all going to boil down to anything everything is attached and not attached in other words every every 5:00 uh every Precinct that that either one of them wins isn't affected by the others and doesn't affect the others it's all free standing and and it just has to add up to the right number what do you think about this kind of the final stretch of the campaign you know K's definitely managed to get a bit more momentum in the last couple of days and from the Trump side it just seems to have been quite chaotic like yesterday he seemed quite angry um political reported that this was trumpet his most aggrieved his most discursive um but it feels like this would be the time that he should have you know raided it in a bit more to you know appeal to those undecided voters he's always been angry that's his brand H I don't think uh managing how he behaves is going to matter a darn you either like that brand and that brand is angry is masculine 6:00 uh is is uh somewhat racist and sexist and certainly author leans authorit toward authoritarianism and Vengeance if that's your if that's your uh if that's what you like you're G to get his vote and and I really don't think that uh he's really a lot different than he was back in 2016 he started remember he started on a racist uh note by uh becoming the birther you know claim cling that Barack Obama this is before he'd even I think become candidate was not really an American which is code word for he's black he's not really one of us he's not a white guy and so this is really the last Terra of the white guys in America this election in my opinion do you think that the Trump campaign is a bit nervous this weekend I think everybody's probably nervous because you know we really don't know you really don't know till all the ballots are cast and and even then it's going to be a delay you know when the 7:01 polls close 8 o'clock Eastern time in the United States and then it gets progressively later we're going to be way into the next day before we're going to get a definitive answer unless somebody just runs away with it and that does not look like the case this is a very divided country because it's a gender election I was listening to um ND scaramucci and he said that actually by making the comments that he did about Liz Cheney and by making comments about uh reporters he could actually be violating the terms of his parole by you know with that kind of violent rhetoric do you think that that's possible and what kind of consequences could that have well I think I think he's 100% right and Not only would that violate the terms of parole but also is a criminal code offense in Canada in Britain and most countries and in the United States He is uttering death threats not particularly the Vue illusion he had to I don't care if some 8:01 reporters get killed why they shoot at me because you know that would make me happy but it's when he directed it to her and talked about a firing squad guns at her face that she should be eliminated that is a death threat that is a criminal code offense and apparently there's a couple of Attorneys General in the United States looking at it but it seems to me that every district attorney in the United States should be slamming him with charges slapping him with charges this is just you can't have this you know you I mean he's doing it in a cutesy way and and he's forgiven because oh well you know that's just him well you know what if I stand up or you stand up and say I want the mayor shot to death we go to jail we get charged that's a death threat it's illegal he gets away with it lastly I just wanted to ask you and you kind of said it already but who do you think is going to win I think Harris is going to win not by a huge amount but I believe 9:02 and my analysis is not scientific it's just based on the fact that 7% of the population is gay and they're going to vote they're not going to vote for Trump and that more women than men 4% more women vote in the presidential elections than men and women are disproportionately Democrats plus I would add that I think there's more educated people in the United States than uneducated people and his his base is drawn from the uneducated male people who are straight and so if you add all those demographic pieces together it seems to me that she wins by 5%

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