![]() Date: 2024-08-16 Page is: DBtxt003.php txt00025068 | |||||||||
CLIMATE CHANGE / EXTREME WEATHER
NYT SUMMARY OF MANY ISSUES New York Times compiling a set of climate questions and answers ![]() Original article: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/climate/climate-change-faq.html Peter Burgess COMMENTARY The New York Times (NYT) published this material around July 20th 2023 or a bit before. It appears to be an interesting mix of conventional reporting and AI but I really don't know. I have chosen to 'freeze' the NYT material as it was distributed and received by me electronically ... and then to add my own commentary and understanding of this series of climate change issues. The combination of classical journalism and cutting edge AI has a huge potential for good ... but only if it is being used by responsible actors. I worry that some will argue that free speach should be in play and factual information not a basic requirement, but I disagree with this idea no matter how much some think it is a (an American) constitutional necessity. The 'good' that can emerge from this is a vastly improved flow of important information to a larger public and much more motivation for everyone to do something to address important issues, and in this case the important existential risks associated with climate change. Unfortunately, I am not convinced that the material that has been compiled by the New York Times for this exercise is good enough to make much of a difference. When I was in my 20s ... more than 60 years ago ... I did some work with Management Analysis Center (MAC), a Harvard Business School aligned consulting firm, in connection with an initiative to promote 'Responsibility Accounting'. The basic concept was quite simple ... a person in the organizational structure had to be identified as the responsible party for a specific outcome and the cost or management accounts needed to report in a timely fashion (like monthly) on the all of the outcomes with the responsible party's name on the specific line item. It was very effective, but did not get much uptake in the general world of management because many top managers were ... and are ... powerful but ineffective. Something along the lines of this old 'Responsibility Accounting' initiative is needed to address the existential risk that is climate change. I was hopeful that this NYT exercise (below) might be a 'breakthrough' to something more than the 'same old, same old' that has not moved the needle in several decades ... but so far I am disappointed. However, maybe there is light at the end of the tunnel. TrueValueMetrics (TVM) is an initiative that may be able to build on this New York Times's base information to add 'responsibility' as we saw it back in the 1960s! Peter Burgess | |||||||||
The Science
THE SCIENCE
There’s overwhelming evidence that the world has been warming since the late 19th century, when the burning of fossil fuels became widespread and resulted in large-scale emissions of heat-trapping carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. This evidence is largely in the form of data from weather stations, buoys, ships, satellites and other sources. The most basic measurements of temperature show that the world has been steadily getting warmer. On average, surface temperatures are 1.2 degrees Celsius (2.2 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than a century and a half ago. And the rate of warming has accelerated in recent decades. Temperatures in the top layer of the world’s oceans have increased as well. The oceans have absorbed much of the heat trapped in the atmosphere. There is also plenty of evidence showing the consequences of this warming. Tide gauges and other instruments show that sea levels have risen by about half an inch per decade since 1900 (mostly because water expands as it warms). Satellites that measure gravitational changes show that trillions of tons of ice have melted from the world’s ice sheets and glaciers. Rainfall data shows that heavy downpours have increased in the United States and elsewhere, because warmer air holds more moisture. And not all of the evidence comes from instruments. Scientists doing field research around the world have documented other effects of climate change. Ornithologists, for instance, have shown that warming is affecting many bird species — changing when they nest, breed and migrate, and even where they are able to live and thrive. Botanists see similar signs of the effects of climate change on crops, forests and other vegetation. — Henry Fountain Read more: The Science of Climate Change Explained: Facts, Evidence and Proof How do we know humans are to blame for climate change? Over many decades, thousands of scientists have studied the warming planet. They’ve reached an overwhelming consensus: The burning of fossil fuels by humans is the primary cause of global warming today. Even scientists employed by oil companies have come to this conclusion. One scientific study put it this way: The odds of current global warming occurring without human-caused greenhouse gas emissions are less than 1 in 100,000. Here’s how the science arrived at this place. First, it’s important to understand the main forces affecting climate. The big ones are the sun (whose energy can fluctuate over time), ocean circulation patterns (which can change how heat is distributed around the planet), volcanic activity (which pumps material into the sky that can have either warming or cooling effects) and the overall amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Each of these forces has played a role at different times in history. For example, 56 million years ago, a giant burst of greenhouse gases from volcanoes or vast deposits of methane (or both) abruptly warmed the planet by at least 9 degrees Fahrenheit, triggering mass extinctions. About 12,000 years ago, major changes in Atlantic Ocean circulation plunged the Northern Hemisphere into a frigid state. And 300 years ago, a combination of reduced solar output and increased volcanic activity cooled parts of the planet enough that Londoners regularly ice-skated on the Thames River. Volcanoes can have a cooling effect when they shoot out stuff that blocks solar radiation. In studying the cause of today’s climate changes, scientists have looked at all of these factors. The first three (solar energy, ocean patterns and volcanic activity) haven’t varied enough in the last 150 years to account for today’s rapidly rising temperatures. That’s especially true in the second half of the 20th century, when solar output actually declined and volcanoes had a cooling effect. Rather, scientists have found that the warming is best explained by rising concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, put there by humans burning vast amounts of fossil fuels like coal, oil and gas since the start of the Industrial Revolution. From having studied bubbles of ancient air trapped in ice, scientists know that before 1750, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere was roughly 280 parts per million. That number is now above 420 parts per million. Carbon dioxide acts like a blanket in the atmosphere, trapping the sun’s heat and warming the planet. — Julia Rosen Read more: The Science of Climate Change Explained: Facts, Evidence and Proof How will climate change affect biodiversity? Climate change is already harming plant and animal life in ways that scientists are racing to understand. Warmer oceans are killing corals. Rising sea levels are threatening the beaches that sea turtles need for nesting. Summers are becoming longer, and winters shorter — seasonal shifts that endanger countless animal and plant species by disrupting food supplies, mating seasons and other variables. And then there are the polar bears, long symbols of what could be lost in a warming world. One study predicted sudden die-offs, with large segments of ecosystems collapsing in waves as the world warms. The phenomenon has already started in coral reefs, scientists say, and could begin in tropical forests by the 2040s. However, despite these grim predictions, climate change isn’t currently the biggest driver of biodiversity loss. On land, the largest factor is the reshaping of the terrain itself, as people have created farms and ranches, towns and cities, roads and mines on what was once habitat for myriad species. At sea, the main cause of biodiversity loss is overfishing. These issues — habitat loss, overfishing and climate change — are interlinked. For example, ecosystems like peatlands and forests not only support a wide variety of life but also pull carbon dioxide out of the air and store it in plants and in the ground. Destroying them both harms biodiversity and complicates the fight against climate change. — Catrin Einhorn Read more: Animals Are Running Out of Places to Live What are tipping points, and why should we care? A climate “tipping point” refers to a threshold beyond which small changes to global temperatures can have big, irreversible effects. For example, you’ve probably heard that scientists are concerned about the melting of the huge ice sheet that covers Greenland. If the world isn’t able to rein in global warming, the melting will eventually become self-sustaining and irreversible, researchers have determined. That’s a tipping point. If this threshold is crossed, the melting could raise sea levels by as much as 23 feet over the course of several centuries, swamping coastal cities around the world. The idea of climate tipping points has been around for decades, although there is debate about how many there are and at what temperatures they will be reached. The big ones, however, are generally accepted to include the melting of the ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland; the thawing of Arctic permafrost; the collapse of a major ocean circulation system; and the shrinking of the Amazon rainforest. Recent research suggests that some of these changes may start to occur once global warming reaches between 1.5 and 2 degrees Celsius (2.7 and 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial average temperatures. And the world is already 1.2 degrees Celsius warmer than it was in the 19th century. — Henry Fountain Read more: Failure to Slow Warming Will Set Off Climate ‘Tipping Points,’ Scientists Say Read more: Animals Are Running Out of Places to Live Do volcanoes affect climate change? The effect of volcanic eruptions on warming is minimal. Volcanic activity generates between 130 million tons to 440 million tons of carbon dioxide per year, according to the United States Geological Survey. Human activity generates far more, about 35 billion tons of carbon dioxide per year — 80 times as much as the high end of the estimate for volcanic activity, and 270 times as much as the low end estimate. And that’s just carbon dioxide. Human activity also releases other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, like methane, in far greater quantities than volcanoes do. Here’s one way to think about it. The largest volcanic eruption in the past century was the 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines. If an explosion of that size happened every day, NASA has calculated, it would still release only half as much carbon dioxide as daily human activity does. Volcanoes can also have a short-term cooling effect, when they blast material into the atmosphere that blocks the sun’s energy. But regardless, there is no evidence that volcanic activity has increased over the past 200 years. There have been more reports of eruptions. But researchers at the Global Volcanism Program of the Smithsonian Institution have attributed that increase not to a rise in actual eruptions, but to increased reports from the growing number of people who live near a volcano. In 2013, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change found that the climatic effects of volcanic activity were “inconsequential” over the scale of a century. You can read the findings on Page 56 of the IPCC’s report. — Maggie Astor What’s happening to the oceans? Talk of global warming usually focuses on rising temperatures in the atmosphere. But most warming is actually occurring in the oceans. That’s because the oceans are an enormous heat sink. They cover two-thirds of the Earth’s surface, and water can absorb much more heat than air, so about 90 percent of the excess heat trapped in the atmosphere by greenhouse gases is taken up by the oceans. Without the oceans, the atmosphere would have warmed far more than the 1.2 degrees Celsius (2.2 degrees Fahrenheit) it has since the late 19th century. And currents distribute the ocean’s heat around the globe, playing a critical role in regulating the climate. But warming of the oceans has caused its own problems. Water expands when it warms, which contributes to rising sea levels. Warming oceans cause coral reefs to die, add energy to hurricanes, making them more destructive, and melt the leading edges of ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica from underneath. And just as with land-based life, warming in the oceans has affected the range and distribution of many species of fish and shellfish. Oceans don’t just absorb heat; they also take up carbon dioxide. This, again, is not all bad — the huge current that encircles Antarctica removes much carbon dioxide that would otherwise stay in the atmosphere and trap more heat. But as the carbon dioxide concentration of the oceans increases, the water becomes more acidic. This change in water chemistry harms many small ocean organisms that are a fundamental part of the marine food chain. — Henry Fountain Read more: Warning on Mass Extinction of Sea Life: ‘An Oh My God Moment’ How does ranching and animal agriculture affect climate change? Raising animals to feed people has a significant effect on climate change (and the environment in general), and it’s not just about belching cows. Cattle get a lot of the attention because of their burps: The specialized digestive system of cattle (and other ruminants, including sheep) produces methane that is released into the atmosphere, mostly through belching. The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization estimates that digestion accounts for about 40 percent of the emissions from animal agriculture. However, a wide range of other emissions are related to the production of feed, animal transportation and other activities. Overall, the U.N. agency estimates that, globally, the raising of livestock of all kinds is responsible for nearly 15 percent of all emissions related to human activity. Cattle raised for meat and milk account for about two-thirds of total emissions, and pig production accounts for about 10 percent. Buffalo, chicken (for meat and eggs) and other animals like sheep account for smaller amounts. When measured by unit of protein produced, beef has by far the largest carbon footprint. The production and processing of animal feed — forage crops like hay, as well as corn and other grains — accounts for even more emissions than digestion. Some of these come from the burning of fossil fuels (to run agricultural equipment and heat or cool barns and other facilities), some from activities like fertilizer production and some from the land-use changes that often accompany the expansion of the beef industry and other enterprises. An analysis by Our World in Data, a scientific publication affiliated with the University of Oxford, found that agricultural land use could be reduced by 75 percent, to one billion hectares from four billion, if the world adopted a plant-based diet. When a rancher or beef producer clears a forest to create grazing land, large amounts of carbon in the felled trees is released, either quickly, through burning, or more slowly, through decay. With worldwide demand for beef and other meats rising, this kind of deforestation is increasing in some parts of the world, notably in the Amazon rainforest in South America. Brazil is the perennial leader in acres of tropical forest lost to deforestation, according to the World Resources Institute. Two other significant, if smaller, sources of emissions are manure and the processing and transportation of the finished animal products. — Henry Fountain What are climate “models” and are they any good? Simply put, climate models are computer programs that simulate part or all of the world’s climate. They help scientists better understand what might happen in the future — in this case, how the global climate may change over time. But climate models are far from simple. The software has to replicate, as closely as possible, the physics of climate elements like the atmosphere, the ocean, land surfaces and ice sheets. Even more critically, it must accurately simulate how all of these elements interact over time. The simulations combine actual data (temperature, precipitation, humidity and other real-world observations) with tweakable elements like carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere or variations in the sun’s intensity. This allows scientists to explore various what-ifs — for example, what might happen to sea levels if greenhouse gas emissions increase or decrease. No computer model, of the climate or anything else, is perfect. No computer can do enough calculations fast enough to show how the climate will change every minute in every cubic inch of the world for the next 50 years. But computer models can be extremely useful, and they’re steadily improving. And even older and less complex models have proven over time to be accurate at forecasting climate change. — Henry Fountain What are El Niño and La Niña? These are the names of two different but related climate phenomena that originate in the equatorial Pacific Ocean and come and go every few years, influencing weather around the world. An El Niño period tends to bring rainier, cooler conditions to much of the Southern United States, and warmer conditions to other parts of North America. Elsewhere around the world, El Niño can create warm, dry conditions in Asia, Australia and the Indian subcontinent. Parts of Africa and South America can be affected as well. In 2023, scientists announced the start of the latest El Niño. With it comes increased chances for hotter-than-normal temperatures in 2024. Then there’s La Niña, its opposite. La Niña often brings warmer and drier conditions in the Southern United States, and cooler, wetter weather in parts of the North, especially the Pacific Northwest. Parts of Australia and Asia can be wetter than normal. La Niña can also lead to more hurricanes in the North Atlantic. Both El Niño and La Niña occur on average about every two to seven years. They can last the better part of the year, though sometimes longer. Some research suggests that exceptionally strong episodes will occur more frequently than they do now as the world continues to warm from emissions of greenhouse gases. Both are defined by changes in sea-surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, as well as changes in atmospheric high-pressure and low-pressure zones. When sea-surface temperatures there are about 1 degree Fahrenheit or more above average, El Niño can develop. When temperatures are below average, La Niña can form. (When temperatures are at or near average, neither develops.) The temperature changes are also accompanied by differences in atmospheric air pressure that can influence powerful trade winds, affecting rainfall and temperatures far and wide. Read more: El Niño and La Niña, Explained Is there a connection between climate change and earthquakes? Short answer: Maybe. But it’s hard to know for sure, and the effects would likely be small. Here’s a longer answer. Earthquakes occur because of changes in the stresses along a fault line — a fracture between blocks of rock underground. Anything that causes changes in stress levels could push a stable fault to the point where the blocks suddenly move past each other. That’s an earthquake. Stresses in a fault build up naturally, a result of the slow movement of Earth’s large crustal plates. But stresses can be affected in other ways as well. For example, injection of wastewater from oil drilling into wells in Oklahoma was found to have caused many earthquakes, most of them small. And anything that alters the mass above a fault — impounding of water behind a dam, for example — can potentially alter stresses. Extraction of gas from a large natural gas field in Soviet Uzbekistan is thought to have triggered large earthquakes in 1976 and 1984. Faults are far enough underground that the warming of the atmosphere and the oceans from emissions of greenhouse gases wouldn’t affect them. But global warming may affect earthquakes indirectly. More intense and frequent droughts could result in more evaporation of water from the ground, potentially changing fault stresses. The melting of ice sheets and glaciers, which are extremely heavy, might alter stresses below them as well. But since the effects likely would be small, and since scientists don’t precisely know pre-quake stress conditions within faults, no one is able yet to confidently say whether such indirect warming-related effects pushed a given fault past the breaking point and caused an earthquake. — Henry Fountain
WHAT CAN I DO?
This is one of the most common and vexing questions: Can one person’s actions really make a difference? The problem is so big that the fix has to come from powerful nations and policymakers, right? First of all, it’s impossible to separate the two things: Personal actions and international cooperation are inextricably linked. The answer also depends on whose actions we’re talking about. The actions of a middle-class American matter a lot more than the actions of, say, a farmer in Bangladesh. Why? Because people in wealthy countries consume much more than people in poor countries, and so their choices matter more to global emissions. What can individuals do? Here’s a detailed guide. A few examples:
Changing what you do can also influence others. Research shows, for instance, that people tend to conserve more electricity when their utility bills show how their power use compares with their neighbors’. And it’s worth noting that individual action is a prerequisite for collective action. Without individual activists getting together, there would be no Sunrise Movement camping out in the halls of Congress. And, of course, voting is an individual action that can be an important force for change. On the whole, though, humans tend to be bad at altering their behavior today to address risks tomorrow. This “present bias,” as cognitive scientists call it, makes it hard for us, as individuals, to carry out lifestyle changes now to prevent a catastrophe down the road. Because the world has deferred climate action for so long, it must now cut greenhouse gas emissions drastically and swiftly. It can be hard to imagine how those cuts can be made without ambitious government policies. Still, it’s not too late to make a difference. While it’s true that we have already dangerously warmed the planet by burning fossil fuels for generations, the future isn’t set in stone. Many futures remain possible. It’s up to us to decide which one plays out. — Somini Sengupta Are we doomed? If you’re asking whether the climate has already changed and is already causing grievous harm to millions of people, the answer is yes. If you’re asking whether humanity is destined to some vague and awful fate, the answer is no. Unequivocally no. Much is being done to slow the pace of warming. More can be done. That’s what scientists implore policymakers to do. “It’s never too late to stop punching ourselves in the face,” as Adam Levy, an atmospheric physicist, says in this video (while punching himself). Let’s first look at where we are. The average global temperature is about 1.2 degrees Celsius higher today than it was at the start of the industrial age, mainly because of the burning of fossil fuels. Thanks to all the greenhouse gases that have already accumulated in the atmosphere, the planet will heat up more in the coming decades. How much more? That depends on the actions of the countries that emit the most (essentially, the 20 largest economies, led by the United States and China). There are ways to keep planetary warming on a safe trajectory. The shorthand for this, established by global scientific consensus, is to limit global average temperature increases to well below 2 degrees Celsius, compared with preindustrial times. Until recently, we were on a very bad trajectory: The global average temperature was on track to warm by more than 4 degrees Celsius by 2100. That’s no longer the case, thanks to ambitious policies spurred by public pressure, technological advances and the rapidly falling cost of renewable energy. The pace can still be slowed a lot more. It requires slashing the burning of fossil fuels. It requires plugging leaks of methane (an extremely potent greenhouse gas) from oil and gas facilities. It requires growing food without mowing down more forests. There are many pathways, spelled out by rigorous research. Each has tradeoffs. For some of us, it might be easier to subscribe to doomism. It lets us off the hook to change how we do things. Or to imagine how the world might function differently. Nihilism is cheap. Don’t buy it. — Somini Sengupta How should I think about my diet? By some estimates, the world’s food system is responsible for one-quarter of humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions. It happens because forests get cleared to make room for farms and livestock. Cows and rice paddies emit methane, a potent greenhouse gas. Fossil fuels are burned to power farm machinery, make fertilizer and ship food. Anyone focused on the climate effects of diet should keep a few broad things in mind. First, beef, lamb and cheese tend to have the biggest effects on emissions by far — creating the most greenhouse gases per gram of protein — in part because cows and other ruminants are more resource-intensive to raise. Pork, chicken, eggs and many types of fish typically have smaller effects on emissions (though they can create other environmental concerns). Plant-based foods usually produce the fewest emissions of all. So the most straightforward way of reducing diet-related emissions is to consume less meat and dairy and more plants. It’s especially the case if you live in the United States, where red meat consumption is much higher than in many parts of the world. According to a World Resources Institute analysis, if the average American simply replaced a third of the beef they eat with lower-emissions pork or poultry or legumes, their food-related emissions would fall 13 percent. Moreover, a number of studies have found that people who currently eat a meat-heavy diet could shrink their food-related footprint by one-third or more by going vegetarian. It sounds like a no-brainer, but the other big way to shrink the climate effect of your diet is simply to waste less food. According to some estimates, Americans throw out roughly 20 percent of the food they buy. Other popular strategies are less clear-cut, at least when it comes to greenhouse gas emissions. Studies differ on whether grass-fed beef, for instance, is any more climate friendly than conventional feedlot beef, although some argue it’s better for animal welfare. Organic crops tend to require more land than traditional crops, which could lead to more emissions if such farming results in more deforestation. As for debates over locally grown produce, or paper vs. plastic bags, those are relatively small in the grand scheme of things, since transportation and packaging are a sliver of food’s climate effects. And, of course, there are other concerns besides climate change. For example, when compared with meat, wild fish can be a lower-emissions option. But that comes with a caveat: The world is already catching about as much wild fish as it possibly can. Most fisheries are being fished at their maximum sustainable level, while others are being overexploited. So more people switching to fish could require, among other actions, increasing the number of sustainable fish farms worldwide. — Brad Plumer Read more: Your Questions About Food and Climate Change, Answered What about non-dairy milks like almond milk? The Times has written extensively about food, diet and climate change — including what you might want to know about almond milks and soy milks — in this guide. Here’s an excerpt with the gist of it: “Almond, oat and soy milk all have a smaller greenhouse gas footprint than cow’s milk does. But, as always, there are caveats and trade-offs to consider. Almonds require a lot of water to grow, and this has been a problem in places like California. Soy milk tends to be fairly low-impact, as long as the soy is sustainably farmed.” In addition, we’ve written a separate entry in this F.A.Q. about how to think about your diet generally. Read more: Your Questions About Food and Climate Change, Answered Should I have kids? Now we’re getting personal. First of all, if you’re trying to work through the climate consequences of bringing new life into the world, you’re in good company. It is our modern take on a question that’s probably been around since the dawn of humanity: Will my children have a safe and fulfilling life? If you’re worried about the future your child will grow up into, that’s a legitimate concern. Climate change affects people unfairly and unequally, starting at pregnancy. But whether we are rich or poor, the social and economic tumult the world faces as the planet warms is all but certain to touch us. If your concern is with the actual climate toll of child-rearing, researchers have tried to tackle that question. One study found that having a family does indeed take a significant environmental toll, though, as you can imagine, it’s a complex thing to try to put a number to. But here’s an important point to consider. More people in the world doesn’t necessarily mean more greenhouse gas emissions, if the world can find a way to stop burning fossil fuels. That cuts to the very heart of the world’s climate crisis: Can, and will, the world do what needs to be done in time for future generations? Ultimately, the choice to have a child or not comes down to the act of balancing a host of profound moral and individual considerations, starting perhaps with: Does parenthood deeply interest you? Because the right decision can’t be just about numbers, or carbon-dioxide-equivalent emissions, or the uncertainties of an unknowable future. As we all know, it’s easy to find friends, relatives — perhaps even (we hope!) our own parents — who will declare raising their children to be one of the most important and satisfying choices they’ve made. And it’s also easy to find folks who are living the richest of lives while choosing not to have a family. Read more: The Population Question How bad is the plastic problem and what can be done about it? Plastic is a technological marvel that has transformed the human experience. We have plastic to thank for our cellphones, sippy cups, automobiles, surgical gloves, elastic underwear bands and countless other things. It’s also responsible for some 4 percent of global emissions. That’s more than what’s produced by all of the world’s airplanes combined. Plastic is, after all, usually made from fossil fuels. And it’s more than a climate problem: Plastic litter is killing marine life. And pollution (not only in the form of plastic) is one of the main drivers of biodiversity loss. Plastic-related chemicals can disrupt human metabolism and inhibit hormones. And they’re related to diseases. Research shows that more than 40 percent of the plastic we use comes in the form of packaging, generally single-use, and a lot of it isn’t recyclable. In fact, only about 9 percent of all plastic ever made has been recycled, according to the United Nations Environment Program. Recycling is notoriously difficult, starting with the little “recycling” symbol we’re all familiar with — the three arrows forming a triangle. Many people assume it means something is recyclable. But guess what: It doesn’t mean that. More on this big problem here. What plastic isn’t recycled ends up going to landfills, or it becomes litter, or it gets burned, polluting the atmosphere. The fossil fuel industry, worried about declining demand for oil, is trying to pivot to making even more of the stuff. Plastic waste going into waterways is set to more than double, perhaps even triple, by 2040. Some governments are creating laws to put the burden on companies to handle plastic waste, and are banning some single-use plastics. There is also movement toward a global treaty with a goal of getting nations to agree on a legally binding plan to improve recycling, clean up waste and curb production. How to do that, though, is up for debate. — Manuela Andreoni Read more: Trash Or Recycling? How Plastic Keeps Us Guessing Should I bother recycling? It’s worth the effort. But the key word here, unfortunately, is “effort.” Figuring out whether something is recyclable — or simply whether anyone near you actually accepts recyclables — is far too confusing. You can’t even trust the familiar recycling symbol (those three little arrows forming a triangle) because it doesn’t actually mean a thing is recyclable. But there’s hope! America’s big recycling companies do want your recycling, or at least some of it. For starters, we built a game to explain how you can figure out if various pieces of plastic are actually recyclable. In order to know what you should throw in the bin, it can help to think like the recyclers. Recycling, after all, is not a public service in many places — it’s a business. So whether a material gets recycled depends on whether money can be made from it. Materials like glass and metals have a long history of recycling and can be endlessly reprocessed. The United States also has good infrastructure for recycling paper products like cardboard, which has a recycling rate above 90 percent. Plastic is different. One of the biggest barriers is that it’s often cheaper to simply make new plastic. That said, there is a good market for rigid plastics, the kinds marked “1” and “2” in the triangular symbol. These represent items like milk jugs and detergent tubs, and nearly 30 percent of these are recycled. One set of items must almost always go into the trash: flexible, or soft, plastics like shopping bags, bubble mailers or foil-lined chip bags. For one thing because they can jam up machines at sorting plants. So, yes, try to recycle clean paper products, metals, rigid plastics and glass, if it’s accepted in your local recycling program. To improve recycling, environmentalists say it can help to support legislation such as bottle bills, laws that incentivize companies to make products more recyclable or measures aimed at reducing single-use products. — Winston Choi-Schagrin Does composting help? Reducing food waste can definitely make a difference. The United Nations Environment Program says food waste accounts for 8 to 10 percent of greenhouse gas emissions globally. And that’s not to mention the emissions associated with food production, which add up to about 30 percent of the global total. But when tossing food or scraps simply can’t be avoided, composting can play a role. Composting can reduce greenhouse gases “by improving carbon sequestration in the soil and by preventing methane emissions through aerobic decomposition,” according to the Environmental Protection Agency. That’s because methane-producing microbes aren’t active in the presence of oxygen, the E.P.A. explains. Organic material decomposing in a landfill, on the other hand, produces lots of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas. Some cities and states are trying to make composting easier. Municipal brown bins can be found in parts of New York City, and California has a law requiring every jurisdiction to provide “organic waste collection.” Around the world, lawmakers have started to tackle the problem and the related issue of hunger. If your local government hasn’t set up a program, you can sometimes find community gardens or farmers’ markets that will accept compost. And we’ve written a guide on how you can compost inside your home, even without a yard. To answer the big question right up front: It doesn’t smell. While we have you on the topic of food waste, another thing to consider is what you buy, and where. We’ve written about apps that help connect you with unsold food for cheap. Think of those perfectly edible peaches and tomatoes that get passed up because they’re not pretty enough. If you find yourself thinking, “I’m just one person, what’s the point?” you might be inspired by this story of Domingo Morales. A New Yorker from the Bronx, Mr. Morales created a program to bring composting to public housing, home to as many as 600,000 New Yorkers. And if you still have more questions, check out the entries in this F.A.Q. about diet and animal agriculture. Should I give up my gas stove? People sure do love their gas stoves. But they have their downsides, particularly compared to induction cooktops, which are far more efficient and also don’t release pollutants into the home from the burning gas. Here’s how to think about making a change. First of all, if you’re looking to reduce household emissions of greenhouse gases, there may be more effective things that you could do before ditching the stove. The best thing to start with is an energy assessment, which is when you bring in a licensed professional to look over the home and identify the biggest ways to reduce energy use. (This government site has information about finding one.) Often they will suggest things like fixing leaky windows or doors, which can save a surprising amount of money over time. If your home has a gas- or oil-burning furnace, replacing it with a heat pump would have a far bigger impact on household emissions than replacing your stove. That can be a costly project depending on many things, such as the size and age of the house. However, to soften the blow, in the U.S. you may be eligible for financial incentives. But back to your gas stove. Is it time to say goodbye? Evidence of the health risks of gas stoves has grown, including a link to childhood asthma. The reason is that the flames emit various poisonous gases including nitrogen oxide, which is thought to trigger asthma. Stoves can also sometimes leak small amounts of natural gas even when they’re off. There are ways to minimize the risk, such as making sure the range hood is turned on while cooking, or by buying a room air filter. This article has more details. Gas ranges also, obviously, burn gas, which is a fossil fuel and contributes to global warming. If you’re going to switch, induction stoves are the most efficient choice. They can cost a lot more than a traditional electric range, and for technical reasons, only certain kinds of pots and pans will work on the burners. But since induction ranges are powered by electricity they eliminate the issue of indoor pollution from gas. And depending how your local utility generates electricity, they can be much greener. If you decide to do it, you may also be eligible for incentives via the Inflation Reduction Act. How do I explain climate change to my kid? Climate change is likely to make your child’s life experience much different than what you’ve known. So even though it might feel like a daunting subject to bring up with your kids, it may also be one of the most important. The first — and most critical — step is to stay positive. Remind your child that they have a role to play as a nature lover and a climate leader, whether it’s in their backyard, their school, their community or beyond. Second, don’t feel daunted by the science. To help, we created this virtual children’s book which explains the basics of climate science, as well as actions we can all take. Third, remember that your approach will largely depend on your child’s age and interests. For young children, one way to start is by inspiring a love of the natural world. Over time, you can try to connect what they are noticing, whether it’s migrating birds or the leaves changing color, with concepts like seasons and weather. By elementary school, kids may have already heard the phrase “climate change,” so it can be important that they don’t start associating it with fear. Explain the basic facts of climate change and the world’s finite resources. (Again, our children’s book might come in handy.) Empower your kids with actions they can take on their own, whether it’s turning off the lights when they leave a room, or home composting, or taking care of a tree in the backyard. Science museums, zoos, and aquariums are great places to explore together, since many now connect their exhibitions with the wider effects of climate change and biodiversity loss in a child-friendly way. For kids who do receive formal instruction on climate change, it will most likely happen in middle school. At home, you might watch for opportunities to connect it with phenomena they are noticing in the community, whether it’s heat waves or changes in local flora or fauna. For teenagers, it might help to familiarize them with videos or stories of young people who are working on solutions. Reassure them that there are still paths forward, and take the opportunity to help them understand about misinformation and the value of reliable sources of information about climate change, but also about the world in general. Finally, let experts do your homework for you. Here are some kid- and teenager-friendly resources that have been vetted by climate scientists and science educators.
What can I do about climate anxiety? Eco-anxiety, climate grief, despair, dread, anger. This is a serious phenomenon, and we’ve written about how climate change has entered the therapy room. Therapy can indeed be a helpful way to work through feelings like these related to the climate crisis, although sometimes it can be costly for a person without insurance to cover it. This article about support networks describes some useful, affordable resources. As one Times guide explains, action can also be an antidote to anxiety. And you might be inspired by this article about a growing chorus of young people trying to focus more on solutions to counterbalance the seeming drumbeat of gloomy news on climate change. Or this profile of teen climate activists and what they’re doing and why. This F.A.Q. also covers the topic elsewhere, from a slightly different angle, in our answer to the question, “Are we doomed?” We also have an entry on how to talk to kids about climate change. Read more: How to Calm Your Climate Anxiety How can I identify or rebut bad information when I see it? There’s a whole lot of climate misinformation out there, thanks to deniers, special-interest groups and also the numerous people who buy into it not realizing that it’s bad information.
SOLUTIONS AND GEOPOLITICS
The world’s wealthiest countries have historically contributed the most to global warming. Just two dozen nations, including the United States, Canada, Japan, Australia and much of western Europe, are responsible for 50 percent of all the planet-warming greenhouse gases released from fossil fuels and industry since 1850, despite accounting for just 12 percent of the global population today. That’s because these countries industrialized earlier than much of the rest of the world and therefore have been burning oil, gas and coal for energy for longer than everyone else. When gauging responsibility for current warming, experts look at historical emissions, because once carbon dioxide is in the air it can affect the atmosphere for centuries. Today, China is by far the world’s largest single emitter, accounting for one-third of humanity’s carbon dioxide from energy and industry in 2022. However, it’s responsible for just 14 percent of all planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions since 1850. There are other ways to look at responsibility. Even within an individual country, a person’s “carbon footprint” (or the amount of greenhouse gas emissions produced by one’s lifestyle) typically depends on income and wealth. In the United States, according to one analysis, the top 10 percent of earners emits roughly 75 tons of carbon dioxide per person per year, while the bottom 50 percent emit about 10 tons per person. For comparison: In China, the top 10 percent emits about 36 tons per person, while the bottom half averages 3 tons per person. Some environmentalists prefer to focus on the fossil-fuel producers themselves. One oft-cited analysis found that more than 70 percent of global emissions since 1998 could be traced back to oil, gas and coal sold by just 100 companies, including China Coal, Saudi Aramco and oil giants like Exxon and Shell. But others point out that these companies hardly acted alone — the world bought and burned their products. — Brad Plumer Read more: Who Has The Most Historical Responsibility for Climate Change? What are the most critical steps to take soon? To limit warming to just 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial times — the more ambitious of the two climate goals endorsed by world leaders in the Paris agreement — emissions need to fall roughly in half by 2030 and countries need to stop adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere by around 2050. That is a daunting task. In 2021, the International Energy Agency compiled a long list of steps to get there. There’s no silver bullet, but here are a few of the main recommendations:
Read more: To Cut Emissions to Zero, U.S. Needs to Make Big Changes in Next 10 Years Can you give me some good news, please? There has been some good news on climate change. Not enough. But good news nonetheless. First of all, over the past decade or so, several major economies including the United States have shifted away from burning coal to generate electricity. Coal is the dirtiest of fossil fuels, and historically speaking a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions. There are still coal power plants being built in the world, but the overall trend away from coal toward cleaner options, like solar, is progress. The cost to build solar power plants has fallen enough that, in some cases, it is now one of the most price-competitive options for generating electricity. This is a significant financial milestone. Cars that burn gas are a major contributor to planet-warming greenhouse emissions, but in the past few years some of the world’s largest automakers have launched aggressive efforts to pivot to making more electric vehicles while phasing out gasoline models. The importance of a significant polluting industry embracing this change, and competing with one another to be better at it, can’t be underestimated. Car buyers have been responding. As recently as a half-decade or so ago, electric-car sales were negligible in many parts of the world, but have risen rapidly since. Electric vehicles aren’t perfect of course, but as a general rule they’re cleaner than gasoline cars. (If you’re interested in reading more about that, see the entry in this F.A.Q. for “How green are electric cars?”) The spread of electric vehicles also means that some of the difficulties of owning one (for example, finding charging stations nearby) will likely resolve themselves more quickly as demand grows from drivers. That, in turn, could encourage sales. In 2022 the United States passed new legislation, the Inflation Reduction Act, that is widely considered the most important legislative effort to fight climate change in the nation’s history by encouraging a transition to cleaner energy and offering a range of incentives to businesses and individuals to clean up their act. (This Times guide explains how you might be able to claim some of that money by, for instance, buying an electric car or installing a heat pump.) Lastly, here’s a big one: For reasons like the above, in the past decade or so the world has made significant progress toward slowing global warming and avoiding particularly extreme consequences from climate change. Not nearly enough progress, mind you, but significant nonetheless. Specifically, before the 2015 Paris Agreement, some estimates put the world on track to warm in the range of 3.6 degrees Celsius above preindustrial times. Scientists widely agree that if average global temperatures were to increase that much, it would be devastating socially and economically. Now, however, according to a United Nations report in 2022, the world is on track to heat between 2.1 degrees and 2.9 degrees by 2100. That’s still very dangerous. However, if the nations of the world act as aggressively as they promise, there remains a chance to hold that increase to below 2 degrees Celsius, according to scientists. That’s a big “if,” of course. It would require a tremendous amount of work by the nations of the world, on an extremely swift timetable over the next decade or two, to hit the lower targets for limiting global warming. However, since you asked about good news, let’s keep it positive. Even if there’s a lot of hard work to do, progress has been made on important fronts. There’s now even a movement, “OK Doomer,” that basically says, stop it with the gloomy takes and focus on things that will fix the problem. How did climate change become so political if the science is clear? In the 1970s, caring for the environment wasn’t such a partisan issue in the United States. Consider that back then Democrats and Republicans worked together to create the Clean Water Act, the Clean Air Act and the Environmental Protection Agency. But when it comes to tackling climate change today, that kind of cooperation seems hard to imagine. Research by the Pew Research Center in 2022, for example, showed that 9 percent of registered Republican voters considered climate change to be “very important” to their vote in the congressional elections, compared with 68 percent of registered Democrat voters. That divide didn’t come from nowhere. Fossil fuel companies and political interest groups have long funded efforts to try to cast doubt on overwhelming scientific evidence that climate change is happening and as a result of human activity, namely the burning of fossil fuels. That message has been successful with many conservative politicians and voters. The science is clear: Even scientists for Exxon, the oil giant, made remarkably accurate projections of how burning fossil fuels would warm the planet. Yet, for years, Exxon and others publicly cast doubt on climate science. Supporters of the fossil fuel industry have included the Koch family, billionaires based in Kansas who donated heavily to groups that helped politicize the science of climate change over the years. President Donald J. Trump mocked climate science, withdrew the United States from the Paris agreement and weakened many government policies that were designed to curb emissions. In the aftermath of the Trump presidency, something of a regrouping occurred among Republicans. Party leaders increasingly acknowledged the science, and some started policy platforms they said would address climate change. However, many of the proposals remained largely opposed to the solution that scientists say is needed: moving away from fossil fuel energy. — Lisa Friedman What can be done about the biodiversity crisis? The diversity of the world’s plant and animal life is under threat worldwide for many reasons — development, overfishing, climate change. Scientists know how to solve the biodiversity crisis, at least theoretically. The problem is, the solutions would involve transformative changes in how people live. A 2022 global agreement on biodiversity laid out a path forward, starting with conservation of places that are home to high biodiversity, restoring some degraded areas and putting more of the planet under protection. The targets also include:
Many of these changes would require regulators or elected officials to act. But individuals can also do their part. Limiting meat and dairy intake, and consuming only sustainably managed fish are important steps because overfishing and agriculture related to livestock are major drivers of biodiversity loss. An analysis by Our World in Data, a scientific publication affiliated with the University of Oxford, found that agricultural land use could be reduced by 75 percent, to one billion hectares from four billion hectares, if the world adopted a plant-based diet. (That would help with climate change, too.) — Catrin Einhorn Read more: A ‘Crossroads’ for Humanity: Earth’s Biodiversity Is Still Collapsing Are offsets legitimate? Great question. We’ve written about airline offsets here. What’s a “carbon offset,” exactly? Offsets seek to compensate for emissions — for example, from passenger airplanes — by funding emission reductions or carbon removal somewhere else, like by planting forests or supporting renewable energy projects. But a joint investigation by the Guardian and other outlets found that 90 percent of offsets approved by a leading certifier are “largely worthless and could make global heating worse.” We’ve written about how tree-planting is booming, and how that could either help or harm the planet, depending on how it’s done. The New York Times Magazine explored how the task of planting the number of trees required to make a difference is easier said than done. Don’t get us wrong, there are lots of great reasons to plant trees. For example, trees can help reduce urban-heat-island effects and heat-related deaths. You may also be interested in reading about how tree species will or won’t hold up against climate change, and how people can help forests adapt. A parting thought on offsets: Be wary of greenwashing. Here are some tips on how to spot it. How will the Inflation Reduction Act address climate change, and how quickly? President Biden’s 2022 Inflation Reduction Act was one of the most consequential pieces of climate legislation in U.S. history. It invests nearly $370 billion over 10 years into clean energy, with the goal of pivoting the nation’s power plants, automobiles and heavy industry away from fossil fuels while jump-starting new markets for things like American-made batteries and hydrogen power. Along the way the Biden administration also vowed to take a chunk out of greenhouse gas emissions and reshape energy policy to make it more beneficial to low-income communities. A lot of that will take time. But some big measures took effect straightaway. Early on, the Department of Energy agreed to a “conditional commitment” of $700 million to develop a lithium mine in Nevada with the aim of building up the domestic supply of lithium for electric car batteries. The Environmental Protection Agency also announced the availability of $100 million in grants to assist communities disproportionately affected by industrial pollution and other hazards. The law provides a number of benefits for homeowners looking to buy an electric vehicle or make their home more sustainable, including rebates for heat pumps, electric stoves, insulation and electric wiring. Through 2032, households can claim a tax credit of 30 percent of the cost of certain energy-efficiency projects, like weatherization and home energy audits, up to $1,200 per year. New rebates for buying electric vehicles also went into effect early on, allowing for a $7,500 credit for a new electric car and up to $4,000 for a used one. To qualify, the automobiles must be assembled in North America. This government site helps navigate the program. — Lisa Friedman Read more: This Guide Can Help You Save Money and Fight Climate Change What is the Paris Agreement? In December 2015, nearly every country in the world agreed to a global treaty aimed at reducing emissions of planet-warming greenhouse gases. It was a landmark achievement in global diplomacy. Some 195 nations signed on to its terms. The idea of the treaty, which is known as the Paris Agreement because it was negotiated in Paris, is that every country, rich or poor, will set goals to curb its emissions in an effort to avert the worst effects of climate change. Individual countries agreed to set timetables for cutting their emissions, and those schedules were to become more ambitious over time. Countries also pledged to work together to help finance global adaptation to the threats of climate change. The agreement set a target of limiting the average increase in global temperatures to well below 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of the century, compared with preindustrial temperatures, and to preferably hold the increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius. Currently, global temperatures have risen about 1.2 degrees Celsius since the late 19th century. And growing scientific evidence suggests that the stricter aim under the Paris accord — limiting warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius — is necessary to avoid a far greater likelihood of devastating consequences like widespread crop failures and the collapse of polar ice sheets. The Paris Agreement has a major shortcoming: It lacks an enforcement mechanism if a country falls short of its commitments. And an analysis by Climate Action Tracker found that, as of 2021, none of the nations with large-scale emissions had instituted climate pledges in keeping with the 1.5-degree target. Read more: The World Is Falling Short of Its Climate Goals. Four Big Emitters Show Why. What is the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change? The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is a United Nations body that produces a comprehensive overview of climate science every six to eight years. The IPCC’s work is widely considered some of the most authoritative climate research available. Each report is thousands of pages long and written by hundreds of experts from around the globe. A summary of each report’s key findings is approved, line-by-line, by nearly 200 world governments before it is released to the public. The most recent IPCC overview consisted of three reports that were published in 2021 and 2022. The first described scientists’ latest physical understanding of the climate. The second looked at how climate change was affecting human societies and the natural world. The third laid out strategies that countries could pursue to halt global warming. — Raymond Zhong Read more: A Hotter Future Is Certain, Climate Panel Warns. But How Hot Is Up to Us. What is COP? Since 1995, representatives from nearly every nation have gathered once a year to grapple with the threat that affects them all — climate change. The event is known as — take a deep breath — the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Mercifully, that gets shortened to “COP.” Tens of thousands of people typically attend the event, including protesters, environmental groups, corporate executives, representatives of fossil fuel companies and, increasingly, celebrities like Leonardo DiCaprio. The two-week event takes on a festival vibe, with delegates wearing native dress rubbing shoulders with government officials in business attire and activists dressed as polar bears. The goals vary from year to year, but, generally, nations try to reach consensus on ways to cut their greenhouse gas emissions. It can be a messy diplomatic scramble because every party must sign off on any final agreement, and nations often have widely different ideas about what those agreements should, or should not, say. In the closing days of the event, negotiations are all but guaranteed to stretch into the night and toward dawn. At 2015’s COP, the Paris Agreement was born — the pact among nations to try to limit the average increase in global temperatures to 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) compared with preindustrial levels, and to ideally hold it to 1.5 degrees Celsius. Since then, every COP has given the world a chance to measure its progress against that goal. Like the Olympics, COP changes its location for each event. In 2023, it will be the United Arab Emirates’ turn to host. About Earth Day: Isn’t every day an earth day? Short answer: yes. More helpful answer: Technically, according to our calendar apps, Earth Day comes around once a year, on April 22, when people worldwide hold marches and parades, and issue calls to protect the environment. The notion of a special day to celebrate the environment was born more than a half-century ago in the era of acid rain, smog-blanketed cities, dying bald eagles and rivers bubbling with sludge. The basic idea: Humans have only one planet, so we’d better clean up our act. A lot has changed since the first one in 1970. Back then a main target was pollution. Climate change “was not part of the discussion” at that time, said Denis Hayes, an original Earth Day organizer, in this New York Times profile. That’s no longer the case, of course. Today global warming is a big focus of Earth Day events. The movement sparked historic changes in environmental policy in the United States. The Clean Air Act was one direct result. Here’s a look at 10 of the biggest environmental victories in the decades since the first Earth Day — and also the failures. The bald eagle has bounced back, for one thing. Still there are many new challenges. One last thing: Why was April 22 chosen? Turns out it was picked as a convenient date between spring break and university final exams, making it easier for students to participate. Since then, though, the date has taken on extra meaning. In 2016 the signing of the Paris Accord — the agreement among nations to fight global warming — was symbolically set for April 22.
EXTREME WEATHER
In general, scientists have no doubt that heat waves around the world are becoming hotter, more frequent and longer. In June 2023, temperatures around the world were at their highest levels in decades. The spike reflects two factors that are shaping what forecasters say could be a multiyear period of exceptional warmth for the planet: humans’ continued emissions of heat-trapping gases and the return, after three years, of the natural climate pattern known as El Niño. The 2018 National Climate Assessment, a major scientific report by 13 federal agencies, said that the number of hot days was increasing and that the frequency of heat waves in the United States had jumped from an average of two per year in the 1960s to six per year in the 2010s. The report also said that the season for heat waves had lengthened by 45 days since the 1960s. An important caveat: It takes careful scientific analysis to decide whether any single heat wave is attributable to climate change. But, broadly speaking, heat waves are worsening. Global warming also increases the likelihood of drought. Higher temperatures dry out soils and vegetation, making areas more prone to fires. Warming can also cause more precipitation to fall as rain than as snow, which can affect water availability for agriculture if a region relies, say, on snowmelt from mountains upstream for a steady supply of water in the spring or summer. Is climate change causing more droughts? Global warming increases the likelihood of drought. Higher temperatures dry out soils and vegetation more quickly. Warming can also cause more precipitation to fall as rain than snow — which matters from a drought perspective because some places rely on snowmelt to provide water during the growing season. In addition, climate change can affect precipitation patterns around the world, making dry areas drier. In recent years, most of the western half of the United States has been in a drought, with conditions ranging from moderate to severe. In the Southwest, the drought has gone on for so long — since 2000 — that it is considered a megadrought. It constitutes the region’s driest two decades in 1,200 years. Are wildfires getting worse? There is no doubt: Wildfires in the Western United States are worsening. As we’ve reported, they’re growing larger, becoming more intense, killing a greater number of trees, spreading faster and reaching higher — even generating their own weather. Climate change has its fingerprints all over it. The dryness, higher temperatures and longer fire season are all factors that make fires more extreme, according to experts. It’s a global phenomenon. Continent-spanning wildfires in Canada have sent plumes of smoke to blanket cities and turn the skies pink-gray. The early 2023 Canadian fires triggered health concerns in Quebec and Philadelphia, Toronto and New York. Worldwide, in fact, worsening heat and dryness could lead to a 50 percent rise in devastating fires, according to a 2022 United Nations report, or a “global wildfire crisis.” It’s a health issue, too. Smoke from wildfires has worsened over the past decade, potentially reversing decades of improvements in Western air quality that occurred thanks to the implementation of the Clean Air Act, research shows. If you want to see where fires are currently in the U.S., we have a map that stays updated. If you want to see where homes are at risk, we have a map for that, too. We’ve also written about how, despite fire risks, homes are being built in harm’s way. Here’s some information on how to prepare your home for a fire and how to protect your health. How dangerous is wildfire smoke? We’ve covered that here. Lastly, if you’re interested in solutions, you might like to read about how setting intentional fires — a technique long-used by Indigenous people — can reduce the risk of catastrophic ones. More on other policy solutions toward the end of this article. How do you measure air quality? Burning things — whether it’s coal in a power plant, or trees in a wildfire — can create a cocktail of pollution in the air we breathe. A standard way to measure it is the Air Quality Index. (AQI) Here’s what the index does, and how to interpret it. The AQI measures the density of five pollutants: ground-level ozone, particulates, carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide and sulfur dioxide. It was established by the Environmental Protection Agency in the United States to help communicate the cleanliness of the air people are breathing. The scale runs from zero (very good) to 500 (very bad.) The simplest thing to remember is: If it’s under 100, then pollution is below the level known to cause adverse health effects. A reading of 100 or higher usually serves as a warning to people who have respiratory conditions. Children and some older adults might particularly want to take precautions, as well as people with heart and lung disease. A number above 200 is considered “very unhealthy.” Wildfires are a common cause of extended periods of unhealthy air. Fine particles in the soot, ash and dust can fill the air. When inhaled, these tiny specks can increase the risk of heart attacks, cancer and acute respiratory infections, particularly in children and older adults. The Air Quality Index tracks these fine particles with a measurement called PM 2.5, a reference to particles smaller than 2.5 micrometers. Some research suggests that wildfire smoke may be more toxic to the lungs than standard urban air pollution as it contains a distinct mix of particulates that activate inflammatory cells deep in the lungs while hindering other cells that can dampen the inflammatory response later. Standard N95 masks can help by filtering some of the particulate matter, but they won’t block all wildfire pollutants. — Adeel Hassan Read more: The Air Quality Index Explained: What It Means and How to Stay Safe What about hurricanes? Greenhouse gas emissions aren’t just warming the atmosphere. Oceans are heating up, too, and that’s making hurricanes stronger and wetter. The slightly good news: There’s little evidence that climate change is making hurricanes and typhoons more frequent. In fact, there might even be slightly fewer storms over time, due to shifting wind patterns. But of the hurricanes that do form, research suggests that more of them will be major storms rated Category 3 or higher on the hurricane-force scale. That’s because higher ocean temperatures provide more of the heat energy that fuels these storms as they move across the water. Warmer ocean water can also cause “rapid intensification,” which occurs when a storm becomes much more powerful over a very short period of a single day or even a few hours. A 2019 study in the journal Nature Communications showed that rapid intensification had been increasing. Hurricanes are becoming wetter because warmer air holds more moisture that can then fall as rain. Hurricane Harvey, which stalled over Houston in 2017, produced at least 15 percent more rain than it would have in a world without the human effects on climate. Read more: What We Know About Climate Change and Hurricanes Are winters getting weirder? Climate change isn’t just making the winter season warmer. It is also making it weirder. Winter temperatures have risen over the past several decades. According to a Climate Central analysis, the average winter temperatures have warmed in 97 percent of 238 locations in the United States since 1970. But don’t put your snow gear away. Overall, the average snowfall is decreasing and instead, in many cases, falling as rain. However, at the same time the frequency of extreme snowstorms has risen across the eastern two-thirds of the contiguous United States over the past century, according to the National Centers for Environmental Information. Here’s why. Air that is warmer can hold more water vapor. So as winter temperatures get warmer, the storms have more available water vapor and then can produce more snow. So, while snow across the course of the winter may seem more sparse, the single snowstorms will be more intense, creating more disruption to daily life. And while the average minimum temperatures continue to rise, intense cold spells will undoubtedly exist. According to some scientists, the warming of the Arctic, enhanced by climate change, weakens the polar vortex — a strong band of winds in the stratosphere surrounding the North Pole — knocking it out of kilter and allowing colder Arctic air to spill south into the U.S., Europe and Asia. This data is specific to the United States, but researchers say similar effects are being seen in other parts of the world. While various factors (like local temperature increases, local geography and weather patterns) can change the effects at any given location, seasonal weather patterns work on the same general principles in other parts of the world. And with a large portion of the world’s population living across the mid-latitudes, similar to the United States, people living elsewhere will likely see similar instances of weird winter weather. — Judson Jones Is flooding getting worse? Global warming has the potential to worsen flooding because warmer air can hold more water, which can then fall as rain. However, flooding is a complex phenomenon with many contributing causes. Floods can be affected by a range of factors, including land development (are there too many paved roads or parking lots worsening runoff?) and ground conditions. If the ground is already saturated with water from one storm, it can’t absorb more from another. And in a prolonged drought, soils dry out, harden and become less permeable, so less of the water from a heavy rain soaks in. For reasons like these, linking any single flood to global warming requires extensive scientific analysis. That said, the potential for heavier rainfall driven by climate change is an increasingly important part of the mix. For example, scientists have determined that the record rainfall that led to devastating floods in Germany and Belgium in the summer of 2021 was made much more likely by global warming. Read more: How Is Climate Change Affecting Floods? Has climate change affected rainfall? The United States and other parts of the world have seen increases in the frequency of intense rain events. That is likely to continue as warming progresses. The most important reason for this is that warmer air holds more moisture for clouds to release as rain. In California and the Pacific Coast, for instance, storms known as atmospheric rivers have for centuries provided the region with much of its water supplies. But scientists say global warming is now increasing the risk of powerful, weekslong storm sequences that cause flooding and landslides. Scientific analysis can estimate how much climate change worsened any particular downpour. These attribution studies, as they are called, compare two sets of computer simulations of the same storm. One set is staged in a hypothetical world in which there have been no greenhouse gas emissions and thus no global warming. The second simulates the world we live in, complete with global warming. — Raymond Zhong Read more: The Coming California Megastorm Does climate change affect tornadoes? Scientists have not been able to determine whether there is a link between warming and the frequency or strength of tornadoes. That’s because tornadoes are relatively small, short-lived weather events, making them hard to incorporate into scientists’ computer models of the global climate. Researchers do say that tornadoes have become more likely to occur in clusters over the past few decades – there might be fewer days each year with tornadoes, but on each of those days, there are more tornadoes. Other research has found that the region of the United States known as Tornado Alley, where most tornadoes occur, seems to be shifting eastward. The timing of tornado seasons is also becoming more unpredictable, researchers have found, with more early and late starts compared with decades ago. However, the reason for this is unclear. — Raymond Zhong Read more: What We Know About Tornadoes and Climate Change
TECHNOLOGY
Cryptocurrencies and NFTs can be astonishingly energy-intensive. This is because of their underlying technology, known as blockchain, which we’ve explained here. Researchers at Cambridge University have said that the process of creating and maintaining Bitcoin, for example, can consume as much electricity as many countries do. That process is known as “mining,” and it usually takes place in warehouses stacked with computers. Mining has also pushed up electricity prices for homeowners and small businesses. Recognizing the problem, some miners of Bitcoin have tried to reframe their activity as more eco-friendly. Some digital currencies are considered to be less energy-intensive than others. Etherium, for example, switched to a more energy-efficient infrastructure in 2022. But no matter. The climate impact of running all these computers has proven significant. In several places, including New York State, crypto companies have reopened once mothballed coal-burning electrical plants to power their activities, keeping older and dirtier plants pumping out greenhouse gases. Read more: Bitcoin Uses More Electricity Than Many Countries. How Is That Possible? How green are electric cars? Transportation is the single biggest source of emissions in the United States, and the transition to electric vehicles is widely viewed as a key part of the solution. Broadly speaking, modern electric cars generate significantly fewer planet-warming emissions than most cars powered by combustion engines. But the way we produce the electricity that charges up those cars still needs to get cleaner before electric vehicles are truly emissions-free: Coal-burning power plants obviously still generate greenhouse gases. One way to compare the climate effects of various electric and gasoline vehicles is through this interactive tool developed by researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. It incorporates the major variables, including the emissions involved in manufacturing the car itself and in producing the fuel, whether gas or electricity, that powers it. If you assume electric vehicles are drawing their power from the average grid in the United States, which most often includes a mix of fossil fuel and renewable power plants, then those cars typically produce less than half the emissions of a similarly-sized, gas-powered car. Electric cars are usually more emissions-intensive to manufacture because of their batteries. But over time they more than make up for that because electric motors are more efficient than traditional internal combustion engines. And electric vehicles should get cleaner as utilities continue to close coal-fired power plants. Electric vehicles can have other costs, too. The lithium-ion cells that power most electric vehicles require significant mining — including for lithium, cobalt and other rare earth metals — that can come with serious environmental or human rights concerns. But, of course, drilling for oil has serious environmental effects of its own. Key to the sustainability of electric cars will also be the recyclability of the materials. One last thought before you go: It might sound obvious, but one way to reduce the negative effects of both gas and electric cars would be to reduce dependence on driving, perhaps by focusing on better public transit systems. — Brad Plumer Read more: How Green Are Electric Vehicles? Which electric car is best? “Buying an electric car can be exciting and bewildering.” That’s a line from The Times’s guide to buying an electric vehicle, and it couldn’t be truer. The guide walks through the main considerations when trying to decide what’s the right choice. Will it be primary transportation, or a second car? How and where will it be charged? For readers in the United States, we’ve also got this guide on how to access government money — tax breaks, other things — from the federal climate policies for a variety of purchases including electric cars, which can help defray the cost a bit. Because electric cars are expensive, and that can be a big barrier to many buyers. Read more: How Green Are Electric Vehicles? What about electric-car batteries? The Times has reported in detail about how battery recycling will be critical to the sustainability of electric vehicles. Our writers have also covered the environmental cost of battery production — for example, the effects of mining for lithium, which is critical for modern batteries. At the same time, auto makers and battery producers are taking steps to improve the way these huge batteries are built because they are aware of the business advantages that improved technologies would give them. In addition, elsewhere in this F.A.Q. we’ve written a separate entry, “How green are electric cars?” What are the key technologies to tackle climate change? Are they ready? If the goal is to slash greenhouse gas emissions by burning far less fossil fuel — and it is — then many of the technologies are already well developed. Wind turbines, solar panels, hydro plants and nuclear reactors all generate electricity while producing essentially no carbon dioxide. Solar and wind costs have fallen drastically in recent years, and the technologies are time-tested. For those plants that still burn fossil fuel, there are so-called carbon capture technologies to keep planet-warming carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere, although these have yet to be widely deployed. The basic process involves removing the carbon dioxide that is produced when the fuel is burned and storing it permanently underground. Battery-powered cars and buses are becoming more common, and large trucks are starting to be electrified as well. Many rail networks and transit systems already run on electricity. As power generation moves away from burning coal, and produces fewer emissions, these modes of transportation will become correspondingly cleaner. But sharply cutting emissions from aviation and maritime shipping is more difficult. Planes and ships are becoming more energy-efficient, but, as it stands, even the best batteries don’t provide enough electricity for their weight to power large planes or cargo ships. — Henry Fountain What should I know about geoengineering? Geoengineering refers to deliberately intervening in the climate to reduce global warming — by, say, releasing chemicals into the sky to reflect some sunlight. The idea is that those kinds of techniques might buy the world time to eliminate the carbon dioxide emissions that are warming the planet. The proposals generally fall into two categories. One is carbon dioxide removal, which would involve pulling some of the gas from the atmosphere and storing it so that it doesn’t return. While a few companies have made machines for this purpose, and are now removing relatively small amounts of carbon dioxide, many scientists and policymakers think the process is too slow, requiring too many expensive, energy-gobbling machines, to be practical. The other category is solar radiation management, which would aim to reduce the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth’s surface. Few people consider solar radiation management to be benign, and it comes with a lot of opposition. The most widely discussed method would use airplanes or other means to inject a chemical such as sulfur dioxide into the upper atmosphere, where it would form aerosol particles and reflect some sunlight. This would mimic what happens in a huge volcanic eruption. Mount Pinatubo sent so much sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere when it erupted in 1991 that it cooled the planet by more than half a degree Fahrenheit for more than a year. The method would result in a quick fix for warming, and it wouldn’t necessarily be that expensive. But it would do nothing about issues like the increasing acidification of the oceans as carbon dioxide is absorbed into the water, a process that has dire consequences for sea life. Opponents have other concerns as well, including about the possibility of unintended consequences: drier parts of the world turning wetter, for instance, and vice versa. Still, a number of institutions, including the National Academy of Sciences, support cautious research into the idea, given how much the risks of climate change are increasing. — Henry Fountain Will nuclear fusion save us? There is no doubt that nuclear fusion is on the horizon. The problem is it’s been on the horizon for a long time. Scientists first realized nearly a century ago that it might be possible to mimic the force that powers the sun — fuse two small atoms at enormous temperatures and pressures to release a huge amount of energy. (Fusion is different from fission, the basis for current nuclear power plants, in which a much larger atom is split to release energy.) Uncontrolled fusion was achieved in 1952 with the detonation of the first hydrogen bomb. To be useful as an energy source, though, fusion must be controlled, and that has proven tremendously difficult. If the released energy could be harnessed, fusion would have many potential advantages over fission. The fuel is more abundant, the process holds far less risk of a radioactive accident and the technology produces less hazardous radioactive waste. The obstacles are great. Until late 2022, no fusion experiment had ever achieved a very basic measure of success: generating more energy than it consumed. That was finally accomplished by a long-running experiment at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California, which uses several hundred laser beams to implode a tiny capsule containing two isotopes of hydrogen. That success was rightly hailed. But creating fusion for an instant or two is a far cry from the continuous fusion needed to generate electricity. It will most likely take decades to commercialize either laser-initiated fusion or the other major fusion technology, which involves confining a high-temperature cloud of ionized atoms through powerful electromagnets in a doughnut-shaped device called a tokamak. Some companies are working on smaller fusion reactors that they claim might lead to the development of a commercial power plant within about a decade. But, for now, fusion power remains on the distant horizon. — Henry Fountain
DECIPHERING THE JARGON
The terms “global warming” and “climate change” are often used interchangeably. But they can mean different, though related, things. Global warming refers to how much hotter the world has become since the late 19th century as a result of emissions of carbon dioxide, methane and other greenhouse gases. Most of the emissions have come from the burning of fossil fuels, which became widespread as much of the world industrialized. These gases trap some of the heat that radiates after sunlight strikes the Earth’s surface, making the atmosphere warmer. Already, the atmosphere is about 1.2 degrees Celsius (2.2 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than it was in the late 1800s. Climate change is a broader term. Higher temperatures are one element of the world’s changing climate, but there are others that have resulted indirectly from the warming. Among these are changes in atmospheric and oceanic circulation patterns and in how much moisture the atmosphere can hold. — Henry Fountain What are greenhouse gases? Certain gases in the atmosphere — like carbon dioxide and methane — that trap some of the heat radiated from the Earth’s surface are known as greenhouse gases. The name comes from what happens in a greenhouse: Sunlight passes through the transparent roof and walls, is absorbed by what’s inside the greenhouse, and is then re-emitted as heat. But that heat energy has longer wavelengths than sunlight, so it can’t escape back through the roof and walls. That’s why the inside of a greenhouse warms up when sunlight hits it. In Earth’s atmosphere, greenhouse gases act a little differently, but the effect is the same. They absorb energy at certain wavelengths that correspond to those of the heat energy radiating from Earth. The gas molecules then re-radiate this heat energy, and while some heads off into space, much of it remains in the atmosphere, contributing to global warming. The main greenhouse gas is carbon dioxide. It’s the primary waste gas produced by the burning of fossil fuels like coal and oil. Carbon dioxide makes up about four-fifths of the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities. Methane, from oil and gas production and other sources, is the second most prevalent. It has a greater heat-trapping capacity than carbon dioxide, but persists in the atmosphere for a shorter time. Nitrous oxide is the next most common greenhouse gas. Then there are a slew of others, in very small concentrations, with high heat-trapping capacity, including hydrofluorocarbons, or HFCs. Water vapor is a greenhouse gas as well. And unlike the others mentioned here, it changes from gas to liquid, or vice versa, depending on the temperature of the atmosphere. So as the atmosphere heats up, the concentration of water vapor increases, which amplifies the warming. (Oxygen and nitrogen, which together make up 99 percent of the atmosphere, absorb only shorter-wavelength energy, so they are not greenhouse gases.) Emissions of greenhouse gases from the burning of fossil fuels and other activities have warmed the world by about 1.2 degrees Celsius, or 2.2 degrees Fahrenheit, since the late 19th century. If you want to understand that better, go to the “science” section on this page. We explain how we know climate change is happening, and how we know humans are to blame. — Henry Fountain Read more: The Science of Climate Change Explained: Facts, Evidence and Proof What exactly does sustainable mean? “Sustainable” sure sounds good, and claims of sustainability are ubiquitous. The problem is that the term can be interpreted in many ways, and it’s often not clear what a company or product is claiming. Consider the “Sustainability On-the-Go” gift box, a real product that contains wooden eating utensils and a tumbler wrapped in bamboo, or the toilet paper stand that encourages users to use less by dispensing one sheet at a time (another real product). Without independent verification and an agreed-upon definition, the term is all but meaningless. Worse, it can backfire, as in the case of cotton tote bags, which have proliferated because they have an image as being more sustainable than, say, plastic disposable ones. But organic cotton bags must be reused 20,000 times for them to have a similar environmental impact as their thin plastic counterparts, research has suggested. It’s not just about consumer goods. Pick your industry — airlines, restaurants, banks, fossil fuel companies, you name it — and you’ll find sustainability being marketed, often with little to back up the claims. Is there a right way to do it? The United Nations defines sustainability as “meeting the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.” That’s the opposite of a marketing buzzword. In fact, it’s a call for bringing humans into balance with the planet and its resources. By that definition, true sustainability requires transformative changes in economies and societies. — Catrin Einhorn Read more: Where’s the Waste? A ‘Circular’ Food Economy Could Combat Climate Change What does net zero mean? This is one of those important climate concepts that has been given a jargon-y name. Scientists have warned that global warming will keep getting worse until humanity reaches “net zero” emissions — that is, the point at which we are no longer increasing the total amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Getting to “zero” emissions would require stopping every single activity that releases greenhouse gases, but that would be very tough to do. So “net zero” refers to a situation in which some greenhouse gases are still being released, but they’re offset by other activities like planting more trees to pull carbon dioxide out of the air. So the net effect is zero emissions. Net zero. The term is everywhere. In recent years, a growing number of countries and businesses have been making pledges to be net zero by various dates. The United States and China both have net-zero promises. So do Amazon and Apple. In practice, the concept can be abused since it’s not always clear that the offsetting action — the trees being planted or the technologies being promised to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere — are as effective as claimed or even technically feasible within the time frames being discussed. And those offsets can be contentious. Trees can absorb carbon dioxide, of course, but they can also burn in wildfires, releasing carbon dioxide. Carbon-removal technology is still in its infancy. Critics worry that leaders and businesses may be using the uncertain promise of such offsets in the future to avoid making deeper cuts in their emissions today. And many corporate net-zero pledges have asterisks. Some companies, for instance, have pledged to clean up their offices but not their broader supply chains. At the same time, many countries’ net-zero pledges are vague and not yet backed by concrete policies to curb emissions as drastically as would be needed. That’s true of both the United States and China. — Brad Plumer Read more: Searching for Hidden Meaning in Climate Jargon What is a carbon footprint? Say you have a nice steak dinner. You might know that cows belch copious amounts of methane, a fact that helps make ranching a sizable source of greenhouse gas emissions worldwide. But that isn’t all: Those glasses of wine, the bottled water for the table and the cheesecake for dessert all generated emissions when they were produced and when they were transported to the restaurant by train, truck or airplane. Those emissions can be described as your dinner’s “carbon footprint,” a measure of its contribution to global warming. Similarly, a tally of emissions related to everything in your life — heating your home, driving to and from work, flying somewhere for the holidays — defines your household’s carbon footprint. Here, “carbon” refers not only to carbon dioxide, the main greenhouse gas, but also to all of the greenhouse gases that the relevant activities might generate. Researchers developed the idea of a carbon footprint in the 1990s as a research tool. It wasn’t invented by an oil company, as some have suggested. However, critics say the fossil fuel industry has embraced the idea as a way to place some of the responsibility for the climate crisis on consumers, shifting attention away from the role of the energy industry or the need for wider structural changes, including a much faster transition to cleaner energy sources. A carbon footprint is a useful concept for comparing the climate consequences of various human activities. It allows us to see, for instance, that the carbon footprint of a typical American is many times that of a person who lives in a poorer country. It also enables examination of companies, industries and even entire nations. And, yes, individual actions matter. Frequent air travel, for example, comes with a huge carbon footprint. So it can help to tread more lightly. — Hiroko Tabuchi Read more: The Climate Impact of Your Neighborhood, Mapped What is mitigation? Mitigation is a term used by both climate scientists and disaster experts — but for completely different scenarios. Which can be confusing. First, climate change. Here, mitigation refers to anything that reduces emissions of planet-warming greenhouse gasses. Think the shift from coal-burning power plants to wind and solar power generation, or the shift to electric cars or to more efficient home appliances like heat pumps and induction stoves. Among disaster experts and people who deal with emergencies — floods, storms, wildfires — mitigation means something else entirely. They use it to talk about protecting people against the effects of storms. (Confusingly, this is what climate experts sometimes refer to as “adaptation.”) One way to know what sort of mitigation is being discussed is to listen for more precise phrases like “disaster mitigation” or “hazard mitigation.” — Christopher Flavelle Read more: Searching for Hidden Meaning in Climate Jargon What is adaptation? Adaptation is the counterpart to mitigation. And let’s just say it: None of this language is user-friendly. But experts throw these words around, so we deal with it. Adaptation refers to steps aimed at blunting the current consequences of climate change — intensifying storms, wildfires, heat waves — and preparing for what happens as they worsen over time. Some good examples are adjusting how and where we build houses and roads; helping people move away from places vulnerable to flooding or wildfires; or planting different kinds of crops as weather patterns change. “Adaptation” is sometimes used interchangeably with “resilience,” but the terms have important differences. Resilience means maintaining a way of life, but with better protection. Adaptation means changing a way of life that is becoming too hard to sustain. Think of using a seawall to protect a beach town from hurricanes (resilience) versus helping people move somewhere else (adaptation). Adaptation used to be a dirty word among environmentalists, who viewed the notion as defeatist — an admission of the failure to cut emissions or an invitation not to try. But, as the effects of climate change have worsened, that criticism has faded. The need to adapt, while still trying to cut emissions, has become indisputable. But the term still carries an element of privilege, especially because poorer communities and nations have far less ability to adapt than wealthier people do. — Christopher Flavelle Read more: Searching for Hidden Meaning in Climate Jargon How does carbon capture work? The most straightforward way to keep carbon out of the atmosphere is to not burn fossil fuels. But since oil, gas and coal are such entrenched features of modern economies, engineers are exploring strategies to capture or remove the carbon dioxide those fuels produce. Carbon capture generally refers to any technology that can trap the carbon dioxide coming out of a factory or power plant before it escapes into the atmosphere and helps warm the planet. There are about two dozen facilities worldwide that do this. Some use chemical solvents that bind to and absorb carbon dioxide from a plant’s exhaust, allowing the gas to be compressed and shipped off in a pipeline. Once captured, the carbon dioxide can be permanently buried underground, where it will no longer act as a greenhouse gas warming the world. More contentiously, some energy companies have used captured carbon dioxide in what is called “enhanced oil recovery”: injecting the gas into depleted oil wells to dislodge deposits of crude oil that are otherwise hard to reach. Critics say this runs counter to the whole point of carbon capture, since the technology is being used to extract more oil, which will be burned, producing more carbon dioxide. Some energy companies, however, say the process can be helpful for helping to fund early carbon capture projects. — Brad Plumer What is carbon removal and is it effective? Carbon removal is slightly different from carbon capture — it generally refers to pulling carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere after it has been emitted. Trees can do this naturally. And expanding forest cover can be a form of carbon removal, although there’s only so much land to go around and there’s always the risk that trees will burn in wildfires, releasing the carbon dioxide they’d stored. Recently, many companies have been experimenting with high-tech approaches to carbon removal, such as direct-air capture. A company called Climeworks is doing this at a plant in Iceland, using giant fans and filters to pull carbon dioxide from the sky, allowing it to be pumped underground and locked away permanently. This kind of carbon removal is still in its early stages and faces many obstacles, including extremely high costs to make it work. Some scientists, though, say it may be necessary in order for the world to achieve the equivalent of zero emissions, or for there to be a large-scale effort to reverse at least some of the global warming that humans have caused. — Brad Plumer What is carbon pricing and how does it work? Some economists have long argued that “carbon pricing” is an elegant way to tackle climate change: Just give companies and consumers a financial incentive to clean up their acts by charging them for the greenhouse gas emissions they produce. In practice, that gets complicated. There are two main ways to impose carbon pricing. The simplest is a carbon tax, which is typically a flat tax levied on oil, gas or coal. Countries like Canada and Sweden have carbon taxes. However, these taxes sometimes come with exemptions and loopholes. And politicians are often reluctant to set a carbon tax high enough to have a significant effect on behavior, because they fear a backlash from voters. There’s also a cap-and-trade system, which typically works something like this: A government sets a cap on overall emissions and steadily tightens that cap over time. Companies receive permits that allow them to release limited emissions. But polluters have an added incentive to cut emissions because unused permits can be traded at a profit. And, as emissions caps tighten, those prices can rise. Both California and the European Union have versions of cap-and-trade systems, although it can be tricky to design these programs so that they work well. — Brad Plumer Project Credits Editing and production by Sarah Graham, Rebecca Lieberman, Claire O’Neill, Mike Peed, Jesse Pesta and Amelia Pisapia. Research and development contributions by Jack Cook. Illustration by Maria Chimishkyan. Reporting contributed by Manuela Andreoni, Maggie Astor, Winston Choi-Schagrin, Catrin Einhorn, Christopher Flavelle, Henry Fountain, Lisa Friedman, Adeel Hassan, Judson Jones, Brad Plumer, Julia Rosen, Somini Sengupta, Hiroko Tabuchi and Raymond Zhong. Methodology In 2022 we asked readers what they wanted to know about climate change. Their responses helped guide this resource, which was written and edited by the climate desk at The New York Times. The search function at the top of the page uses a combination of machine learning and human editing to understand questions and suggest relevant answers. The underlying technology was developed by The New York Times Research and Development team. If we don’t have an answer to a question you ask, the system takes note so that we can consider adding it. You can also tell us what you want to know using this good old-fashioned form. Have Climate Questions? Get Answers Here. By The New York Times Climate Desk Illustration by Maria Chimishkyan Updated July 3, 2023 Climate change is tremendously complex — and we’re here to help. The climate desk at The Times has been collecting reader questions and has started answering them here. Type your question in the search box to see if we’ve covered it yet. If you don’t find an answer, don’t worry: We’re following your great questions and will add more in time. |