Re: [PeopleToPeople] How to create economic prosperity in Ethiopia?
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Dula dula06@gmail.com via groups.io
Jan 29, 2022, 10:50 PM
to Kidane, Abate, Abbay, abebe, Ethiopia, Abebu, Abera, Abera, Kidie, Abraham, Abu, Account, achameyeleh, Achamyeleh, Addisu, Adugnaw, Agere, Ahmed, Ahmed, akliludw@yahoo.com, Aklog, Aklog, Alem, Alemante, Alemayehu, Alemy, Allelign, almaz, amariam@csusb, Ambachew, Amha, Amhara, contact@ethiopiaunited.org, amsal, andargachew, kendie14, Anteneh, Asegash, Asegdew, Askebir, Asrat, Assefa, Assefa, Dr, Assegid, Assegid, Atsede, Ayalsew, Ayele, Aynalem, befege@gmail.com, Berhanu, Berhanu, Bete, Betru, Birhanu, bmengist@odu.com, Brook, Chalachew, cherinet, contact@ezega.com, contact@gadaa.com, damotdamot12@gmail.com, danielss42@hotmail.com, Dawit, Dawit, db, mogus_brook@yahoo.com, debebeduffera@gmail.com, demismengist@gmail.com, Degefa, Degone, Dereje, Desalegn, dhugshu@yahoo.com, Abera, Abraham, Daneal, Hassan, Moges, Paulos, Yacob, Efrem, Eleni, Elias, Elias, Endale, Endashaw, Erku, Ermias, Ethio, Ethiopatriot, Ethiopiachen, ethiopianaffairs@gmail.com, Ethiopian, ethiotimesmedia@gmail.com, Ethiopian, info@ambapu.org, info, eyobletter@gmail.com, feyissaararssa@gmail.com, Fikru, fissaha, Fisseha, Frehiwot, Gabriel, Gebeyehu, Gebreye, Geletaw, Gera-show, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getatchew, Girma, Girma, Girma, Girma, grufael+@outlook.com, Haile, Haile, i, Imru, info@cardeth.org, INGIDAASFAW@aol.com, inter.ethiopiansolidarityforum1@gmail.com, Kassa, Elsabett, Kassa, Kassahun, Kassahun, kghenna@gmail.com, Kifle, Kifle, Kone, Lealem, lehager, Lemma, Mulatu, Lsenbet, Mahemud, Mammo, Mammo, Maru, mattnguc@gmail.com, Mekdelawit, Mekonnen, Melaku, Melaku, Assefa, mentewaba@comcast.net, Meron, Mersie, Mesfin, Mesfin, mesfin, mesfin.melaku@pmo.gov.et, Meskerem, meskeremabi@gmail.com, Michael, mikael.wossen680, Minga, mo, Kidane, mulilife2@yahoo.com, mulumebet, Neb, Negash, Negash, Nigus, Nigussu, ontact@gadaa.com, Paulos, PeopleToPeople, Alemayehu, Professor, Raey, redie.bereketeab@gmail.com, Rule, Sam, Samson, Samuel, Samuel, Seid, Semahagn, Sew, Shiferaw, Sirage, Sisay, sisay.asfea@gmail.com, Solomon, Solomon, Solomon, solomon, solomon@ethiopianembassy.org, Tadesse, Tadesse, Tadesse, tadesse, Tam, Tamagne, Tamirate, Tamirate, Tamrat, TaridocGmaily, Taye, Daniel, Tekle, tenyew16@gmail.com, Teshome, Tezera, Tigist, Tilahun, Tilahun, tolla.berisso@gmail.com, Tsegaye, Tsegaye, Tsehai, Tsehai, Tsehay, Tsigereda, Tsigereda, Wesenyelesh, Wogene, Wondimu, Wongel, Yacob, Yassin, Yeharerwerk, Yeshitila, Yeshiwork, Yigletu, Yilma, yohannes, Yohannes, Yonas, Yoseph, ZeHabesha, Zehabesha, Zeke, zeke.eskender@gmai.com, Zenebe, Zerihun, Zewdu, Zewdu, Zewge
There are a few things Ethiopia can learn from Ghana and China to propel its economy. Of course, Ghana was able to leverage the Diaspora more effectively than any country in Africa. This strategy was instrumental in making Ghana a destination for many Black people around the world.
One of the big factors that propelled China's economy was its voracious appetite to leverage technology, usually stolen from Japan and USA and decoupling its economy from the bondage of state monopoly and de-collectivization of its agricultural sector.
Both Ghana and China made it easy to invest for their own citizens, Diaspora and others. Ethiopia can open up its economy by privatizing banking, telecom (already started) and other businesses and by aggressively attracting foreign investments with a more transparent and efficient business environment.
Ethiopia can immediately take advantage of the Ethiopian diaspora to start companies and invest in Ethiopia by offering dual citizenship and turnkey operation or One Stop Business Center.
Dula
On Sat, Jan 29, 2022 at 9:00 AM Kidane Alemayehu wrote:
Selam.
Thank you for sharing the interesting information.
Please allow me to also recommend that it's time for competent individuals (in the diaspora and in Ethiopia) to formulate a strategic socioeconomic national development plan (short-, mid-, and long-term) as well as an action program based on the principles of Ethiopiawinnet, peace, unity, democracy, respect for human rights, rule of law, etc.) to relieve Ethiopians from the abject poverty they're suffering from despite the country's rich natural resources(Ethiopia is 173rd in the UNDP Human Development Index). The fundamental question is whether the qualified multi-disciplinary scholars are prepared to take the required action themselves instead of merely expecting the Government/others to do the important work.
Kidane Alemayehu.
On Saturday, January 29, 2022, 02:22:07 AM CST, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Selam
It is high time that we must start to think and act differently. We have to garner and use our own resources in excess of basic needs. Ethiopia must be economically self-reliant. Our current strategies and policies could not bring about sustained economic growth and development. Without the idea and practice of economic self-reliance, our current policies produce hit-and-miss successes. If and when the country is economically self-sufficient, we do not suffer from economic sanctions and could quickly recover even from TPLF destructions.
Please read and discuss the idea of economic self-reliance
China’s Pathways to Economic Self-Reliance: Lessons for Ethiopia.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
On Sat, 31 Jul 2021 at 12:50, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Selam to all
Attached please find final a paper on economic prosperity strategic thinking. I have reviewed the development plan of the country.
“Ethiopia did not have a formal economic prosperity strategy based on homegrown ideas and system thinking. Everyone is now aware of the shortcomings of the previous quantitative model and operational thinking of development policies, but there is generally no agreement yet on what thinking should replace them. Further research on quantitative economic policy and search for stock of statistical Information as tradition has it, is not any longer necessary. There is a need for a paradigm shift. To come out of the low productivity trap and satisfy military requirements of war, it is high time now to introduce and develop economic development strategic thinking at all levels: local, regional, and national.” Please read pages 10-12.
I appreciate it if you could share it.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
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tsegaye.tegenu@epmc.se via groups.io
Jan 30, 2022, 7:36 AM
to PeopleToPeople, Kidane, Abate, Abbay, abebe, Ethiopia, Abebu, Abera, Abera, Kidie, Abraham, Abu, Account, achameyeleh, Achamyeleh, Addisu, Adugnaw, Agere, Ahmed, Ahmed, akliludw, Aklog, Aklog, Alem, Alemante, Alemayehu, Alemy, Allelign, almaz, amariam@csusb, Ambachew, Amha, Amhara, contact, amsal, andargachew, kendie14, Anteneh, Asegash, Asegdew, Askebir, Asrat, Assefa, Assefa, Dr, Assegid, Assegid, Atsede, Ayalsew, Ayele, Aynalem, befege, Berhanu, Berhanu, Bete, Betru, Birhanu, bmengist, Brook, Chalachew, cherinet, contact, contact, damotdamot12, danielss42, Dawit, Dawit, db, mogus_brook, debebeduffera, demismengist, Degefa, Degone, Dereje, Desalegn, dhugshu, Abera, Abraham, Daneal, Hassan, Moges, Paulos, Yacob, Efrem, Eleni, Elias, Elias, Endale, Endashaw, Erku, Ermias, Ethio, Ethiopatriot, Ethiopiachen, ethiopianaffairs, Ethiopian, ethiotimesmedia, Ethiopian
Dear All
There is a lot of potential in this message forum to discuss policies concerning sustained and sustainable economic growth and development in Ethiopia. Forum members have different specialization skills, and we can help each other in solving policy problems as a team. I suggest the following steps to obtain the final document:
Step one: write a policy concept note in your area of specialization. The subject areas can be macroeconomic issues (imbalance, structural, supply & demand-side policies); sector policies (agriculture, industry, and service); or thematic issues (environment, institutions, technology, etc.). The concept note should not exceed more than one page. Send your notes to all mailing list members. I volunteer to compile the concept note in one document. Please send it in word and pdf format.
Step two: we will then discuss and systematically develop suggested policy concept notes through the application of knowledge about priorities, policy means, and the idea of economic self-sufficiency.
Stage three: dissemination and developing the final document through stakeholder participation.
We can do it. Start to write your one-page concept note containing the rationale, objectives, and instruments of the proposed policy. Any input is appreciable greatly.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
2022-01-30 01:30 skrev Dula:
I just want to add one more remark to my previous point. Currently, the Ethiopian government is spending all its revenues to fight the war, so there is nothing left for development according to Dr. Abiy. Any foreign investment has its own strings attached to it. Furthermore, such an investment is difficult to attract when the country is in a state of war.
So the best way to invigorate the economy is to allow the Diaspora to invest by opening the economy and by offering incentives such as dual citizenship, transparency, and turnkey operation or One Stop Business Center and more.
Dula
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MULUGETA BETRE via groups.io
Jan 31, 2022, 7:30 AM
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It perhaps might not be a bad idea to kind of reiterate the earlier points to the very effect of OUR Broad Mission (the first dissemination attempt on 31st Dec. 2021) at National [Amharic] and Global Scales [English]:
ዓለም አቀፋዊ የማያባራ ንቅናቄ እንደተጠበቀ ሆኖ፥
፩ኛ) የኢትዮጵያችን አጠቃላይ ልማት፣ ዕድገትና የዘመናዊ ሥልጣኔ ዕመርታ ዓብይ ጉዳይ ውል በማስያዝ፣ አግባብ ያባው እንቅስቃሴ ማዕቀፍ፣ በወጥነት በዘላቂነት ሁነኛ ዓይነተኛ ተሣትፎ ማድረግ፤
፪ኛ) የረዥሙን የዘላቂዉን ሥልጣኔን ታሳቢ በማድረግ፣ በተለይም በአዳጊ-ታዳጊዎች (ልጆችና ወጣቶች) ልማት ላይ ልዩ ትኩረት ማድረግ፤
፫ኛ) በመጪዎቹ ሦስትና አራት ዓመታት ውስጥ፣ ኢትዮጵያችን በምግብ ዋስትና ረገድ፣ ሙሉ በሙሉ ራስ የመቻል መርሐ ግብር፤ የርሀብ ታሪክን ለአንዴና ለመጨረሻ ጊዜ መዝጋት (መደምደም) መቻል፤
፬ኛ) በአሰቃቂ ድህነት ምክኒያት በጎዳና ላይ የሚጎሳቆሉትን ወገኖቻችንና በተመሣሣይ ምክኒያት በሴተኛ አዳሪነት የሚሰቃዩትን እህቶቻችንን ሁሉ፣ በሚቀጥሉት ሦስትና አራት ዓመታት ጊዜ ውስጥ፣ ሁነኛ የመፍትሔ መላ በማበጀት፣ ኢትጵያችን የተመጣጠነ ዘመናዊ ሥልጣኔ ጎዳና ብሩህ እንዲሆን ማድረግ፤ ልዩ ልዩ ሁነኛ አማራጮችን በተመለከተ፣ ሳይውል ሳያድር፣ በአስቸኳይ ጊዜ ርዕሰ ጉዳይ መንፈስ ... በሠለጠነ ምክክር ተመሥርቶ መርሐ ግብር መንደፍⵆ
፭ኛ) በመጪዎቹ አሥር ዓመታት ውስጥ፣ ድህነትን ከኢትዮጵያችን ማስወገድ መቻል፤
፮ኛ) በቀጣዩ የአንድ ትውልድ ዘመን (፳፭ - ፴ ዓመታት) ወሰን፣ አመርቂ (ሁነኛ) ዕመርታ ላይ መስፈንጠር መቻል፤
፯ኛ) ልዩ ዓለም አቀፍ ቀንዲል (ፋና ወጊ) አንፀባራቂ የዓድዋ ድልን በተመለከተ፣ ከመቶ ሃያምስተኛ ወደ መቶ ሃያ ስድስተኛ ዓመት አከባበር በምንሸጋገርበት ታሪካዊ ወቅት፣ ክቡር ጠ/ሚ ዶ/ር አብይ አህመድ አሊ ከከፍተኛ የኃላፊነት ሥራ ጓዶቻቸውና አማካሪዎቻቸው ረዳቶቻቸው በበጎ የሚቀበሉት ቢሆን፣ በተለይም በታላቁ (የዳግማዊ ንጉሠ ነገሥት ዓፄ ምኒልክ) ቤተ መንግሥት ቅጥር ግቢ የደቡብ ምሥራቅ ክፍል (ከአንድነት መናፈሻ ትይዩ) ላይ፣ ዓደዋ ዓለም አቀፋዊ ትምህርት ሥልጠናና ምርምር ትብብር ከፍተኛ ተቋም ዋና ማዕከል ተመቻችቶ፣ በኢትዮጵያችን ክፍሎችና በዓለም አቀፍ ደረጃ ደግሞ ቅርንጫፍ ማዕከላት ማስፋፋት መቻል፤
፰ኛ) እንደ አጠቃላይ ወቅታዊ የሣይንስንና የቴክኖሎጂ ትሩፋቶችን (ፀጋዎችን) (አጋጣሚዎችን) በአግባቡ በመቀመር፣ ሰብዓዊ፣ ማህበራዊ፣ ምጣኔ ሀብታዊ፣ ወታደራዊ፣ ቁሳዊ፣ ወዘተ ልማቶችን ሁሉ፣ በብስለት በሚዛናዊነት በፍትኃዊነት በወጥነት (ባለመዋዠቅ) በትይዩ ማራመድ መቻል ልዩ ትኩረት፤ ኢትዮጵያችንን በሁለገብ ምልዓተ ዓውድ ማስፈንጠርⵆ
ከላይ በርዕሱ በተጠቀሰው መሠረት፣ (ሀ) ሁለተኛው ዘላቂ ዓለም አቀፋዊ የነፃነትና የሉዓላዊነት ንቅናቄ ማዕበል፤ (ለ) የክቡር ጠ/ሚ ዶ/ር አብይ አህመድ አሊ ለኖቬል ሽልማት ዕጩነት … አቀጣጣይ ንቅናቄ ደብዳቤ፤ (ሐ) እ. ኤ. አ. 2015 ዓ. ም. ላይ በዘላቂ ልማትን ረገድ፣ በዓለም ዙሪያ ለታላላቅ መንግሥታት በሠፊው የተሠራጨ ድብዳቤን ያካተተ አባሪ …
በተረፈ፣ በማይዋልል በንፁህና ነፃ ሀገራዊ ፍቅር መንፈስ፣ የምሑራዊ የዜግነት ምልከታ ወቅታዊ ሚጢጢዬ ጠጠር ከመወርወር ባሻገር፣ ፈጽሞ ከየትኛውም ዓይነት የፖለቲካ ድርጅት ጋር የወገንተኝነት ተግባርም ምኞትም በህይዎት ታሪኬ ተመዝግቦ እንደማያውቅ በማረጋገጥ ጭምር፤
ጥቂት በማይባሉ ከሰሃራ በታች የሚገኙ የአፍሪቃ ሀገራት ሁሉ፣ የሀገራችን ወቅታዊ ተጨባጭ ነባራዊ ሁኔታ፣ በገሐድ በጉልህ የሚታወቅ ሆኖ፤ በዝርዝሩ በውል መካተት የነበረባቸው የጋራ (የትብብር) የፖሊሲ የአቅጣጫ ሀሳቦች በተጨማሪነት እንደሚከተለው፥
፱ኛ) አንፃራዊ የቅደም ተከተል ጉዳይ ተገቢው ግንዛቤና ግምት የሚሠጠው ቢሆንም ቅሉ፣ ዳሩ ግን፣ በቁርጠኛ የመስፈንጠር ጉዞ ረገድ ለአፍታም ያህል ቢሆን ትኩረትን ካለማዛነፍ እሳቤ፣ በውድ ድንቅ ብርቅ ኢትዮጵያችን ደረጃ ያሉ ሀገራት፣ የወዲያው አጣዳፊ አስቸኳይ ምላሾችን (መልሶ ማቋቋምን ጨምሮ) እና የሩቅ ዘመን ትልሞችን ሁሉ፣ በአርበኝነት ትጋት መሳ ለመሳ ከማከናውነ ውጭ፣ ሌላ የተሻለ ዓይነተኛ ሁነኛ አማራጭ እንደሌለ በውል ይሠመርበታልⵆ
፲ኛ) ‘ተዓምር’ ሊሠራ የሚችል ዕምቅ አቅም ያላቸው ወጣቶች ጎረምሶችና ጎልማሶች ሳይቀር በልመና በዕርጥባን አለዚያም በውንብድና በንጥቂያ በዝርፊያ የ“ሥራ” ዘርፎች ላይ የማተኮር (”ከእንጭጭነትም …“ በላይ ሆኖ የገዘፈ) ዝንባሌ ፣ ልዩ ትኩረትና በአስቸኳይ ተገቢው ሥርዓት እንዲበጅለት የተቀናጀ የሠመረ ርብርብ ማድረግ፤
፲፩ኛ) በቀላሉ ተስፋ በመቁረጥ (የሥዕለ ልቦና ህሊና ዝቅተኝነት) ዋነኛ ምክኒያት፣ በተለይም ጥቂት የማይባሉ ታዳጊዎቻችን (ወጣቶቻችን) እና ጎልማሶቻችን፣ የጫትና የመጠጥ ሱሰኝነቶችን ጨምሮ በልዩ ልዩ የአደንዛዥ መርዞች ባርነት ጉያ ሥር የመላሸቅ ነባራዊ ተጨባጭ ሁኔታ፣ እጅግ በጣም አሳሳቢና አስጊ ደረጃ እየደረሰ ነው ቢባል ማጋነን አይሆንም፤ ስለዚህ፣ ብርቱ ትኩረትና ጥረት መደረግ ይኖርበታል ማለት ያስደፍራል፤ ከቀዳሚዎች ሁሉ ቀዳሚ የሚሆነው ጠቃሚ እርምጃ፣ ገና ከለጋ ዕድሜ ጀምሮ አዕምሮን ማበልፀግና ባህርይን መግራት መቻል ቢሆንም ቅሉ፣ ይህ እንደተጠበቀ፣ በተለይም በሥራ ሰዓት፣ እገሌ ከእገሌ ሳይለይ፣ በየትኛውም በመንግሥትም ሆነ በግል የሥራ ዘረፎች ሁሉ፣ አደንዛዥ አሳሳች አስፈንጋጭ (እንደ አጠቃላይ የማህበራዊ ህይዎት ጠንቅ) የሆኑ ተጠቃሚነቶች በህገወጥነት ተደንግገው ብርቱ ቁጥጥር ቢደረግባቸው፣ ተደማሪ ውጤት ሊገኝና ወገንን ትውልድን ዜጋን በመታደግ የሀገርን ብሔራዊ ጥቅሞች በማስከበር ረገድ፣ ተጨማሪ አቅም መፍጠር ይቻላል፤
፲፪ኛ) ኢትዮጵያችን በአያሌ ዓይነተኛ ሁነኛ ማሳያ መለኪያዎች “የሰው ዘር መገኛ፤ ምድረ ቀደምት” እንደመሆኗ፣ ይህን ተነፃፃሪ ከፍታ ማማዋን ግምት ውስጥ በማስገባት፣ የይለፍ (የቪዛ) እና ተዛማጅነት ያላቸው ሥርዓቶችን/ህጎችን፣ ደንቦችንና መመሪያዎች በውል በመርመር፣ የተሻለ የተወዳዳሪነት ቦታ ላይ እንድትቀመጥ ማድረግ መቻል፤ ከፓንአፍሪቃኒዝም (የተባበረች አፍሪቃ) አንፃር፣ ለአፍሪቃዊያን ልዩ ተፈጥሯዊ የከፍታ (የቀዳሚነት) ቦታ መሥጠት የተገባ ይሆናል፤ በእጅጉ የቅርቦቻችንን የሆኑትን የኤርትራዊያን የጂቡቲያዊያን፣ የሶማሊያዊያን፣ የሱዳናዊያን፣ የደቡብ ሱዳናዊያን፣ የኬንያዊያንና የዩጋንዳዊያን ወንድሞቻችንና እህቶቻችን ጉዳይም ይበልጥ በተለየ መልኩ፤ ለተናበበ ለተቀናጀና የሠመረ ሰላም ልማትና ዕድገት ጉዞዉም ብርቱ መተጋገዝ ይሆናል፤ እ. ኤ. አ. ከ1980ቹ ወዲህ ከኬንያ ጋር ብቻ ሳይሆን አይቀርም ኢትዮጵያችን “የይለፍ” ሥርዓት የማታወራርደው፤ እንደ “የሰው ዘር መገኛ፤ ምድረ ቀደምት” የዓለም አቀፍ ትብብሮች (የዓለም ሀገራት ሊግ፣ የተባበሩት መንግሥታት፣ የአፍሪቃ ህብረት፣ የገለልተኛ ሀገራት ድርጅት፣ ወዘተ) ዓይነተኛ ሁነኛ መሥራች ዓባል ሀገር፣ ለኢትዮጵያችን የሚመጥን ጠቃሚ አቋምም ተግባርም ገፅታም ሆኖ ሊወሰድ ስለማይችል፣ ጊዜ ሳይባክን መቀየርና መስተካከል ይኖርበታል፤ የእኛ ውስጠ ህብረትና አንድነት፣ ለአፍርቃዊያንና ለጭቁን ህዝቦች መተባበር፣ ዓይነተኛ ዋልታና መከታ የመሆኑ ጉዳይ፣ በውል በገሐድ በጉልህ ይታወቃልⵆ
በዓለም አቀፉም ይሁን፣ በቀጥተኛው በሀገር ውስጥ ሰላም፣ ልማትና ዕደገት ረገድ፣ ዕኩል ባለ አሥራ ሁለት ነጥቦች … በሁለቱም ግንባር (ዓውድ) የተመጣጠነ አጋዥ የትግል ድጋፍⵆ ፪ ሺህ ፲፬ ዓ. ም (2022) ከቀደሙት ዓመታት ሁሉ፣ በተለየ መልኩ ወሳኝ ይሁንልን!!
በሉ፣ “አይዞን አብረን … ” በዕመርታ በመስፈንጠር ዓብይ የወል ጎዳና፣ በተቀናጀ በሠመረ የአርበኝነት ጥረት በወጥነት በአስተማማኝነት በእርግጠኝነት በተከታታይነት በዘላቂነት እንመካከር እንጠነካከር፣ እንደጋገፍ፣ እንበረታታ፣ እናንፀባርቅ!!
ከምሥጋና ጋር የተባረከ ወደፊትን ለኢትዮጵያችን ለአፍሪቃችን ለዓለማች በሙሉ ተመኘሁ!!
ሙሉጌታ በትረ ገብረማሪያም (ኤም፣ ዲ.፣ ኤም ፒ. ኤች፣ ፒ. ኤች. ዲ)
ሐኪም መምህር ተመራማሪ (ተ/ፕሮፌሰር - ዶ/ር)
ጤና ሣይነስ ኮሌጅ
አዲስ አበባ ዩኒቭረሲቲ
31st December 2021
The WORLDWIDE “Define Tomorrow” and “SHAPE THE FUTURE” MOTION thru the UN General Assembly RESOLUTION: SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL ORDER “Second Round (i. e. the ADWA Victory to the 1960s forming the ‘First’ Wave) Worldwide Solidarity Wave for Complete Liberty & Sovereignty” from the “Cradle of Humanity – The Land of Origins” ETHIOPIA serving the Legitimate Anchor Beacon Center of Gravity Hub.
Never let go the “#NoMore” Worldwide Movement up until full prevalence of liberty and sovereignty to all humans everywhere. MAX Productive “Co-Creation” Partnership among the Africa, Caribbean and Pacific (Global South) Societies must serve the engine to the effect.
Shake, Shape and Transform the 20th Century United Nations Architecture in a authentic, credible, equitable and sustainable model to enable fit the 21st Century and the Future Dynamics.
Restructure - Reform the UN Security Council Membership to ensure: [2.1] equitable and fair representations for Africa, Latin America and Asia in particular; [2.2] better five, but at least three slots particularly for the African countries.
- Remove the “Veto” privilege of the 20st Century Framework and instead institutionalize decision making by the direct majority vote alternative proper.
- Illegalize presence of any “Military Base” outside of the index country’s own territory proper.
- Dissolve the proven neocolonialist, expansionist and nonconstructive NATO machinery altogether (the tangible lessons from the Afghanistan, Balkan Countries, Haiti, Iraq, Libya, Somalia, Syria, and the hybrid proxy interventions across several more African countries, including massive looting of the vital resources).
- Institutionalize “UN Peace, Security and Stability Force” to Monitor the potentially conflict prone hot-spots (flashpoints and trade routes) around the world.
- Put all of the “Weapons of Mass Destruction” under the exclusive custody of an Independent UN Facility.
- Ensure the fulfillment of any given country’s indivisible full development partnership choice(s) and decision making power right.
- Reform the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, World Trade Organization and similar to enure equitable and fair participation
- Illegalize the interference through every conceivable “sphere of influence” pretext AND institutionalize reasonable (and coordinated) compensation system for the losses as a result of the systematic series of marginalization to date.
- Introduce UN governed accountability system to the country (-ies) enacting any degree/form of politically-motivated bullying, coercion, dictation, imposition, interference, prescription, sanction and the like.
Thank you.
MULUGETA Betre Gebremariam
[MD, DTRL, MPH, HDTL, PHD]
Assoc. Professor - Dr., College of Health Sciences
Addis Ababa University
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Elizabeth Ayalew liza.ayalew@gmail.com via groups.io
Feb 8, 2022, 9:56 AM
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I very much enjoyed reading this rich description of the context for the etymology of 'Fano'. Thank you!
Much to my dismay, I found Wikipedia's explanation of the same word to have been misguiding and misinforming. This is how history and knowledge are misconstrued.
See the link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fano_(nationalist_movement)
Regards,
On Mon, Jan 31, 2022 at 11:07 PM Getahun, Solomon Addis wrote:
እንደምን ሰነበታችሁ፣ የዚህ ስብሥብ ታዳሚዎች! ከዚህ በታች ያቀረብኩት ጽሁ ስለፋኖና ስለሰሞኑ ፡ፋኖን፡ በተንሸዋረረ መንገድ ለሚመለከቱት ወጎኖች ከታሪክ አንጻር ለማሳሰብ ነዉ፡፡ መልካም ንባብ
አንድ ለፋኖ
ይህ መጣጥፍ፡ ሰሞኑን ስለፋኖ በማወቅም ይሁን ባለማወቅ፡ ብዙ ይባላል፡፡ ግማሹ፡ ፋኖን የዒትዮጵያ፡ ዘበኛና ጠበቃ ሲያደርገዉ፡ ሌላዉ ደግሞ፡ የኢትዮጵያ የወደፊት ፈተና፡ ወይንም ችገር ፈጣሪ፡ አድርገው ይመለከተዋል፡፡ “ለምን?” ይህን ጥያቄ ከመመለሴ በፊት፡ ፋኖ ማለት ምን ማለት ነዉ? እንዴትስ ተጠፈጠረ፣ ከየትስ የመጣ ባህል ነዉ? የሚለዉን ለማስረዳት እሞክራለሁ፡፡
የሸዋ ሰዉ (በሸዋ አማረኛ) “ለምን ታኮርፋለህ” ወይንም “ትቆጣለህ” ሲል፡ የጎንደር፣ የጎጃምና የወሎ ሰዉ ደግሞ “ፉን አትበል” ሴት ከሆነች ደግሞ “ምን ፉን ፉን ትላለች”፤ ወይንም፡ “ምንድን ነዉ ፉን ፉን፡ ይሚያደርጋት”? “የሚያደርገዉ” ይላል (ይባላል)፡፡ አንድ ሰዉ ተቆጥቶ፡ ያልተለመደ ባህሪ ሲያሳይ፡፡ እናም “ፎነነ”፣ “ተፉነነ” ሲል “አኮረፈ”፣ “አገመጠ”፣ “ተቆጣ”፣ “አጎዶመደ” እንደማለት ነዉ፡፡ እናም፡ የተቆጣ ሰዉ፡ ወንም ቁጣ፣ ቁጣ የሚለው ሰዉ፡ የቁጣዉን መንስኤ፡ ለመራቅ ወይንም ለማስወገድ፡ ይሸፍታል፤ “ፋኖ” ይሆናል፡፡ ኩርፊያ ደግሞ የሚመጣዉ፣ በደል ሲደርስ፣ ዳኝነት፣ ፍትህ ርትዕ ሲጓደል፡ “በዚህ አይነት ሁኔታ (ተዋርዶ) ከመኖር፡ ብሞት (ሞት) ይሻለኛል ብሎ” ወንድ ልጅ ይሸፍታል፡፡ በዚህ ግዜ፡ ያገር ሽማግሌ፡ ወደ ሸፈተው ሰዉ መልጃ ይላካል በሰላም እጁን እንዲሰጥ፣ ከተጣላዉ ሰዉ ጋር እንዲታረቅ፡ የመሬት ድንበር፣ ርስት፣ የደም (የግድያ)፣ የስርቆጥ ። ። ። ወዘተ፡ ጉዳዮች ሁሉ፡ በመንግስትም ላይ ቢሸፍት (ፍትህ ተጓደለብኝ ብሎ፣ ባለስልጣን አዳላብኝ፣ በደለኝ ብሎ)፡፡ ይህን ሁሉ እምቢ ካለ፡ ወቶአደር (ፖሊስ)፣ ወይንም ፡ ነጭለባሽ፡ ይላክበታል።
ፋኖነት፡ በግል ጉዳይ፡ ብቻ አይወሰንም፡፡ ባለሀገር (ባላገር)፡ መንግስት ግብር አበዛብኝ፡ ብሎ ያንድ አካባቢ ህዝብ (ለምሳሌም፡ የክፍለ ሃገር (ጠቅላይ ግዛት)፣ የአዉራጃ፣ የወረዳ) ሊፎንን (ፋኖ) ሊሆን ይችላል፡፡ ለምሳሌ በጎጃም “ይብርታምሳዉ (የብር ከሃምሳ) አመጽ ተብሎ የሚታወቅ፡ የጎጃም አመጽ ነበር፡ ምክኛቱ መንግስት ግብር መበጨመሩ፡ ይንን በመቃወም፡፡ በሰሜን ኢትዮጵያ (በትግራይና ወሎ)፡ “የራያና አዘቦ። ። ።አምጽ” [ነጠብጣቡን ያስቀመጥኩት፡ በዛሬ ዘመን፡ “ኦሮሞ” የሚባለዉ ስም ያኔ ሌላ ስለነበር፡ ላለመጠቀም፡ በመሻት ነዉ) የሚባል የህዝብ አመጽ፡ ጣልያን በወጣ ማግስት ነበር፡ ዛሬ ህወሃቶች “ቀዳማይ ወያኔ የሚሉት፡” በነገራችን ላይ፡ ይህ አመጽ በስሜን በጌምድርም ተዛምቶ ነበረና፡ የእንግሊዝ የሚመራዉ፡ የ4ተኛ እግረኛ ሻለቃ የኢትዮጵያ ጦርና የደንቢያ ባላገር፡ (በንጉሰ ነገስቱ ዘመን፡ ያንድ አካባቢ ህዝብ ሲሸፍት፡ ከዚያዉ ጠቅላይ ግዛት፡ ከሚገኝ አንድ ወረዳ ወንም አዉራጃ፡ የሚገኝ ባላገር በሌላዉ ላይ ማዝመት የተለመደ ነበር--የከፋፍለህ ግዛዉ የአስተዳደር ስሌት መሆኑ ነዉ) ወደ ሰሜን በጌምድር ዘምቶ ነበር፡፡
ሌላዉ፡ ከዚህ ካለንበት ዘመን የፋኖ አነሳስ ጋር የሚመሳሰለዉ ደግሞ፡ ማእከላዊዉ መንግስት፡ ከዉጭ ጠላት ጋር ተዋግቶ፡ በሚሸነፍበት ጊዜ፡ ፋኖ፡ ብቅ ይላል፡፡ አነሳሱ፡ ባጋጣሚ በመሆኑ፡ እንድ ማእከል (ቢያንስ ቢያስ በመጀመሪያዎቹ ጥቂት ወራት) የለዉም/አይኖረዉም፡፡ በተለያየ ቦታ የተበታተኑ ግለሰቦች፡ ነገር ግን ሀገር፣ ወገን፣ ነጻነት የሚባሉቱ ጽንሰ ሃስቦች የገቧቸዉ፡ ልበ ብርሃን ያላቸዉ (በትምህርት ሳይሆን በተፈጥሮ) ሰዎች ሊሆኑ ይችላሉ፡፡ ያለበለዚያ ደግሞ፡ ዝቅተኛ ሹማምንት የነበሩ (የጎበዝ አለቃ፣ የነጭ ለባሽ አለቃ፣ ባላምባራስ፣ ግራዝማች ወዘተ የነበሩ)፣ ወይንም ተራ ሽፍታ፣ ጎበዝ አዳኝ፡ ወዘተ ሊሆኑ ይችላሉ፡፡ ጊዜ በዋለ ባደረ ቁጥር፡ ጀብዳቸዉ፣ ጀግንነታቸዉ፡ ዝናቸዉ እየተሰማ ሲሄድ፡ እነኚህ ግለሰቦች፡ ወደ አንዱ “ጦር ይቀናዋል” ብለዉ ወደሚያስቡትና፡ ዝናውና ጀኝነቱ፡ ከሰፈር ፣ ከወገን (ቀበሌ/ጎጥ/አጥቢያ) አልፎ፡ በጠላትም ጎራ፡ ስማቸዉ ሲነሳ፡ የሚያስርዱ (የሚያንቀጠቅጡ) በፍርሀትና በአክብሮት የሚጠራ ሲሆን፡ ተከታይ “የራሳቸዉ ጦር” ሊያደራጁ ወይንም ሊኖራቸዉ ይችላል፤ይኖራቸዋል፡፡ በ 1928 የጣልያን ወረራ ጊዜ፡ ሀገራቸዉን ለአምስት አመታት፡ በዱር በገደሉ እየተንከራተቱ፡ “ለጠላት አናድርም” ብለዉ የተዋጉት፡ ፋኖወች ነበረሩ፡፡ ባላባቶችማ፡ የለመዱት ጥቅማጥቅም የቀርብናል በለዉ፡ ለጣልያን አድረዉ ነበር፡፡
እብዛኛዉን ግዜ፡ የፋኖ ጦር ከቀበሌዉ፡ ቢበዛ ቢበዛ፡ ከወረዳዉ (ወጪ) አባላት አይኖረዉም፡፡ ለዚህም መክኛቱ፡ ለፋኖ መሰረቱ፡ እርስ በርሱ መተዋወቁና (ማን ማንን ማወቁ፡ እርስ በርስ ከመተማመን አልፎ፡ ከዉጭ የሰርጎ-ገብ አደጋ ይጠብቃልና) ለተመሳሳይ ጉዳይ (ለቤቱ፣ ለሚስቱ፡ ለርስቱና ለሀይማኖቱ፡ እናት አባቱና፡ አክስት አጎቱ፡ ለተቀበሩበት መሬት፡ ስለሚዋጋ ነዉ፡፡ ሀገር ማለት በዚያን ጊዜ ይህ ነዉ፡፡ የኢትዮጵያ ነገስታት፡ ይጥንቶችሁን ትተን፡ የነቴዎድሮስን (መይሳዉ ካሳ)፣ የነዮሃንስን (በዝብዝ ካሳ)፣ የምኒልክን ሰራዊት አነሳስ፣ አወቃቀር ስናይ ይሕንኑ ያረጋግጥልናል፡፡ የነገስታቱን የጦር ክተት አዋጃቸዉን ስናስታዉስ፡ “ሀገር ማለት” በዚያን ጊዜ፡ ጎጥህ፣ ሰፈርህ፣ ቀየህ መሆኑን እንረዳለን፡ ይጤ ምኒልክ የክተት አዋጅ “ሀይማኖት የሚለዉጥ፣ ሚስት የሚቀማ፣ ከርስት የሚነቅል ። ። ። ጠላት መጥቷልና ‘ያገሬ ሰዉ’ ተለተለኝ። ። ። [ብትቀር] አይማረኝ አልምርህም” የሚለዉ አባባል ትልቅ ማስረጃ ነዉ፡፡ እግረ መንገዱንም፡ አዉሮጳዉያና አሜረኢካዉያን “ፖለቲክ ቀበሌኛ ነዉ [politics is local] የሚሉት ፈሊጥ፡ እኛም ዘንድ ነበረ፡ አጤ ኅይለሥላሴ፤ አዲስቷን እኢትዮጵያ እስካዋቀሩበት ጊዜ፡፡
በፋኖነት መደራጀትን፡ ሌላ አጋጣሚም፡ ሊያመጣዉ ይችላል፡፡ አንድ ንጉስ/ንግስት ሞቶ/ሞታ ሌላዉ እስኪነግስ፡ መንገሱም ባዋጅ እስኪነገር (እስኪታወጅ) ድረስ፡ የሀይል ክፍተት ሲፍጠር ነዉ፡፡ ለዚህም ነዉ፡ አዲስ ንጉስ ሲነግስ አዋጁ የሚከተለዉን የሚለዉ፡ “አዋጅ አዋጅ፡ የደበሎ ቅዳጅ [አዋጁ ከቆዳ በተሰራ (ብራና) ላይ የተጻፈ በመሆኑ ይመስላል]፡ ስማ ስማ፡ መስሚያ ይንሳህና! ያለንም እኛ፣ የሞትንም እኛ! [ፖለቲካ ዉስጥ ምንም አያገባህም፡ እንደማለት ነዉ]፡ ጥና! ጥና! ባለህ እርጋ!” ታዲያ በዚያ ክፍተትና፡ ክፍተቱ እስኪደፈን (እስኪዘጋ) ፋኖ ብቅ ሊል ይችላል፡፡ የዛሪይቱ ኢትዮጵያ የፖለቲካ ሁኒተ ይህን ይመስላል፡፡ ዶ/ር አብይ: የህወሃት-ኢሃዴግን መንግስት፡ በህጋዊ መንገድ፡ በፓርላማዉ ተመርጦ፡ ወደስልጣን መንበር የመጣ፡ በኋላም በሀገር አቀፍ ደረጃ በተደረገ ምርጫ አሰናፊ ቢሆንም፡ በህወሃትና ግብረአበሮቹ እንደ ህገውጥ በመታየቱ፡ የስልጣን ዘመኑ በወያኔና ግብረአበሮቹ ሴራ፡ አስተዳደሩ በችግር ተፍንጎ የተያዘ መንግስት ሆኗል፡፡ የትግራይ ክልላዊ መንግስት፡ የጦር ነጋሪት ሲጎስም፡ በኦሮምያ ደግሞ፡ “የክልላጭን ሰወጭ አደላችሁም እየተባሉ፡ ሱማሌዎች፣ ከሲዳማ በቀር፡ መላዉ የደቡብ ክልል ነዋሪዎችና አማርኛ ተናጋሪዎች፡ ሲፈናቀሉና ሲገደሉ፡ በመተከልም በተመሳሳይ ሁናቴ፡ የአማራዉ ህዝብ ላስከፊ ስቃይ ተዳርጓል፡፡ ይህ አልበቃ ብሎ፡ የትግራይ ክልል አስተዳዳሪዎች፡ “ካማራዉ ጋር የምናወራርደዉ ሂሳብ አለን” ብለዉ በግላጭ ባማራዉ ላይ ጦርነት አዉጀዋል፡፡ የፎከሩትንም አድርገዋል፡ ይህ ሁሉ ሲሆን፡ የዶ/ር አብይ መንግስትም ይሁን የአማራዉ ክልል አስተዳዳሪዎች፡ ካቅም ማነስም ይሁን፡ በሌላ ምክኛት፡ እርምጃ መውሰድ ተስኗቸው ታይተዋል፡፡ ይህን የተመለከቱ አማሮች፡ ለዘመናት ከኖሩባቸዉ የኦሮምያ፣ የደቡብና የቤኒ ሻንጉል ክልሎች፡ “ከመሞት መሰንበት” ብለዉ፡ ይኖሩባቸዉ ከነበሩ ክልሎች፡ ለቀዉ ተሰደዱ፡፡
ባንጻሩ፡ ባማራዉ ክልል የሚኖሩት፡ አማሮች ደግሞ፡ ይህን የህዝባቸዉን ደም ለመበቀል፣ ከተጨማሪ እልቂት ለመታደግ፡ ካያት ከቅድመ-አያቶቻቸው፡ በወረሱት ይትባህል፡ ሸፈቱ፡ ፋኖ ሆኑ፡፡ ይህ አደረጃጀት፡ መንግስትን ለመገዳደር የተቋቋመ ሳይሆን፤ እራስን ለማዳንና፡ አስፈላጊ ከሆነም፡ ማእከላዊ መንግስትን፡ ለመርዳት የተቋቋመ የሀገር ወዳድ፡ ቡድን ነዉ። ይህ የፋኖ ስብስብ፡ በየሰፈሩ ያሉትን አጥፊዎችና በጥባጮች፡ ከመታገል አልፈዉ፡ ህወህት፡ የልብ ልብ ተሰምቶት፡ መከላከያን፡ ከተኛበት [ያገሬ ጀግና ጠላቱን “ግምኛ” ሆኖ ቢያገኘዉ፡ ተነስ ታጠቅ ብሎ ነዉ እርምጃ የሚወስድበት፡፡ አንዳንዴም ትቶት ይሄዳል፡ እንኳን ከተኛበት ሊገለዉ፡፡ ሀወሃት (ወያኔ) ከፍርሀቱ የተነሳ፡ አንበሶቹን በተኙበት፡ ያዉም ይትግራይን ህዝብ ከሻብያ የሚጠብቁትን፡ በግፍና፡ ያውሬ ባህልን በሚያንጽባርቅ መልክ ገደላቸዉ፡ በዚህ ግዜ ነበር፡ ፋኖና ያማራ ልዩ ሀይል፡ የሀገሪቱን ጦር የታደገዉ፣ ከጠላት (ህወሃት) ከበባ ያዳነዉ፡፡
ለፋኖ መከሰት ከላይ የተጠቀሱት፡ ታሪካዊና ወቅታዊ ሁኔታዎች ሆነው ሳለ፡ “ኢመደበኛ አደረጃጀት፡” አደገኛ ነዉ ብሎ፡ ለሀገሩ አንድነት፡ ከኢትዮጵያ የመከላከያ ሀይል ጎን በመሰለፍ፡ በራሱ ስንቅና ትጥቅ፡ የሚዋደቀዉን ፋኖ፡ “የጎሪጥ” በጥርጣሬ አይን ከማየት ይልቅ፡ መንግስት ለፋኖ መከሰት ምክኛት የሆኑትን ነገሮች (በጉልበት ያለ ህግ አግባብ፡ የተነጠቀዉን፡ መሬት፣ መመለስ/ማስመለስ፣ በክልሉ የሚደረግበትን መፈናቀል ማስቆም) ማስወገድ፡ የፋኖን አስፈላጊነት ዜሮ ያደርገዉ ነበር፡፡ ፋኖ ለሀገር አደጋ ፈጣሪ መስሎ እንኳ ቢታይ ወይነም ቢጠረጠር፡ የኢትዮጵያንና ኢትዮጵያዊንትን፡ ከዛም አልፎ ተርፎ፡ ምስራቅ አፍሪቃን፡ ለትርምስ/ለማተራመስ የሚያዘጋጀዉና፡ የሚያንገራብደዉን፡ (ያዙኝ ለቀቁኝ የሚለዉን)፡ ህወሃት አደብ ማስገዛት፡ የሚቀድም ይመስለኛል፡፡ ፋኖን “ተዉ” ለማለት፡ ቢበዛ ቢበዛ፡ ደህና ሽማግሌ ወንም መነኩሴ፡ የበቃዋልና፡፡ ለምን ቢሉ? የመጣበትናን የሚሄደብትን ጠንቅቆ ያዉቃልና!
እስቲ የካሳ ተሰማን፡ ዘመን ጠገብ፡ ነገር ገን ሁሌ አዲስ (አለመታደል ሁኖ ኢትዮጵያየን፡ በየ ሃያ/30 አመቱ፡እንደ ባለ ዉቃቤ ዘመኑን እይቆጠረ፡ ጦርነት ይጎበኛታልና) የሚሆነዉን፡ የድምፀ መረዋዉንና፡ ወኔ ቀስቃሹን፡ “ፋኖ፣ ፋኖ” እንጉርጉሮ፡ ስንኞች፡ አለፍ አለፍ፡ እይደረግሁ፡ ከዚህ በታች ላስታዉሳችሁ፡፡ ይህን ሳደርግ፤ “ፋኖ” ምን ማለት እንደሆነ፡ መቸ፣ ለምንና እንዴት፡ እንድሚነሳ (እንደሚደራጅ)፡ ከኔ እንቶ ፈንቶ፡ በተሻለ ሁኔታ፡ ያስረዳናልና፡ ይነግረናልና፡፡ ለኢትዮጵያ ሰላሟን ያብዛላት! ቸር ይግጠመን! አዉቄ በድፍረት ሳላዉቅ በስህተት ለሰራሁት ስህተት፡ በቅድሚያ፡ የቅርታ እጠይቃለሁ
ፋኖ ፋኖ! እንደቆላ ወፍ፡ እንደ ግሪሳ፣
ያረፈዉ ልቤ ደግሞ ተነሳ፤
እልም ባለው ጫካ፡ እልም ባለዉ ዱር፣
ሲነጋገር ይድራል፡ ከመዉዜሩ ጋር፤
እንኳን ባልንጀራ፤ ልብ አይታመንም፣
ፋኖ አገሩ ገባ፡ ሳይሰናበተኝ፣
ያ ጀግ ና ወታደር፡ ሰዉም አያደርገኝ፤
ጦም ወሎ ጦም አድሮ፤ እየተጋደለ፣
ላገሩ ጀግና ነዉ፡ ተገን የተባለ፤
ፋኖ ፋኖ! የወንድ ልጅ እናት ታጠቂ በገመድ፣
ልጅሽን አሞራ እንጅ አይቀብረዉም ዘመድ፤
ፋኖ ፋኖ አለችኝ ፉንን ይድርጋትና፣
ኝድ አልባሽሁ መጣ ማለቷ ቀረና፤
ከባልንጀራዉ ማታ የተለየ፣
እንዳጥቢያ ኮከብ ሲነጋ ታየ፤
የምር ተኳሹን እኛ ስናዉቀዉ፣
ዝናር በቅፉን ማን ደባለቀዉ?
From: Tsegaye Tegenu
Sent: Sunday, January 30, 2022 2:05 PM
To: Dula
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Subject: [External] Re: How to create economic prosperity in Ethiopia?
Dear Professor Sisay,
Welcome back. I think there are a lot of us who missed you. Continue to encourage us. I am kindly requesting area experts to write a one-page policy concept containing:
--a rationale (justification for the choice of the policy)
--objectives (desired outcome, courses of action, or what should be done)
--instruments (horizontal, vertical, or combination of instruments required to meet the objectives)
Kind regards
Tsegaye
Dear Brother Dr Tsegaye: Thank you for thinking of me and good words on my effort. As I noted I was absent due to traveling on vacation for 41 days to Seattle, Hawaii and southern california in that order visiting family including my son and his family with two children. You and I are both economists and share common interests and I read your excellent papers seriously. We need to go to Ethiopia and engage local economists and other scholars and professionals and help to implement the ideas.
Sincerely
Sisay
On Sun, 30 Jan 2022 at 10:15, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Dear All
There is a lot of potential in this message forum to discuss policies concerning sustained and sustainable economic growth and development in Ethiopia. Forum members have different specialization skills, and we can help each other in solving policy problems as a team. I suggest the following steps to obtain the final document:
Step one: write a policy concept note in your area of specialization. The subject areas can be macroeconomic issues (imbalance, structural, supply & demand-side policies); sector policies (agriculture, industry, and service); or thematic issues (environment, institutions, technology, etc.). The concept note should not exceed more than one page. Send your notes to all mailing list members. I volunteer to compile the concept note in one document. Please send it in word and pdf format.
Step two: we will then discuss and systematically develop suggested policy concept notes through the application of knowledge about priorities, policy means, and the idea of economic self-sufficiency.
Stage three: dissemination and developing the final document through stakeholder participation.
We can do it. Start to write your one-page concept note containing the rationale, objectives, and instruments of the proposed policy. Any input is appreciable greatly.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
--
Elizabeth A. Habteselassie
Springfield, VA
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Aklog Birara abt.semegn@gmail.com via groups.io
Feb 17, 2022, 10:34 PM
to Dereje, Elias, PeopleToPeople, Solomon, Tsegaye, Abate, Abbay, abebe, Ethiopia, Abebu, Abera, Kidie, Abraham, Abu, Account, achameyeleh, Achamyeleh, Addisu, Adugnaw, Agere, Ahmed, Ahmed, akliludw, Aklog, Alem, Alemante, Alemayehu, Alemy, Allelign, almaz, amariam@csusb, Ambachew, Amha, Amhara, contact, amsal, andargachew, kendie14, Anteneh, Asegash, Asegdew, Askebir, Asrat, Assefa, Assefa, Dr, Assegid, Assegid, Atsede, Ayalsew, Ayele, Aynalem, befege, Berhanu, Berhanu, Bete, Betru, Birhanu, bmengist, Brook, Chalachew, cherinet, contact, contact, damotdamot12, danielss42, Dawit, Dawit, db, Mogus, debebeduffera, demismengist, Degefa, Degone, Desalegn, dhugshu, Abera, Abraham, Daneal, Hassan, Moges, Paulos, Yacob, Dula, Efrem, Eleni, Elias, Endale, Endashaw, Erku, Ermias, Ethio, Ethiopatriot, Ethiopiachen, ethiopianaffairs, Ethiopian, ethiotimesmedia, Ethiopian, Amhara, info, eyobletter, feyissa, Fikru, fissaha, Fisseha, Frehiwot, Gabriel, Gebeyehu, Gebreye, Geletaw, Gera-show, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getatchew, Girma, Girma, Girma, Girma, Grufael+@outlook.com, Haile, Haile, i, Imru, info, INGIDAASFAW@aol.com, International, Kassa, Elsabett, Kassa, Kassahun, Kassahun, Kebour, Kidane, Kifle, Kifle, Kone, Lealem, lehager, Lemma, Mulatu, Lsenbet, Mahemud, Mammo, Mammo, Maru, mattnguc, Mekdelawit, Mekonnen, Melaku, Melaku, Assefa, mentewaba, Meron, Mersie, Mesfin, Mesfin, mesfin, mesfin.melaku, Meskerem, meskeremabi, Michael, mikael.wossen680, Minga, mo, Kidane, mulilife2, mulumebet, Neb, Zewge, Negash, Negash, Nigus, Nigussu, ontact, Paulos, Alemayehu, Professor, Raey, redie.bereketeab, Rule, Sam, Samson, Samuel, Samuel, Seid, Semahagn, Sew, Shiferaw, Sirage, Sisay, sisay.asfea, Solomon, Solomon, Yeharerwerk, solomon, solomon, Tadesse, Tadesse, Tadesse, tadesse, Tam, Tamagne, Tamirate, Tamirate, Tamrat, TaridocGmaily, Taye, Daniel, Tekle, tenyew16, Teshome, Tezera, Tigist, Tilahun, Tilahun, tolla.berisso, Tsegaye, Tsehai, Tsehai, Tsehay, Tsigereda, Tsigereda, Wesenyelesh, Wogene, Wondimu, Wongel, Yacob, Yassin, Yeshitila, Yeshiwork, Yigletu, Yilma, yohannes, Yohannes, Yonas, Yoseph, ZeHabesha, Zehabesha, Zeke, zeke.eskender, Zenebe, Zerihun, Zewdu, Zewdu
The following scientific article by Mekdelawit Messay, a Ph.D candidate is a must read. Please share widely. Regards, Aklog Birara
https://www.weaspire.info/the-1959-agreement-for-the-full-utilization-of-the-nile-waters-the-crux-of-the-problem-in-the-nile-basin-water-use/
On Tue, Feb 15, 2022 at 7:07 AM Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
According to UNFPA (2011), by 2050 Ethiopia’s population is projected to reach 174 million to become the 9th largest country in the world. Are we prepared for that? What should be done? What is that we are doing now? Can the economy carry an additional 60 million people? What should be the present when looking at the future. Do we have the right economic strategy and policy now? Population growth is the elephant in the room. We have to discuss the relationship between population growth and the country's economy, and bring future policy into the present.
image.png
Kind regards
Tsegaye
On Sat, 31 Jul 2021 at 12:50, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Selam to all
Attached please find final a paper on economic prosperity strategic thinking. I have reviewed the development plan of the country.
“Ethiopia did not have a formal economic prosperity strategy based on homegrown ideas and system thinking. Everyone is now aware of the shortcomings of the previous quantitative model and operational thinking of development policies, but there is generally no agreement yet on what thinking should replace them. Further research on quantitative economic policy and search for stock of statistical Information as tradition has it, is not any longer necessary. There is a need for a paradigm shift. To come out of the low productivity trap and satisfy military requirements of war, it is high time now to introduce and develop economic development strategic thinking at all levels: local, regional, and national.” Please read pages 10-12.
I appreciate it if you could share it.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
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Mersie Ejigu ejigum@gmail.com via groups.io
Feb 19, 2022, 9:15 AM
to PeopleToPeople, Tsegaye, Abate, Abbay, abebe, Ethiopia, Abebu, Abera, Kidie, Abraham, Abu, Account, achameyeleh, Achamyeleh, Addisu, Adugnaw, Agere, Ahmed, Ahmed, akliludw, Aklog, Alem, Alemante, Alemayehu, Alemy, Allelign, almaz, amariam@csusb, Ambachew, Amha, Amhara, contact, amsal, andargachew, kendie14, Anteneh, Asegash, Asegdew, Askebir, Asrat, Assefa, Assefa, Dr, Assegid, Assegid, Atsede, Ayalsew, Ayele, Aynalem, befege, Berhanu, Berhanu, Bete, Betru, Birhanu, bmengist, Brook, Chalachew, cherinet, contact, contact, damotdamot12, danielss42, Dawit, Dawit, db, Mogus, debebeduffera, demismengist, Degefa, Degone, Dereje, Desalegn, dhugshu, Abera, Abraham, Daneal, Hassan, Moges, Paulos, Yacob, Dula, Efrem, Eleni, Elias, Elias, Endale, Endashaw, Erku, Ermias, Ethio, Ethiopatriot, Ethiopiachen, ethiopianaffairs, Ethiopian, ethiotimesmedia, Ethiopian, Amhara, info, eyobletter, feyissa, Fikru, fissaha, Fisseha, Frehiwot, Gabriel, Gebeyehu, Gebreye, Geletaw, Gera-show, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getatchew, Girma, Girma, Girma, Girma, Grufael+@outlook.com, Haile, Haile, i, Imru, info, INGIDAASFAW@aol.com, International, Kassa, Elsabett, Kassa, Kassahun, Kassahun, Kebour, Kidane, Kifle, Kifle, Kone, Lealem, lehager, Lemma, Mulatu, Lsenbet, Mahemud, Mammo, Mammo, Maru, mattnguc, Mekdelawit, Mekonnen, Melaku, Melaku, Assefa, mentewaba, Meron, Mesfin, Mesfin, mesfin, mesfin.melaku, Meskerem, meskeremabi, Michael, mikael.wossen680, Minga, mo, Kidane, mulilife2, mulumebet, Neb, Zewge, Negash, Negash, Nigus, Nigussu, ontact, Paulos, Alemayehu, Professor, Raey, redie.bereketeab, Rule, Sam, Samson, Samuel, Samuel, Seid, Semahagn, Sew, Shiferaw, Sirage, Sisay, sisay.asfea, Solomon, Solomon, Solomon, Yeharerwerk, solomon, solomon, Tadesse, Tadesse, Tadesse, tadesse, Tam, Tamagne, Tamirate, Tamirate, Tamrat, TaridocGmaily, Taye, Daniel, Tekle, tenyew16, Teshome, Tezera, Tigist, Tilahun, Tilahun, tolla.berisso, Tsegaye, Tsehai, Tsehai, Tsehay, Tsigereda, Tsigereda, Wesenyelesh, Wogene, Wondimu, Wongel, Yacob, Yassin, Yeshitila, Yeshiwork, Yigletu, Yilma, yohannes, Yohannes, Yonas, Yoseph, ZeHabesha, Zehabesha, Zeke, zeke.eskender, Zenebe, Zerihun, Zewdu, Zewdu
Dear People to People Group,
I am writing to encourage Tsegaye Tegenu and team to continue the work on developing some kind of paper on creating economic prosperity or promoting growth, transformation and sustainability (if I may call it) in Ethiopia. Several good ideas raised in this forum are not followed up through or well argued and developed to impact public policy. The envisaged paper would help to achieve this.
As many of us are fully aware, there has not been a political success without economic success. Economic failure/mismanagement has been responsible for political changes, some abrupt and costly. Indeed almost all armed conflicts whatever name we give them (ethnic, religious, ideology, land, border, community, water, diamond, timber, colonial, etc.,) are rooted in economic problems. Todays wars are often labeled ethnic or religious because such labeling helps conflict entrepreneurs and those engaged in politically condoned resource capture to rally the support and the sacrifice of the have-nots. The exercise of political power has largely revolved around facilitating or denying access to resources, “land” in the Ethiopian case. Sudan invaded Ethiopia and the first thing Sudanese farmers did, I was told (unconfirmed), is to cultivate the fertile land around Alatash National Park (a Natural World Heritage site). Economic problems in as much as they cause, trigger and amplify armed conflicts are also instruments for building enduring peace and political stability.
In order to maximize the policy value of the envisaged paper, I suggest you link it to national economic policy statements issued by the Government or the economic program of the ruling party. Unfortunately, these documents are lacking currently. Ethiopia is not also one of the African countries (South Africa, Egypt, Nigeria, Rwanda, etc.,) that prepared a long term development plan or vision, which could have gone a long way to explore risks and opportunities, generate creative solutions, and develop a common agenda that unite people.
Two years ago, the Government issued the Ten Year Perspective Development Plan (TYPDP) (2021-2030) which, in my judgment, stands as a good basis to develop the envisaged paper. Please note that the TYPDP is not a perfect document as it is unclear how much it is known by the public and how much buy-in there has been by the population and regional states. Further, the war to enforce law and order, the TPLF aggression and devastation, and OLF Shane atrocities have put the TYPDP way off-track. Still, it serves as the best entry point for the envisaged paper. If the paper is crafted well, can help put back the TYPDP on track, embolden the country’s commitment to implementing the SDGs, and offer the country a development vision around which people can rally.
The TYPDP sets goals that we all agree with, i.e., making Ethiopia a middle income economy by 2030; 8.5% average annual growth rate and raise per capita income to USD 2,220 by 2030, etc. etc. Although ambitious, these targets are achievable if there is peace, sound governance and the right policies and institutions in place. Almost all concerns expressed in this Forum ranging from ending the TPLF aggression, war damage assessment and preparation of a recovery plan, de-ethnicization of the Ethiopian polity, constitutional reform, facilitating free flow of labor, capital, and know-how across regional states, ensuring peace and stability, enhancing productivity growth including acting on issues that Atsede raised in her invaluable research on commercial banking in Ethiopia, trade and investment, industrialization strategy, natural resource management, climate change, foreign economic relations, mobilization of resources, etc., can come under policies and institutions - critical pillars of achieving the TYPDP goals. These issues are broad and it would be a Sisyphean task to produce a comprehensive paper that impacts policy. What I suggest is that you focus on four big issues:
Placing the TYPDP back on track and provide the country a common development vision and agenda. The war to maintain law and order, stop the TPLF aggression, OLF Shane atrocities has left and is leaving behind a trail of destruction of human life, property, and finance; displacement of people; and trauma of apocalyptic proportions, which have put the TYPDP or any medium-term development plan, if there is one, completely off track. There is need for a robust national recovery plan to rehabilitate the economy and place it on a growth trajectory for the realization of TYPDP and SDGs goals. This would require, first and foremost, a multisectoral and multilevel war damage assessment and recovery plan. Among the issues raised in this forum regarding war damage assessment are:
• የአማራ ክልል ግብርና ቢሮ ጦርነት በተደረገባቸው ዘጠኝ ዞኖች ላይ ሦስት ወራት የፈጀ ጥናት አድርጎ፣ በግብርና ዘርፉ ላይ የ340.6 ቢሊዮን ብር ውድመት ደርሷል (ግብርና ሚኒስቴር)፡፡https://ethiopianreporter.com/index.php/article/24592
• የሰሜን ኢትዮጵያ ጦርነት በአማራና በአፋር ክልሎች ውድመት የደረሰባቸውን የጤና ተቋማት ወደ ነበሩበት ለመመለስ፣ እስከ 36 ቢሊዮን ብር ያስፈልጋል (ዶ/ር ሊያ ታደሰ)
https://ethiopianreporter.com/index.php/article/24586
• በሰሜኑ ጦርነት ምክንያት 13 ሚሊዮን ሰዎች ለከፋ ረሃብ ተጋልጠዋል የተመ የዓለም ምግብ ፕሮግራም
• 'Fighting in Ethiopia's Afar region displaces 300,000, aid blocked to Tigray.' https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/fighting-ethiopias-afar-region-displaces-300000-aid-blocked-tigray-2022-02-08/
• TPLF reported that it lost 300000 of its forces
A comprehensive war damage assessment needs to be compiled, a national recovery plan prepared based on it, and funding for it mobilized from both domestic and external sources. Ethiopia should reach out the international development community and seek compensation. I believe a national war recovery and rehabilitation plan should knock at the doors of the West (US Government, European countries, news media, CNN, New York Times, BBC, Reuters, etc.,) for funding (compensation) as these countries and institutions played a big role in triggering and amplifying the war. This recovery plan would also help the TYPDP back on track.
Removing constraints to recovery, growth and the attainment of TYPDP targets.
An issue repeatedly raised in this forum is the urgent need to de-ethnicize the Ethiopian politics and administration, allow free flow of labor, capital and knowhow across regional states, and shift people’s attitudes and thoughts from destructive ethnic politics to development (fighting poverty and underdevelopment). There is mounting evidence and painful experience Ethiopia went through that established the fact that organizing administration along ethnic lines is anti-development, anti-rational decision-making and competition that productivity and economic growth require; anti-building a democratic society and respect for basic human rights and rule of law; and endlessly divides people along narrow local community lines. Proponents of ethnic-federalism should be widely encouraged to argue their case and demonstrate how the TYPDP goals can be achieved. We should let science and best practices guide us.
Lack of peace and security. For example, በተለያዩ ክልሎች በሚገኙ ማዕድናት ማምረቻ አካባቢዎች የሚታዩ የፀጥታ ችግሮች፣ አምራች ኩባንያዎቸን ለቀው እንዲወጡ እያደረጉ መሆናቸውን፣ አዳዲሶቹንም እንዳይገቡ እንቅፋት እንደሆኑ የማዕድን ሚኒስቴር አስታወቀ፡፡
https://ethiopianreporter.com/index.php/article/24600
Policy anomalies: For example, በኢትዮጵያ እየተስፋፋ በመጣ የኮንትሮባንድ ንግድ ምክንያት 37 የተለያዩ የሞባይል ስልኮችን ከሚገጣጥሙ ፋብሪካዎች ውስጥ 35ቱ ተዘግተው ከገበያ ውጭ መሆናቸውንና ሁለት ብቻ መቅረታቸውን የኢንዱስትሪ ሚኒስቴር አስታወቀ።https://ethiopianreporter.com/index.php/article/24594
Taking on board new and emerging issues. Under these would come industrialization strategy, Ethiopia’s participation at the highest level of the global value chain that is possible, enhancing productivity growth, nurturing the entrepreneurial class, building the knowledge society and sustainable economy that addresses issues of climate change and the low carbon economy, water and energy security.
Making it happen or realizing the TYPDP targets. The big issue here is institution building and ensuring that development institutions are well-functioning and stable. Institutional and governance issues can be brought under the establishment of a capable developmental state. A developmental state is a state that places development as a priority of its political agenda with a clearly defined vision, leadership, and a sense of national purpose; responsive and accountable government; determined elite with development mindedness and genuine desire to industrialize; an autonomous, responsive, efficient, meritocratic, and competent bureaucracy; participatory and inclusive development across sectoral and societal hierarchy; and unconstrained access to justice (see African Agenda 2063). There is absolutely no link between a developmental state and socialist state. Unlike a socialist state, a developmental state promotes the private sector as the engine of growth, intervenes in areas where it is needed most and adds value.
All for now.
Mersie
On Thu, Feb 17, 2022 at 10:34 PM Aklog Birara wrote:
The following scientific article by Mekdelawit Messay, a Ph.D candidate is a must read. Please share widely. Regards, Aklog Birara
https://www.weaspire.info/the-1959-agreement-for-the-full-utilization-of-the-nile-waters-the-crux-of-the-problem-in-the-nile-basin-water-use/
On Tue, Feb 15, 2022 at 7:07 AM Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
According to UNFPA (2011), by 2050 Ethiopia’s population is projected to reach 174 million to become the 9th largest country in the world. Are we prepared for that? What should be done? What is that we are doing now? Can the economy carry an additional 60 million people? What should be the present when looking at the future. Do we have the right economic strategy and policy now? Population growth is the elephant in the room. We have to discuss the relationship between population growth and the country's economy, and bring future policy into the present.
image.png
Kind regards
Tsegaye
On Sat, 31 Jul 2021 at 12:50, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Selam to all
Attached please find final a paper on economic prosperity strategic thinking. I have reviewed the development plan of the country.
“Ethiopia did not have a formal economic prosperity strategy based on homegrown ideas and system thinking. Everyone is now aware of the shortcomings of the previous quantitative model and operational thinking of development policies, but there is generally no agreement yet on what thinking should replace them. Further research on quantitative economic policy and search for stock of statistical Information as tradition has it, is not any longer necessary. There is a need for a paradigm shift. To come out of the low productivity trap and satisfy military requirements of war, it is high time now to introduce and develop economic development strategic thinking at all levels: local, regional, and national.” Please read pages 10-12.
I appreciate it if you could share it.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
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Dula dula06@gmail.com via groups.io
Feb 19, 2022, 9:17 AM
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Like some of my colleagues, I appreciate your emphasis on economic prosperity or economics in Ethiopia. However, I am concerned that the importance of technology in transforming an economy is not one of the topics or interest areas mentioned.
In my view, without emphasizing technology or without building our human capital based on technology, the transformation of Ethiopia or any country is unlikely to happen. To make this conversation short, I am not sure the emphasis on agriculture is our salvation. When I was growing up, I was told many times over, Ethiopia was the breadbasket of Africa. I later found out the country can not even feed itself.
In most advanced countries, the percentage of agriculture to GDP and the population employed is highly correlated to the economic well-being of the nation. For example employment in Ethiopia in agriculture in 2020 was 65.62% versus 1.3% in the USA.
Agriculture is like a dead horse, we have put too much emphasis on it, but the return on investment unless highly mechanized with the provision of property rights, will not be consequential or save Ethiopia from its predicament. The fastest way to develop Ethiopia is to leverage technology and build its human capital in this field.
On Wed, Feb 16, 2022 at 4:44 AM Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
An open invitation to publish
On behalf of the Ethiopian people and their future, I would like to invite papers from across different specializations to address the objective “How to Create Economic Prosperity in Ethiopia”.
Typical areas of interest include:
· Strategies and policies of entrepreneurship building
· Economic structural change: strategies of industrialization
· Strategies and policies for increasing agricultural productivity
· Spatial transformation, integration, and sustainability
· Social sector transformation
· Need for autonomous and specialized bureaucracy
The manuscript will be published by TSEHAI Publishers. If you are interested, please send me your contact address and I will provide you with further details and the submission process.
Please share this invitation among your networks
With kind regards
Tsegaye
On Tue, 15 Feb 2022 at 13:15, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Identifying the Elephant in the Room. Unexpressed issues do not just go away - they rear their heads in uglier ways.
image.png
On Tue, 15 Feb 2022 at 13:06, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
According to UNFPA (2011), by 2050 Ethiopia’s population is projected to reach 174 million to become the 9th largest country in the world. Are we prepared for that? What should be done? What is that we are doing now? Can the economy carry an additional 60 million people? What should be the present when looking at the future. Do we have the right economic strategy and policy now? Population growth is the elephant in the room. We have to discuss the relationship between population growth and the country's economy, and bring future policy into the present.
image.png
Kind regards
Tsegaye
On Sat, 31 Jul 2021 at 12:50, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Selam to all
Attached please find final a paper on economic prosperity strategic thinking. I have reviewed the development plan of the country.
“Ethiopia did not have a formal economic prosperity strategy based on homegrown ideas and system thinking. Everyone is now aware of the shortcomings of the previous quantitative model and operational thinking of development policies, but there is generally no agreement yet on what thinking should replace them. Further research on quantitative economic policy and search for stock of statistical Information as tradition has it, is not any longer necessary. There is a need for a paradigm shift. To come out of the low productivity trap and satisfy military requirements of war, it is high time now to introduce and develop economic development strategic thinking at all levels: local, regional, and national.” Please read pages 10-12.
I appreciate it if you could share it.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
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tsegaye.tegenu@epmc.se via groups.io
Feb 19, 2022, 10:43 AM
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Selam Gashe Dula
Thank you for your concern and emphasis on technology. I completely share your ideas. There is no industrialization and agricultural productivity without technology. Physical capital, human capital, and technology are sources of economic structural change in Ethiopia. The question is what hinders us from accumulating and assimilating these correlates of economic growth. Why does Ethiopia fail to catch up to modern technological standards? What kind of strategies are needed for the accumulation and assimilation of modern technology in Ethiopia?
Kind regards
Tsegaye
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Abate Kassa kassa.abate@gmail.com via groups.io
Feb 23, 2022, 3:47 PM
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Dr. Tsegaye,
Greetings. You stated, 'Population growth in Ethiopia has exceeded the carrying capacity of the economy.' IMHO, with 70% of Ethiopia's population being under the age of 30, I consider them to be an asset and not a liability. To move from catch-up and imitation-led growth to growth driven by literacy, meritocracy, innovation, creative destruction, and mission-oriented solutions, such a knowledge-based economy could help transform the state.
Abate Kassa
On Wed, Feb 23, 2022 at 4:39 AM Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
The Inflation Monster
Inflation has become the new monster ravaging the people and the country. Why it fully gets to its present level? I am not a macroeconomist and answer the causes of inflation from standard methods. From my population economic perspective, I observe now a macroeconomic crash related to what is dubbed as “built-in inflation, a type of inflation that results from past events and persists in the present”. The past event is the economic carrying capacity of the economy and the present is an additional population every year.
Population growth in Ethiopia has exceeded the carrying capacity of the economy. Based on the calculation of the 2007 census data, 25 million people can be considered as overpopulation”. See Exponential Population Growth and Carrying Capacity of the Ethiopian Economy.
Without solving the backlog of scarcity accumulated over the years, we have also an additional population every year. According to the projection made by Central Statistic Authority (CSA), the population increases at a rate reaching a minimum of 2,3% during the 2015-2030 period, adding some two million people every year. Urbanization is also growing at a very fast rate in the country. See Urbanization in Ethiopia: Study on Growth, Patterns, Functions and Alternative Policy Strategy.
This means the low productive economy will labor under the burden of new entrants and rapid urbanization. One cannot solve the supply and demand problems of rapid population growth and urbanization through the traditional methods of monetary and/or fiscal policies as the current government thinks. There is a need for economic structural change (strategies of industrialization and agricultural productivity) and exponential economic thinking to recover from backlogs and re-adjust to new additional shortages every year.
Unfortunately, politicians and governors do not listen to earlier advice, and the inflation monster will stay with us ravaging the people for a long time to come.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
On Sat, 31 Jul 2021 at 12:50, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Selam to all
Attached please find final a paper on economic prosperity strategic thinking. I have reviewed the development plan of the country.
“Ethiopia did not have a formal economic prosperity strategy based on homegrown ideas and system thinking. Everyone is now aware of the shortcomings of the previous quantitative model and operational thinking of development policies, but there is generally no agreement yet on what thinking should replace them. Further research on quantitative economic policy and search for stock of statistical Information as tradition has it, is not any longer necessary. There is a need for a paradigm shift. To come out of the low productivity trap and satisfy military requirements of war, it is high time now to introduce and develop economic development strategic thinking at all levels: local, regional, and national.” Please read pages 10-12.
I appreciate it if you could share it.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
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tsegaye.tegenu@epmc.se via groups.io
Feb 23, 2022, 5:11 PM
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Selam Gashe Abate
Population growth is a liability if one does not have the right economic strategy, policy, and implementation institution in place. The Ethiopian population is growing rapidly since the late 1970s and we still do not have the right strategy and policy to take advantage of its growth. That is why we have incessant conflict, poverty, diseases, inflation, outmigration into Arab countries, southern Africa, and Europe. Since we are used to these problems, we took it as normal. In the eyes, morals and ethics of developed countries, these problems are undesirable and unacceptable. In Ethiopia no one cares, it’s a shame.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
2022-02-23 18:56 skrev Abate Kassa:
Dr. Tsegaye,
Greetings. You stated, 'Population growth in Ethiopia has exceeded the carrying capacity of the economy.' IMHO, with 70% of Ethiopia's population being under the age of 30, I consider them to be an asset and not a liability. To move from catch-up and imitation-led growth to growth driven by literacy, meritocracy, innovation, creative destruction, and mission-oriented solutions, such a knowledge-based economy could help transform the state.
Abate Kassa
On Wed, Feb 23, 2022 at 4:39 AM Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
The Inflation Monster
Inflation has become the new monster ravaging the people and the country. Why it fully gets to its present level? I am not a macroeconomist and answer the causes of inflation from standard methods. From my population economic perspective, I observe now a macroeconomic crash related to what is dubbed as 'built-in inflation, a type of inflation that results from past events and persists in the present'. The past event is the economic carrying capacity of the economy and the present is an additional population every year.
Population growth in Ethiopia has exceeded the carrying capacity of the economy. Based on the calculation of the 2007 census data, 25 million people can be considered as overpopulation'. See Exponential Population Growth and Carrying Capacity of the Ethiopian Economy.
Without solving the backlog of scarcity accumulated over the years, we have also an additional population every year. According to the projection made by Central Statistic Authority (CSA), the population increases at a rate reaching a minimum of 2,3% during the 2015-2030 period, adding some two million people every year. Urbanization is also growing at a very fast rate in the country. See Urbanization in Ethiopia: Study on Growth, Patterns, Functions and Alternative Policy Strategy.
This means the low productive economy will labor under the burden of new entrants and rapid urbanization. One cannot solve the supply and demand problems of rapid population growth and urbanization through the traditional methods of monetary and/or fiscal policies as the current government thinks. There is a need for economic structural change (strategies of industrialization and agricultural productivity) and exponential economic thinking to recover from backlogs and re-adjust to new additional shortages every year.
Unfortunately, politicians and governors do not listen to earlier advice, and the inflation monster will stay with us ravaging the people for a long time to come.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
On Sat, 31 Jul 2021 at 12:50, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Selam to all
Attached please find final a paper on economic prosperity strategic thinking. I have reviewed the development plan of the country.
'Ethiopia did not have a formal economic prosperity strategy based on homegrown ideas and system thinking. Everyone is now aware of the shortcomings of the previous quantitative model and operational thinking of development policies, but there is generally no agreement yet on what thinking should replace them. Further research on quantitative economic policy and search for stock of statistical Information as tradition has it, is not any longer necessary. There is a need for a paradigm shift. To come out of the low productivity trap and satisfy military requirements of war, it is high time now to introduce and develop economic development strategic thinking at all levels: local, regional, and national.' Please read pages 10-12.
I appreciate it if you could share it.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
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Daniel Kassa via groups.io
Feb 24, 2022, 11:01 AM
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Dear Tsegaye –
I am sure some individuals in the P2P forum are experts in population growth and familiar with the prescribed policy in the late 70s and early 80s by the World Bank to control population growth in Africa.
I find it amusing when multilateral organizations focus on population control instead of assisting efficiency in production and lowering the need for children’s labor on the farmland.
Most Africans will all agree children are assets to the community and their parents. We understand the developed world has an average of fewer than two children per family. Hence, perhaps, the number of children in African countries and GDP will provide the World Bank to understand the obvious need for more children on the farmland in the absence of tractors.
Blaming African politicians is not the solution. Instead, increasing productivity on the farmland will be a meaningful starting point. Hopefully, multilateral organizations should facilitate purchasing tractors rather than convince citizens to use donated birth control pills through NGOs.
I am not a population growth expert but an analytic person by default that will plunge deeper into the proposed prescription to understand the consequence.
Respectfully,
DK
Reasoned thinking and integrity must hold sway to leapfrog to our destiny! – Daniel Kassa
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Population is an escapegoat to cover-up incompetence of subsequent governments of Ethiopia.
Fact 1:
Ethiopia is the size of France, Germany and the UK combined. It has 111 million hectare of land, out of which 86 million hectares is suitable for production. Ethiopia cultivated only 13 million hectares during the emperor's time 50 years ago, while the population is 30 million. Recent statistics used to show we cultivated 16 million hectares (now the PM even reduced it to 13, I suspect deducting Tigray). If you take the first statistics, agriculture grew only by 3 million hectares while the population grew by 85 million people. That means 3 million hectares are cultivated to feed an extra 85 million people. The sad thing is Ethiopia has 68 million hectares uncultivated, which is given to political cadres under what is called land nationalisation.
Just to simplify things Netherland is 4% of Ethiopia but it's agricultural export is 98 billion USD compared to Ethiopia's less than 2 billion USD. That means Ethiopia can produce 2352 billion USD worth of Agricultural products.
Even though Ethiopia is around 111 million hectare of land it could be even much higher if you work off the surface area of the mountains.
Fact 2:
Ethiopia has 130 billion Cubic meters of rivers, which is huge but 95% of the water leaves the country. Imagine the Nile basin itself sends 47BCM Abay, 14 BCM Baro-Akobo and 13 BCM Tekeze and as a result Sudanies are not starving and Egyptians are not starving. That means our water has the capacity to feed the population of Sudan, Egypt and Ethiopia. So why are we talking about population. In fact Egyptian and Sudanies export onions, oranges and other vegetables to Ethiopia.
Fact 3:
Germany, France and the UK have cold seasons from October to May and you cannot farm. In Ethiopia you can have at least 3 harvasts from the same plot of land, which makes the production 3 times 86 million hectares. One I worked with the South African consulate recently and he was stunned to see what he read in the literature that Ethiopia and one other Latin American country ( I guess Chile) can harvest grapes twice a year.
Hence if you work the hillsides surface area plus three seasons of farming Ethiopia's production capacity can be 3 times 86 million hectares ( 258 million hetors)
That is why I say, Ethiopia is not resource poor but poorly managed.
So why are we poor? The Ethiopia educational system failed to create intellectuals in the true definition of Julien Benda the author of The 'treason of the intellectuals'
In fact, Ethiopia would have been better off without the Ethiopian Student Movement that put Ethiopia into decline and tailspin into destruction. Still the same parroting of Joseph Stalin the dominant discourse. It is proved that little knowledge is dangerous.
Conclusion: Population is not the problem but dull-wittedness of the 'elit'
Cheers!
Yared
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On Wed, Feb 23, 2022 at 11:47 PM Abate Kassa wrote:
Dr. Tsegaye,
Greetings. You stated, 'Population growth in Ethiopia has exceeded the carrying capacity of the economy.' IMHO, with 70% of Ethiopia's population being under the age of 30, I consider them to be an asset and not a liability. To move from catch-up and imitation-led growth to growth driven by literacy, meritocracy, innovation, creative destruction, and mission-oriented solutions, such a knowledge-based economy could help transform the state.
Abate Kassa
On Wed, Feb 23, 2022 at 4:39 AM Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
The Inflation Monster
Inflation has become the new monster ravaging the people and the country. Why it fully gets to its present level? I am not a macroeconomist and answer the causes of inflation from standard methods. From my population economic perspective, I observe now a macroeconomic crash related to what is dubbed as “built-in inflation, a type of inflation that results from past events and persists in the present”. The past event is the economic carrying capacity of the economy and the present is an additional population every year.
Population growth in Ethiopia has exceeded the carrying capacity of the economy. Based on the calculation of the 2007 census data, 25 million people can be considered as overpopulation”. See Exponential Population Growth and Carrying Capacity of the Ethiopian Economy.
Without solving the backlog of scarcity accumulated over the years, we have also an additional population every year. According to the projection made by Central Statistic Authority (CSA), the population increases at a rate reaching a minimum of 2,3% during the 2015-2030 period, adding some two million people every year. Urbanization is also growing at a very fast rate in the country. See Urbanization in Ethiopia: Study on Growth, Patterns, Functions and Alternative Policy Strategy.
This means the low productive economy will labor under the burden of new entrants and rapid urbanization. One cannot solve the supply and demand problems of rapid population growth and urbanization through the traditional methods of monetary and/or fiscal policies as the current government thinks. There is a need for economic structural change (strategies of industrialization and agricultural productivity) and exponential economic thinking to recover from backlogs and re-adjust to new additional shortages every year.
Unfortunately, politicians and governors do not listen to earlier advice, and the inflation monster will stay with us ravaging the people for a long time to come.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
On Sat, 31 Jul 2021 at 12:50, Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Selam to all
Attached please find final a paper on economic prosperity strategic thinking. I have reviewed the development plan of the country.
“Ethiopia did not have a formal economic prosperity strategy based on homegrown ideas and system thinking. Everyone is now aware of the shortcomings of the previous quantitative model and operational thinking of development policies, but there is generally no agreement yet on what thinking should replace them. Further research on quantitative economic policy and search for stock of statistical Information as tradition has it, is not any longer necessary. There is a need for a paradigm shift. To come out of the low productivity trap and satisfy military requirements of war, it is high time now to introduce and develop economic development strategic thinking at all levels: local, regional, and national.” Please read pages 10-12.
I appreciate it if you could share it.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
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tsegaye.tegenu@epmc.se via groups.io
Feb 25, 2022, 9:58 AM
to PeopleToPeople, Tsegaye, Abbay, abebe, Ethiopia, Abebu, Abera, Abera, Kidie, Abraham, Abu, Account, achameyeleh, Achamyeleh, Addisu, Adugnaw, Agere, Ahmed, Ahmed, akliludw, Aklog, Aklog, Alem, Alemante, Alemayehu, Alemy, Allelign, almaz, amariam@csusb, Ambachew, Amha, Amhara, contact, amsal, andargachew, kendie14, Anteneh, Asegash, Asegdew, Askebir, Asrat, Assefa, Assefa, Dr, Assegid, Assegid, Atsede, Ayalsew, Ayele, Aynalem, befege, Berhanu, Berhanu, Bete, Betru, Birhanu, bmengist, Brook, Chalachew, cherinet, contact, contact, damotdamot12, danielss42, Dawit, Dawit, db, mogus_brook, debebeduffera, demismengist, Degefa, Degone, Dereje, Desalegn, dhugshu, Abera, Abraham, Daneal, Hassan, Moges, Paulos, Yacob, Dula, Efrem, Eleni, Elias, Elias, Endale, Endashaw, Erku, Ermias, Ethio, Ethiopatriot, Ethiopiachen, ethiopianaffairs, Ethiopian, ethiotimesmedia, Ethiopian
Clarification on the relationship between population growth and development. There are three different interpretive perspectives (debates on effects)
1) Most demographers believe that population growth must be controlled and checked since it exhausts the availability of resources and reduces economic growth.
2. Those who study changes in the age structure assume a window of opportunity that opens when falling birth rates lead to a relatively higher proportion of the working-age population. They advise countries to start labor-intensive industrialization to take advantage of the demographic dividend.
3) The third group of researchers uses an interdisciplinary approach to assess the multidimensional effects of population size, growth rate, and spatial distribution. These researchers advocate various economic transformation strategies as solutions. I belong to this third group.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
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People to People, who are we?
People To People, Inc. is a Non-Governmental Organization (NGO) governed by a Board of Directors and operating under IRS code 501 (C) (3). It was founded in April of 1999 in the state of Kentucky, USA as a non-profit organization. It has no political, ethnic or religious affiliations. It brought together people armed with the spirit of compassion to bring hope to those who find themselves in hopeless situations. P2P is globally emerging as a bridge and a network of the Ethiopian diaspora committed and willing to give back to its motherland. It has developed strategies for mobilizing the Ethiopian diaspora to provide support not just in health and education areas alone but also in other sectors of social and economic development. We invite you to be a part of this dynamic organization and be part of a solution. Our work extends further out to other African countries, but Ethiopia remains to be our primary focus.
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Dula dula06@gmail.com via groups.io
Feb 25, 2022, 2:15 PM
to Yared, info@ambapu.org, info, eyobletter@gmail.com, feyissa, Fikru, fissaha, Fisseha, Frehiwot, Gabriel, Gebeyehu, Gebreye, Geletaw, Gera-show, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getachew, Getatchew, Girma, Girma, Girma, Girma, grufael+@outlook.com, Haile, Haile, i, Imru, info, INGIDAASFAW@aol.com, inter.ethiopiansolidarityforum1@gmail.com, Kassa, Elsabett, Kassa, Kassahun, Kassahun, kghenna@gmail.com, Kidane, Kifle, Kifle, Kone, Lealem, lehager, Lemma, Mulatu, Lsenbet, Mahemud, Mammo, Mammo, Maru, mattnguc@gmail.com, Mekdelawit, Mekonnen, Melaku, Melaku, Assefa, mentewaba@comcast.net, Meron, Mersie, Mesfin, Mesfin, mesfin, mesfin.melaku@pmo.gov.et, Meskerem, meskeremabi@gmail.com, Michael, mikael.wossen680, Minga, mo, Kidane, Mulilife2@yahoo.com, mulumebet, Neb, Negash, Negash, Nigus, Nigussu, ontact, Paulos, Alemayehu, Professor, Raey, redie.bereketeab@gmail.com, Rule, Sam, Samson, Samuel, Samuel, Seid, Semahagn, Sew, Shiferaw, Sirage, Sisay, sisay.asfea, Solomon, Solomon, Solomon, solomon, solomon@ethiopianembassy.org, Tadesse, Tadesse, Tadesse, tadesse, Tam, Tamagne, Tamirate, Tamirate, Tamrat, TaridocGmaily, Taye, Daniel, Tekle, Tenyew16@gmail.com, Teshome, Tezera, Tigist, Tilahun, Tilahun, tolla.berisso@gmail.com, Tsehai, Tsehai, Tsehay, Tsigereda, Tsigereda, Wesenyelesh, Wogene, Wondimu, Wongel, Yacob, Yassin, Yeharerwerk, Yeshitila, Yeshiwork, Yigletu, Yilma, yohannes, Yohannes, Yonas, Yoseph, ZeHabesha, Zehabesha, Zeke, zeke.eskender, Zenebe, Zerihun, Zewdu, Zewdu, Zewge, Abate, Tsegaye, PeopleToPeople, Abbay, abebe, Ethiopia, Abebu, Abera, Abera, Kidie, Abraham, Abu, Account, achameyeleh, Achamyeleh, Addisu, Adugnaw, Agere, Ahmed, Ahmed, akliludw@yahoo.com, Aklog, Aklog, Alem, Alemante, Alemayehu, Alemy, Allelign, almaz, amariam@csusb, Ambachew, Amha, Amhara, contact@ethiopiaunited.org, amsal, andargachew, kendie14, Anteneh, Asegash, Asegdew, Askebir, Asrat, Assefa, Assefa, Dr, Assegid, Assegid, Atsede, Ayalsew, Ayele, Aynalem, befege@gmail.com, Berhanu, Berhanu, Bete, Betru, Birhanu, bmengist, Brook, Chalachew, cherinet, contact@ezega.com, contact@gadaa.com, damotdamot12@gmail.com, danielss42@hotmail.com, Dawit, Dawit, db, mogus_brook@yahoo.com, debebeduffera@gmail.com, demismengist@gmail.com, Degefa, Degone, Dereje, Desalegn, dhugshu@yahoo.com, Abera, Abraham, Daneal, Hassan, Moges, Paulos, Yacob, Efrem, Eleni, Elias, Elias, Endale, Endashaw, Erku, Ermias, Ethio, Ethiopatriot, Ethiopiachen, ethiopianaffairs@gmail.com, Ethiopian, ethiotimesmedia@gmail.com, Ethiopian, Tsegaye
During my days in Ethiopia in the 70s, let us say one injera was available for every one Ethiopian of 30 million. Now that injera possibly should be divided into three or more Individuals. Unless we increase our productivity by leveraging technology and good governance that one injera has to be divided among more Ethiopians. Sooner or later war will break out among many mouths to get more share of that injera for self-preservation, possibly driven by greed.
Population growth as Prof Sisay Asefa said unless tied to quality education usually in tech can be an albatross and destabilizing.
Dula
On Fri, Feb 25, 2022 at 6:10 AM Tsegaye Tegenu wrote:
Clarification on the relationship between population growth and development. There are three different interpretive perspectives (debates on effects)
1) Most demographers believe that population growth must be controlled and checked since it exhausts the availability of resources and reduces economic growth.
2. Those who study changes in the age structure assume a window of opportunity that opens when falling birth rates lead to a relatively higher proportion of the working-age population. They advise countries to start labor-intensive industrialization to take advantage of the demographic dividend.
3) The third group of researchers uses an interdisciplinary approach to assess the multidimensional effects of population size, growth rate, and spatial distribution. These researchers advocate various economic transformation strategies as solutions. I belong to this third group.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
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Abate Kassa kassa.abate@gmail.com via groups.io
Feb 25, 2022, 2:15 PM
to PeopleToPeople
Dr. Tsegaye,
When I think about the population of Ethiopia, what comes to my mind is the human side of the state. Then I think about how Ethiopia should develop its people's talent to make a difference. Talent is the new oil. Talent is the engine that drives economic growth, and Ethiopia cannot eliminate poverty without first increasing and nurturing its intellectual capital.
Abate Kassa
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TESFAYE MENGESTU via groups.io
Feb 25, 2022, 5:48 PM
to PeopleToPeople
With the schools producing pretty much illiterates, the chances to produce talented Ethiopians is getting deemer and deemer by the days. The current minister of education, Dr Berhanu Bonga, realizing this to be the source of the disease, has put a break on it for now. He said “ no kilili government and their institutions will have access to the national examination data centers here after” This therefore has been the open source where examinations are probably licked out for a price or ethnic linage by some scrupulous souls and then taught in schools so that their students will pass and meet the educated quotas that has become like a competing games of Killil governments.
Sent from the all new AOL app for iOS
On Friday, February 25, 2022, 2:15 PM, Abate Kassa wrote:
Dr. Tsegaye,
When I think about the population of Ethiopia, what comes to my mind is the human side of the state. Then I think about how Ethiopia should develop its people's talent to make a difference. Talent is the new oil. Talent is the engine that drives economic growth, and Ethiopia cannot eliminate poverty without first increasing and nurturing its intellectual capital.
Abate Kassa
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tsegaye.tegenu@epmc.se via groups.io
Feb 26, 2022, 8:13 AM
to Berhanu, PeopleToPeople
Selam
I have learned a lot from the discussions and would like to thank you for all your input. Formulation of the right economic strategy, policy design, and choice of intervention instruments by meritocratic bureaucracy (high-quality organization) matters for countries with fast population growth. On the contrary politicized bureaucracies exacerbate the burden of population growth. The quality, competence, and relative autonomy of state bureaucracy matters for population growth.
I find the attached figure as the best illustration of the case we have now. The elephant shows the economic burden that is and can be influenced by population growth, while the person sitting on the chair shows the quality and responsive behavior of the state and institutions in the country. There are politicians and rulers who are not still aware of the problems we are in.
Kind regards
Tsegaye
2022-02-25 22:24 skrev Abegaz, Berhanu:
I know this is not the right medium to discuss population economics in the required depth. Thank you, P2P, for your patience and understanding.
This thread reminds me of the parable of the blind men and the elephant. Each blind person touched different parts of the elephant and had a radically different description of the animal. Each could not capture the whole picture because they did not take the time to touch every part of the animal to get the full picture.
I have a graduate degree in economic demography and wish to offer you a thought experiment to demonstrate that a large population is neither good nor bad in the absence of context. Rapid population growth is in general a consequence (and an exacerbator) of economic failure rather than the ultimate cause of it. This idea is aptly captured by the slogan 'development is the best contraceptive.'
Babies do not just come with mouths, but also brains and hands. If population size were the primary cause of our poverty, we would have been a richer country in, say, 1950 (will 12 million) than we are in 2022 (with 120 million)!
A thought experiment: Suppose we simplify a bit and posit that families have children to ensure that they have someone to take care of them in old age (i.e., forget love and the biological impulse to replace yourself). Suppose further that half of the children die before age 20, half will be male (the preferred gender in most traditional societies but less so in Northern Ethiopia), half will be too poor to support parents, and half will renege on their social responsibility to support parents even if they have the means to do so.
Given the old-age security motive and these reasonable assumptions, let's do the math. How many children should I (a typical subsistence farmer or street trader) rationally strive for to ensure that I will be taken care of in my old age? Well, I would say at least 16 (oops, will have to go for three wives!). Half of them will die before age 20 thus leaving me with 8. Half of the 8 will be girls (who will be married off to serve their husband's families, not me) thus leaving me with 4 boys. Half of the 4 boys will be too poor to support me thus leaving me 2 boys with the means to do so. And of the 2, one will be God-fearing enough to take care of me until my untimely demise. If you are indifferent between boys and girls, you will go for eight children.
So, economic logic has it that it is abject poverty, not mindless breeding, that drives population growth. Of course, there are unwanted births that should be handled with voluntary family planning. The bigger point is that it would be better, as many of you have suggested, to attack the problem at its roots--institutional failure that perpetuates poverty. If parents were economically independent, they probably will not want to have more than 3 rather than striving for 16.
The takeaway for the wannabe intellectuals: That Ethiopians in the so-called Diaspora are eminently successful in just one generation of exile is all you need to know to realize that there is something wrong with the country's social, economic, and political institutions rather than its people. The nihilistic and sadistic statements that pervade this Forum about the failure of Ethiopian intellectuals, especially by people with little knowledge of Ethiopian intellectual history (or could not even understand the differences between intellectuals, public intellectuals, and intelligentsia), is a self-deprecating discourse that must end for good.
Having vented, I feel much better now. Thank you all for your patience.
BA
From: PeopleToPeople@groups.io on behalf of Abate Kassa via groups.io
Sent: Friday, February 25, 2022 1:50 PM
To: PeopleToPeople@groups.io
Subject: Re: [PeopleToPeople] How to create economic prosperity in Ethiopia?
Dr. Tsegaye,
When I think about the population of Ethiopia, what comes to my mind is the human side of the state. Then I think about how Ethiopia should develop its people's talent to make a difference. Talent is the new oil. Talent is the engine that drives economic growth, and Ethiopia cannot eliminate poverty without first increasing and nurturing its intellectual capital.
Abate Kassa
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** The views expressed in this post do not necessarily represent the views of People to People or its staff. The views are solely that of the author.
** This is a People to People global network forum with many posts per day. This forum is moderated by People to People and not every post submitted will be posted. Each post will be evaluated to ensure it conforms to the intent and relevance of the discussion. If you would like to learn more about People to People please visit and become a member/volunteer. http://www.P2Pbridge.org
People to People, who are we?
People To People, Inc. is a Non-Governmental Organization (NGO) governed by a Board of Directors and operating under IRS code 501 (C) (3). It was founded in April of 1999 in the state of Kentucky, USA as a non-profit organization. It has no political, ethnic or religious affiliations. It brought together people armed with the spirit of compassion to bring hope to those who find themselves in hopeless situations. P2P is globally emerging as a bridge and a network of the Ethiopian diaspora committed and willing to give back to its motherland. It has developed strategies for mobilizing the Ethiopian diaspora to provide support not just in health and education areas alone but also in other sectors of social and economic development. We invite you to be a part of this dynamic organization and be part of a solution. Our work extends further out to other African countries, but Ethiopia remains to be our primary focus.
We are headquartered in the USA with a regional office in Ethiopia but as the spirit of kindness spread, we have stretched our wings and have crossed borders to become International. We are pleased to inform you that we also now operate in the USA, Canada, Sweden and Finland.
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Atnafu Demissie B/Tessema atnafud@gmail.com via groups.io
Feb 26, 2022, 8:16 AM
to PeopleToPeople
Dear P2P Families,
I entirely concur the depth analysis of the population economics (by Abegaz Berhanu) visa-vise education quality (by Tesfaye Mengestu)
There are a number of theories about why intellectuals get nervous before speaking in front of the Ethiopian (the then EPRDF & the new PP) leaders: one that makes a lot of sense hypothesizes the standing apart from a competition amongst and being watched (or the idea of talent) triggers a deliberate distraction of the society - conscious curriculum design - lowering the quality of education a potential threat. The country sown with an explosive mine (a timer ethnocentric bobs).
It reminds me the message engraved and implied - at the entrance gate of a University in South Africa, the following messages was posted for contemplation,
“Destroying any Nation does not requires the use of atomic bombs or the use of long range missiles.
It only requires lowering the quality of education and allowing cheating in the examinations by the Students:
- Patients die at the hands of such doctors;
- Buildings collapse at the hands of such engineers;
- Money is lost at the hands of such economies and accountants;
- Humanity dies at the hands of such religious scholars;
- Justice is lost at hands of such judges;
- Etc.
The same holds true and quite certain to Politics, Trade, Technology/innovation, agriculture, defence, industry, mining, culture, transport, etc.
Thus, the results are distinctly unpleasant: “Collapse of education is the Collapse of the Nation”;the same backwards as forwards, a link between destroying TRUST amongst. The fundamentals of TRUTH evidently missed its route to a destination as a result of Collapse of education. We realized of these responses: “Kilill undergraduate illiterates”, in the government structure- execute substandard services per se.
Respectfully,
Atnafu
On Sat, Feb 26, 2022 at 1:48 AM TESFAYE MENGESTU via groups.io wrote:
With the schools producing pretty much illiterates, the chances to produce talented Ethiopians is getting deemer and deemer by the days. The current minister of education, Dr Berhanu Bonga, realizing this to be the source of the disease, has put a break on it for now. He said “ no kilili government and their institutions will have access to the national examination data centers here after” This therefore has been the open source where examinations are probably licked out for a price or ethnic linage by some scrupulous souls and then taught in schools so that their students will pass and meet the educated quotas that has become like a competing games of Killil governments.
Sent from the all new AOL app for iOS
On Friday, February 25, 2022, 2:15 PM, Abate Kassa wrote:
Dr. Tsegaye,
When I think about the population of Ethiopia, what comes to my mind is the human side of the state. Then I think about how Ethiopia should develop its people's talent to make a difference. Talent is the new oil. Talent is the engine that drives economic growth, and Ethiopia cannot eliminate poverty without first increasing and nurturing its intellectual capital.
Abate Kassa
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** The views expressed in this post do not necessarily represent the views of People to People or its staff. The views are solely that of the author.
** This is a People to People global network forum with many posts per day. This forum is moderated by People to People and not every post submitted will be posted. Each post will be evaluated to ensure it conforms to the intent and relevance of the discussion. If you would like to learn more about People to People please visit and become a member/volunteer. http://www.P2Pbridge.org
People to People, who are we?
People To People, Inc. is a Non-Governmental Organization (NGO) governed by a Board of Directors and operating under IRS code 501 (C) (3). It was founded in April of 1999 in the state of Kentucky, USA as a non-profit organization. It has no political, ethnic or religious affiliations. It brought together people armed with the spirit of compassion to bring hope to those who find themselves in hopeless situations. P2P is globally emerging as a bridge and a network of the Ethiopian diaspora committed and willing to give back to its motherland. It has developed strategies for mobilizing the Ethiopian diaspora to provide support not just in health and education areas alone but also in other sectors of social and economic development. We invite you to be a part of this dynamic organization and be part of a solution. Our work extends further out to other African countries, but Ethiopia remains to be our primary focus.
We are headquartered in the USA with a regional office in Ethiopia but as the spirit of kindness spread, we have stretched our wings and have crossed borders to become International. We are pleased to inform you that we also now operate in the USA, Canada, Sweden and Finland.
Your Subscription | Contact Group Owner | Unsubscribe [peterb@afrifund.com]
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Mammo Muchie mammo.muchie2019@gmail.com via groups.io
Feb 26, 2022, 8:21 AM
to PeopleToPeople
Wondem Tewdju Prof. Berhanu
Sincere appreciation for your thoughtful reflections . I hope all will read your contribution and learn to focus on how to solve real problems with tangible and measurable output, outcome and impact rather than being misdirected with problems.
Stay safe sound blessed and strong
With My Warmest Best Regards,
Mammo
www.sarchi.org
www.nesglobal.org
https://assistsarchi.wixsite.com/assist
On Fri, Feb 25, 2022 at 4:27 PM Abegaz, Berhanu wrote:
I know this is not the right medium to discuss population economics in the required depth. Thank you, P2P, for your patience and understanding.
This thread reminds me of the parable of the blind men and the elephant. Each blind person touched different parts of the elephant and had a radically different description of the animal. Each could not capture the whole picture because they did not take the time to touch every part of the animal to get the full picture.
I have a graduate degree in economic demography and wish to offer you a thought experiment to demonstrate that a large population is neither good nor bad in the absence of context. Rapid population growth is in general a consequence (and an exacerbator) of economic failure rather than the ultimate cause of it. This idea is aptly captured by the slogan 'development is the best contraceptive.'
Babies do not just come with mouths, but also brains and hands. If population size were the primary cause of our poverty, we would have been a richer country in, say, 1950 (will 12 million) than we are in 2022 (with 120 million)!
A thought experiment: Suppose we simplify a bit and posit that families have children to ensure that they have someone to take care of them in old age (i.e., forget love and the biological impulse to replace yourself). Suppose further that half of the children die before age 20, half will be male (the preferred gender in most traditional societies but less so in Northern Ethiopia), half will be too poor to support parents, and half will renege on their social responsibility to support parents even if they have the means to do so.
Given the old-age security motive and these reasonable assumptions, let's do the math. How many children should I (a typical subsistence farmer or street trader) rationally strive for to ensure that I will be taken care of in my old age? Well, I would say at least 16 (oops, will have to go for three wives!). Half of them will die before age 20 thus leaving me with 8. Half of the 8 will be girls (who will be married off to serve their husband's families, not me) thus leaving me with 4 boys. Half of the 4 boys will be too poor to support me thus leaving me 2 boys with the means to do so. And of the 2, one will be God-fearing enough to take care of me until my untimely demise. If you are indifferent between boys and girls, you will go for eight children.
So, economic logic has it that it is abject poverty, not mindless breeding, that drives population growth. Of course, there are unwanted births that should be handled with voluntary family planning. The bigger point is that it would be better, as many of you have suggested, to attack the problem at its roots--institutional failure that perpetuates poverty. If parents were economically independent, they probably will not want to have more than 3 rather than striving for 16.
The takeaway for the wannabe intellectuals: That Ethiopians in the so-called Diaspora are eminently successful in just one generation of exile is all you need to know to realize that there is something wrong with the country's social, economic, and political institutions rather than its people. The nihilistic and sadistic statements that pervade this Forum about the failure of Ethiopian intellectuals, especially by people with little knowledge of Ethiopian intellectual history (or could not even understand the differences between intellectuals, public intellectuals, and intelligentsia), is a self-deprecating discourse that must end for good.
Having vented, I feel much better now. Thank you all for your patience.
BA
From: PeopleToPeople@groups.io on behalf of Abate Kassa via groups.io |
